127 W 3rd Ave · North Wildwood, NJ
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$975,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.
Key facts
- Built 1955
- Listed 14 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $975k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $975k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.6% in North Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#318 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D-, commute F.
- North Wildwood School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #396 of 612 in NJ (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $273k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; list at $975k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.24%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $667,280
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 W Mulberry Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+4%) | 2mo | $693,000 | $760 | 59 |
| 228.5 W Walnut Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+14%) | 13mo | $576,375 | $576 | 52 |
| 527 W Pine Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-10%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $644 | 44 |
| 131 E 11th Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 986 (+12%) | 6mo | $850,000 | $862 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $93,592
- Equity at exit
- $145,376
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $405,283
- Equity at exit
- $84,300
Cash invested: $273,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08260
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,113
- Tax from tax record
- −$373 /mo · $4,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$406
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,730
- Net cashflow
- $3,951
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,503 | -5% $4,227 | +0% $3,951 | +5% $3,675 | +10% $3,399 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,924 | -5% $3,438 | +0% $3,951 | +5% $4,465 | +10% $4,978 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,442 | -0.5pp $4,199 | base $3,951 | +0.5pp $3,698 | +1.0pp $3,441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $243,750
- Closing costs
- $29,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642 W Pine Ave #2 North Wildwood, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $13,000 | $12.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12$975,000 Active
-
2016-06-03soldstatus $240,000
-
2016-05-27soldstatus $240,000 Sold In-House 663-char remark
Show marketing remark (663 chars)
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.
-
2016-04-25historical 663-char remark
Show marketing remark (663 chars)
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.
-
2016-02-07price $259,000 663-char remark
Show marketing remark (663 chars)
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.
-
2015-12-02$289,000 Active 663-char remark
Show marketing remark (663 chars)
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.
-
2015-08-01price $289,000
-
2015-07-07price $309,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,478 · $373/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,378 · $1,198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9,900/yr (+$825/mo · 221.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $156,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,615
- − Property taxes
- −$4,478
- − Insurance
- −$9,994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,480
- − Management
- −$12,480
- − Depreciation
- −$28,364
- Taxable income
- $33,590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $39,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Wildwood School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411670
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,310
- Composite
- 44.38/100
- National rank
- #6123
- State rank
- #396 of 612 in NJ
Livability — North Wildwood
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #9827
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Wildwood, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,913
Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,234 people
- By 2030
- 84,144 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 75,146 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 67,389 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 55,732 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 44,972 · -49.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cape May
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -243.83%
- Current HPI
- 551.3393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+215.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $975,000 FSBO.com
- 2016-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-27 Sold (MLS) $240,000 CMCMLS
- 2016-04-25 Delisted — CMCMLS
- 2016-02-07 Price Changed $259,000 CMCMLS
- 2015-12-02 Listed $289,000 CMCMLS
- 2015-08-01 Price Changed $289,000 CMCMLS
- 2015-07-07 Price Changed $309,000 CMCMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,478 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…