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127 W 3rd Ave
C+ Composite 61.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$975,000

127 W 3rd Ave · North Wildwood, NJ 08260
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 878 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1955 Est $667k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.

Key facts

  • Built 1955
  • Listed 14 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $975k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $975k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.6% in North Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#318 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D-, commute F.
  • North Wildwood School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #396 of 612 in NJ (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $273k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $240k; list at $975k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $975,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.68%
Cash-on-cash
19.24%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$667,280
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
520 W Mulberry Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 912 (+4%) 2mo $693,000 $760 59
228.5 W Walnut Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+14%) 13mo $576,375 $576 52
527 W Pine Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-10%) 2mo $510,000 $644 44
131 E 11th Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 986 (+12%) 6mo $850,000 $862 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$93,592
Equity at exit
$145,376
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$405,283
Equity at exit
$84,300

Cash invested: $273,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08260

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Active inventory
437
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$13,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,113
Tax from tax record
$373 /mo · $4,478/yr
Insurance
$406
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,730
Net cashflow
$3,951

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,999
Max offer price $975,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,503 -5% $4,227 +0% $3,951 +5% $3,675 +10% $3,399
Rent -10% $2,924 -5% $3,438 +0% $3,951 +5% $4,465 +10% $4,978
Rate -1.0pp $4,442 -0.5pp $4,199 base $3,951 +0.5pp $3,698 +1.0pp $3,441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$243,750
Closing costs
$29,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
642 W Pine Ave #2 North Wildwood, NJ 3.0 1.0 1010 $13,000 $12.87 45d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $975,000 Active
  2. 2016-06-03
    soldstatus $240,000
  3. 2016-05-27
    soldstatus $240,000 Sold In-House 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.

  4. 2016-04-25
    historical 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.

  5. 2016-02-07
    price $259,000 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.

  6. 2015-12-02
    listed $289,000 Active 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    IT'S ALL ABOUT THE LOCATION Nestled on a desirable street in Northern end of town this home situated on a fenced 50' x 100' lot is just a short stroll to entertainment district yet, just far enough away to allow you to enjoy the serenity of this peaceful shore community. The home is currently utilized as a two bedrooms but, could be considered three bedrooms as one room is utilized as a combination laundry room/office. The home has good curb appeal. Although the interior is somewhat dated it is obvious that that the home as been well maintained. A detached 1.5 car garage adds to the property's appeal. This estate property has been priced for quick sale.

  7. 2015-08-01
    price $289,000
  8. 2015-07-07
    price $309,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,478 · $373/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,378 · $1,198/mo
Expected delta
+$9,900/yr (+$825/mo · 221.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$156,000
− Mortgage interest
−$54,615
− Property taxes
−$4,478
− Insurance
−$9,994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,480
− Management
−$12,480
− Depreciation
−$28,364
Taxable income
$33,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,062
After-tax cash flow
$39,351/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Wildwood School District
NCES district ID
3411670
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,310
Composite
44.38/100
National rank
#6123
State rank
#396 of 612 in NJ

Livability — North Wildwood

Score
68/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#9827

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Wildwood, NJ
Population (ZIP)
12,913

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -243.83%
Current HPI
551.3393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $975,000 FSBO.com
  • 2016-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-27 Sold (MLS) $240,000 CMCMLS
  • 2016-04-25 Delisted CMCMLS
  • 2016-02-07 Price Changed $259,000 CMCMLS
  • 2015-12-02 Listed $289,000 CMCMLS
  • 2015-08-01 Price Changed $289,000 CMCMLS
  • 2015-07-07 Price Changed $309,000 CMCMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,478 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…