654 Beaumont Dr · Gonzales, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
White, Bright & Oh So Cute located in The Reserve at Conway. Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence! Built in 2020 and offering 1,906 living square feet, this home is filled with natural light, fresh finishes, new flooring in all bedrooms, and an inviting open-concept design perfect for everyday living and entertaining. From the moment you walk in, you'll love the white and bright interior, soaring ceilings, and spacious living area centered around a cozy gas fireplace. The open floor plan flows effortlessly into the heart of the home--a stunning kitchen featuring granite countertops, abundant cabinet space, and a large island perfect for gathering with family and friends. Relax on the welcoming front porch or enjoy the expansive backyard OR take a walk and enjoy all that The Reserve at Conway has to offer, including a community pool and neighborhood amenities designed for an active lifestyle. Easy interstate access and walking distance to shops and restaurants. Seller is offering $8,000 toward the buyer's closing costs or rate buy-down--making this home an even better opportunity! Come see why life in The Reserve at Conway is so easy to love!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Community pool
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $856 (includes insurance); Association amenities include maintenance, management, and pool; Community features include pool, playground, sidewalks, and other amenities; Subdivision: Reserve At Conway
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Off-street parking; Total 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence (detached); Residential property
- Construction: Frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a level lot
- Exterior features: Porch; Exterior lighting; Partial wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Self-cleaning oven; Stainless steel appliances; Tankless water heater
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with inside washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (5.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Gonzales — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#135 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.42%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $327,832
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 927 Beaumont Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,885 (-1%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $178 | 83 |
| 1211 Lakehaven Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 1,851 (-3%) | 2mo | $316,076 | $171 | 76 |
| 1224 Lakehaven Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,025 (+6%) | 0mo | $343,600 | $170 | 74 |
| 1203 Elliston Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 2,033 (+7%) | 1mo | $349,040 | $172 | 73 |
| 1217 Lakehaven Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,033 (+7%) | 2mo | $344,500 | $169 | 70 |
| 1217 Lakehaven Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,033 (+7%) | 2mo | $344,500 | $169 | 70 |
| 5125 Oakwater Aly | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,847 (-3%) | 2mo | $469,900 | $254 | 70 |
| 1209 Elliston Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,061 (+8%) | 0mo | $334,978 | $163 | 68 |
| 4944 Crestfield Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,715 (-10%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $224 | 60 |
| 1221 Elliston Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,685 (-12%) | 3mo | $300,979 | $179 | 60 |
| 5091 Stonewater Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,807 (-5%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $246 | 59 |
| 1216 Lakehaven Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,141 (+12%) | 3mo | $336,990 | $157 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-57,055
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-55,622
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70737
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,501 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,711/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$71
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-104
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4773 Cottage Oaks Dr Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1847 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4855 Crestfield Way Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $71 · $852/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-14remarks 683-char remark
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2026-06-14$315,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,711 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,711 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$2,711
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,401
- − Management
- −$2,401
- − HOA
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$6,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,617
- After-tax cash flow
- $365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gonzales
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #12429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gonzales, LA
- County
- Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
- City population
- 49,084
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,084
- Household income
- $82,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 863.0
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.49%
- Current HPI
- 145.3384
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+31.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $315,000 GBRMLS
- 2020-03-04 Listed $239,880 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+44.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,711 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…