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417 Lakewood Blvd
B- Composite 69.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,000

417 Lakewood Blvd · Park Forest, IL 60466
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1957 7,440 sqft lot Est $156k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready ranch featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and an attached 1 car garage! Recent updates include a renovated bathroom, newer carpet, water heater, and fresh interior and exterior paint. The roof is approximately 10 years old, offering added peace of mind. This home is a great opportunity for first time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking a strong rental property. Taxes currently reflect no exemptions and may be reduced with a homeowner exemption. Don't miss this well maintained and affordable home!

Key facts

  • 7,440 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Concrete driveway/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breaker panel
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built prior to 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction; Rubber roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Estimated 61–70 years old
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (9 x 15, vinyl flooring)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (10 x 10, carpet); Second bedroom on main level (8 x 11, carpet); Third bedroom on main level (9 x 10, carpet)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (8 x 12, vinyl flooring)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $147k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $133,770 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.76%
Cash-on-cash
19.51%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
433 Lakewood Blvd 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 2mo $165,000 $132 92
251 Westwood Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,248 (0%) 2mo $217,000 $174 78
210 Marquette St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,269 (+2%) 0mo $153,000 $121 74
356 Wilshire St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $40 67
131 Sauk Trl 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-8%) 2mo $144,000 $125 61
308 Minocqua St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-8%) 1mo $139,000 $121 60
306 Winnebago St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-13%) 3mo $105,000 $97 50
287 Mohawk St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,408 (+13%) 1mo $175,000 $124 49
118 Well St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-12%) 2mo $177,000 $162 46
356 Waverly St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,419 (+14%) 2mo $120,000 $85 42
356 Winnebago St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-13%) 1mo $150,000 $138 40
397 Oswego St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,398 (+12%) 2mo $199,000 $142 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$18,840
Equity at exit
$21,918
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$71,427
Equity at exit
$12,710

Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$771
Tax est. 1.5%
$184 /mo · $2,205/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$669

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $147,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,750
Closing costs
$4,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 1d 11 0.66mi
372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 24d 1 0.71mi
400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1161 $2,161 $1.86 16d 1 0.75mi
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,300 $2.11 24d 1 0.91mi
111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 24d 1 0.97mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 3d 1 1.09mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 12d 1 1.21mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 7d 1 1.21mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 22d 1 1.21mi
631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 3d 1 1.21mi
3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,795 $1.98 1d 19 1.24mi
490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,895 $1.46 2d 1 1.28mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 22d 1 1.31mi
23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL 2.0 2.0 975 $1,570 $1.61 1d 1 1.32mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 24d 1 1.43mi
3838 216th Pl Matteson, IL 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,996 $1.72 19d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,000 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $147,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $147,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $147,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $147,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $147,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-04-17
    price $147,000
  15. 2026-03-09
    listed $149,000 Active
  16. 2026-03-08
    historical
  17. 2025-10-14
    price
  18. 2025-09-11
    listed Active
  19. 2018-12-16
    historical
  20. 2018-09-27
    price
  21. 2018-08-27
    price
  22. 2018-07-26
    price
  23. 2018-05-01
    price
  24. 2018-04-17
    listed New
  25. 1992-06-24
    soldstatus $58,500
  26. 1984-08-01
    soldstatus $49,000
  27. 1978-03-27
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,598
− Mortgage interest
−$8,234
− Property taxes
−$2,205
− Insurance
−$735
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,048
− Management
−$2,048
− Depreciation
−$4,276
Taxable income
$6,052
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,452
After-tax cash flow
$6,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+297.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $147,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $149,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-11 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-27 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-27 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-26 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-01 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-17 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 1984-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1978-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,824 · +32.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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