141 Garner Cir · Montrose, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$262,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great detached townhome finished up and down. Low association fee so you can enjoy low maintenance living! Nice location - easy access for commuting!
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional financing available
- HOA & community: Member of the Verve association; Monthly association fee of $150 covering lawn care, professional management and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Two garage spaces; Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas fuel; 200+ amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One level (main level living) with finished basement; Main entry and primary bedroom on the main floor; Level topography
- Construction: Block and frame construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced/installed within last 8 years; Built with an approximate foundation area of 894 and below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio; Tree coverage - light; Underground utilities; City street with curbs and paved streets; Street lights and storm sewer; Roads maintained by association and public
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Main level bedroom(s) and lower level bedroom(s)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in the basement
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement with daylight/lookout windows, egress window(s), drain tile, sump pump and storage space; Natural woodwork; In-ground sprinkler; Breakfast area / eat-in kitchen / informal dining; Main floor primary bedroom and main floor bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups (lower level / basement); Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $262k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (12.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#522 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Buffalo-Hanover-Montrose Public Schools (town): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #63 of 301 in MN (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $262k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-44,047
- Equity at exit
- $50,446
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-44,387
- Equity at exit
- $42,602
Cash invested: $73,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55363
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,377
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,526/yr
- Insurance
- −$109
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $-191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-43 | -5% $-117 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-266 | +10% $-340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-357 | -5% $-274 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-59 | -0.5pp $-125 | base $-191 | +0.5pp $-259 | +1.0pp $-329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,625
- Closing costs
- $7,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 61st St SW Waverly, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,095 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-10remarks 407-char remark
-
2026-06-10$262,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,526 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,733 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$207/yr (+$17/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,704
- − Property taxes
- −$2,526
- − Insurance
- −$1,312
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,011
- − Management
- −$2,011
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$7,636
- Taxable loss
- −$6,861
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,647
- After-tax cash flow
- $-650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo-Hanover-Montrose Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2707200
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,549
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #2159
- State rank
- #63 of 301 in MN
Livability — Montrose
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #522
- US rank
- #12593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montrose, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,664
Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 142,526 people
- By 2030
- 146,915 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 153,625 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 155,416 · +9.0%
- By 2075
- 150,352 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 130,631 · -8.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wright
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.05%
- Current HPI
- 280.9111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+57.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $262,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-30 Sold (MLS) $79,950 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-21 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-02 Listed $158,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-01 Sold (MLS) $149,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-12 Listed $167,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,526 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…