Duplex
2967 Coney Island Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$989,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Two-Family Home with Full Finished Basement – Prime Coney Island Avenue Location! Welcome to 2967 Coney Island Avenue, a beautifully maintained two-family home featuring a full finished basement. Perfectly situated close to shopping, schools, hospitals, and public transportation, this property offers convenience and comfort for both owners and investors alike. Ideal for multi-generational living or rental income opportunities, this home combines space, accessibility, and a highly desirable location in the heart of Brooklyn.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Close to hospitals
- Close to shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: C8-1
- Financial info: Financing available: Bank mortgage
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: 200 Amp electric; Gas hot water; Gas heating
- Home design: Semi-detached residential building; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Building footprint roughly 640 sq ft; Building dimensions about 40.00 x 16.00
- Exterior features: Back yard; Brick and siding exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 13 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpeting; Ceramic floors; Concrete floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas hot water; 200 Amp electric service
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Other residential features; Carpeting; Ceramic floors; Concrete floors; No central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $989k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive. Per door: $15/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $779k (21.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $779k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,789/mo this rent would consume 157% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($870k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $547k; list at $989k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.42%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $888,320
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Neptune Ave | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 | 1,296 (+1%) | 9mo | $790,000 | $610 | 80 |
| 3014 Brighton 1st St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (-2%) | 2mo | $970,000 | $775 | 64 |
| 3322 Shore Pkwy | 0.36mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-10%) | 16mo | $800,000 | $694 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-142,357
- Equity at exit
- $147,463
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-53,010
- Equity at exit
- $85,511
Cash invested: $276,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11235
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,186
- Tax from tax record
- −$458 /mo · $5,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$412
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,636
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $7,788 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,894 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,894 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,789 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $247,250
- Closing costs
- $29,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2538 E 2nd St Unit 2 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 532 Neptune Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $5,725 | $6.04 | 7d | 8 | 0.82mi |
| 2957 Shell Rd Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $5,550 | $4.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 602 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,299 | $4.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $989,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $989,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $989,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $989,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $989,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $989,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $989,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $989,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $989,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $989,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $989,000
-
2025-10-19$1,025,000 Active
-
2024-07-30price $1,100,000
-
2023-07-15price $899,000
-
2023-06-26price $925,000
-
2023-05-07price $949,000
-
2023-02-25price $989,000
-
2022-04-27price $999,000
-
2020-04-14soldstatus $547,000 Sold
-
2019-06-13price $938,000
-
2017-05-31price $1,100,000
-
2016-03-14soldstatus $547,000
-
2016-03-07historical
-
2015-08-23status Pending
-
2015-08-18historical
-
2015-08-03status Pending
-
2015-04-03$599,000 Active
-
2007-07-27soldstatus $653,000
-
2006-08-01$739,000
-
1992-03-23soldstatus $135,000
-
1988-09-12soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,500 · $458/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,107 · $926/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,607/yr (+$467/mo · 101.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $93,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,399
- − Property taxes
- −$5,500
- − Insurance
- −$5,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,477
- − Management
- −$7,477
- − Depreciation
- −$28,771
- Taxable loss
- −$16,900
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,056
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,558
- Household income
- $59,661
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7823.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.73%
- Current HPI
- 303.6714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.04%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+660.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $989,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-19 Listed $1,025,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-07-15 Price Changed $899,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-06-26 Price Changed $925,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-05-07 Price Changed $949,000 BNYMLS
- 2023-02-25 Price Changed $989,000 BNYMLS
- 2022-04-27 Price Changed $999,000 BNYMLS
- 2020-04-14 Sold (MLS) $547,000 BNYMLS
- 2019-06-13 Price Changed $938,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-05-31 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
- 2016-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $547,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-07 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2015-08-23 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2015-08-18 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2015-08-03 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2015-04-03 Listed $599,000 BNYMLS
- 2007-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $653,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-01 Listed $739,000 BNYMLS
- 1992-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1988-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,500 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…