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2967 Coney Island Ave Duplex
D- Composite 38.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$989,000

2967 Coney Island Ave · New York, NY 11235
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 242 Days on market
Built 1915 2,000 sqft lot Est $888k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Two-Family Home with Full Finished Basement – Prime Coney Island Avenue Location! Welcome to 2967 Coney Island Avenue, a beautifully maintained two-family home featuring a full finished basement. Perfectly situated close to shopping, schools, hospitals, and public transportation, this property offers convenience and comfort for both owners and investors alike. Ideal for multi-generational living or rental income opportunities, this home combines space, accessibility, and a highly desirable location in the heart of Brooklyn.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Close to hospitals
  • Close to shopping

Tags

FULL FINISHED BASEMENTCONEY ISLAND AVENUE LOCATIONCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO HOSPITALSCLOSE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: C8-1
  • Financial info: Financing available: Bank mortgage

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: 200 Amp electric; Gas hot water; Gas heating
  • Home design: Semi-detached residential building; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction; Building footprint roughly 640 sq ft; Building dimensions about 40.00 x 16.00
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Brick and siding exterior

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 13 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Ceramic floors; Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas hot water; 200 Amp electric service
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; Other residential features; Carpeting; Ceramic floors; Concrete floors; No central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $989k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive. Per door: $15/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $779k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $779k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,789/mo this rent would consume 157% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($870k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $547k; list at $989k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $778,900 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.42%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$888,320
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
152 Neptune Ave 0.15mi 4/3.0 1,296 (+1%) 9mo $790,000 $610 80
3014 Brighton 1st St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,252 (-2%) 2mo $970,000 $775 64
3322 Shore Pkwy 0.36mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,152 (-10%) 16mo $800,000 $694 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-142,357
Equity at exit
$147,463
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-53,010
Equity at exit
$85,511

Cash invested: $276,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11235

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
21.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,789 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,186
Tax from tax record
$458 /mo · $5,500/yr
Insurance
$412
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,636
Net cashflow
$30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,751
Max offer price $989,000
Occupancy floor 95%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,789

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$247,250
Closing costs
$29,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2538 E 2nd St Unit 2 Brooklyn, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,600 $2.36 24d 1 0.49mi
532 Neptune Ave Brooklyn, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $5,725 $6.04 7d 8 0.82mi
2957 Shell Rd Brooklyn, NY 3.0 2.0 1292 $5,550 $4.30 24d 1 0.85mi
2971 Shell Rd Unit 602 Brooklyn, NY 3.0 2.0 1301 $5,299 $4.07 24d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $989,000 Active 242 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $989,000 Active 241 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $989,000 Active 239 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $989,000 Active 237 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $989,000 Active 233 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $989,000 Active 232 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $989,000 Active 228 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $989,000 Active 227 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $989,000 Active 225 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $989,000 Active 224 DOM
  11. 2026-03-26
    price $989,000
  12. 2025-10-19
    listed $1,025,000 Active
  13. 2024-07-30
    price $1,100,000
  14. 2023-07-15
    price $899,000
  15. 2023-06-26
    price $925,000
  16. 2023-05-07
    price $949,000
  17. 2023-02-25
    price $989,000
  18. 2022-04-27
    price $999,000
  19. 2020-04-14
    soldstatus $547,000 Sold
  20. 2019-06-13
    price $938,000
  21. 2017-05-31
    price $1,100,000
  22. 2016-03-14
    soldstatus $547,000
  23. 2016-03-07
    historical
  24. 2015-08-23
    status Pending
  25. 2015-08-18
    historical
  26. 2015-08-03
    status Pending
  27. 2015-04-03
    listed $599,000 Active
  28. 2007-07-27
    soldstatus $653,000
  29. 2006-08-01
    listed $739,000
  30. 1992-03-23
    soldstatus $135,000
  31. 1988-09-12
    soldstatus $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,500 · $458/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,107 · $926/mo
Expected delta
+$5,607/yr (+$467/mo · 101.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$93,468
− Mortgage interest
−$55,399
− Property taxes
−$5,500
− Insurance
−$5,742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,477
− Management
−$7,477
− Depreciation
−$28,771
Taxable loss
−$16,900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,056
After-tax cash flow
$4,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
78,558
Household income
$59,661
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
7823.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.73%
Current HPI
303.6714
Rent YoY
▲ 5.04%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+660.8% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $989,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-10-19 Listed $1,025,000 BNYMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
  • 2023-07-15 Price Changed $899,000 BNYMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Price Changed $925,000 BNYMLS
  • 2023-05-07 Price Changed $949,000 BNYMLS
  • 2023-02-25 Price Changed $989,000 BNYMLS
  • 2022-04-27 Price Changed $999,000 BNYMLS
  • 2020-04-14 Sold (MLS) $547,000 BNYMLS
  • 2019-06-13 Price Changed $938,000 BNYMLS
  • 2017-05-31 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
  • 2016-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $547,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-07 Delisted BNYMLS
  • 2015-08-23 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2015-08-18 Delisted BNYMLS
  • 2015-08-03 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2015-04-03 Listed $599,000 BNYMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $653,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-01 Listed $739,000 BNYMLS
  • 1992-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 1988-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,500 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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