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14 Oxford Ln
B Composite 72.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$210,000

14 Oxford Ln · Bella Vista, AR 72714
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,409 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1980 0.34 ac lot Est $302k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Level up in Bella Vista! Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac on Oxford Ln, this 3BR/2BA home puts you 100 yards from world-class trails and minutes from Tanyard Creek. Experience the ultimate lifestyle: 7 lakes, 7 golf courses, tennis, and the upcoming OZ Bike Park with the nation’s first year-round bike lift. Featuring a level lot with mature hardwoods and a spacious deck, this is your basecamp for adventure. Come see why everyone is falling in love with Bella Vista living!

Key facts

  • World-class trails
  • Tennis
  • Quiet cul-de-sac

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACWORLD-CLASS TRAILSTANYARD CREEK7 LAKES7 GOLF COURSESTENNIS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is in a cul-de-sac, cleared, level, with hardwood trees; approximately 0.34 acres; public paved/shared road frontage; zoned residential
  • HOA & community: Bella Vista POA (monthly fee); Community amenities: clubhouse, dock, fitness center, golf, playground, pool, recreation area, tennis courts, biking, trails/paths, near park, shopping, near fire station

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking for 1 vehicle; Has carport
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system available; Electricity available; Propane available; Cable available; Phone available; Recycling collection
  • Home design: Single-story; Residential property; Crawlspace foundation; 25+ years old
  • Construction: Rock and wood siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built 25+ years ago
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Porch; Community pool; Smoke detector(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker
  • Bedrooms: Includes a storage room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Quartz counters; Walk-in closet(s); Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $210k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.09%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$301,526
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Oxford Ln 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-12%) 13mo $273,100 $220 67
56 Elizabeth Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-2%) 1mo $290,000 $210 66
6 Iffley Ln 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+3%) 9mo $370,000 $255 63
12 Horatio Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-7%) 1mo $285,000 $217 59
1 Brighstone Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,330 (-6%) 3mo $285,000 $214 58
43 Tewkesbury Circle Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+7%) 5mo $300,000 $198 58
6 Tibberton Circle Dr 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,404 (-0%) 12mo $255,000 $182 50
3 Reeves Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+7%) 14mo $315,000 $209 45
7 Rogan Cir 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,477 (+5%) 12mo $322,000 $218 44
58 Elizabeth 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,582 (+12%) 15mo $326,000 $206 36
1 Gidney Cir 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,209 (-14%) 4mo $268,000 $222 35
4 Hanworth Ln 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,588 (+13%) 10mo $317,000 $200 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$36,234
Equity at exit
$75,927
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$112,346
Equity at exit
$104,262

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,695
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $564 -5% $505 +0% $445 +5% $386 +10% $326
Rent -10% $267 -5% $356 +0% $445 +5% $534 +10% $624
Rate -1.0pp $551 -0.5pp $499 base $445 +0.5pp $391 +1.0pp $335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Kemble Cir Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,850 $1.34 24d 1 0.84mi
2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1712 $1,900 $1.11 21d 1 1.08mi
2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1712 $1,850 $1.08 14d 1 1.08mi
9 August Ln Unit 1363327P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 1.5 1173 $3,153 $2.69 14d 1 1.08mi
6 Connie Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,250 $1.56 24d 1 1.15mi
1 Endon Cir Bella Vista, AR 2.0 1.5 1040 $1,295 $1.25 14d 1 1.17mi
10 Riordan Rd Unit 1221880P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 882 $4,248 $4.82 24d 1 1.37mi
4 Sibsey Cir Unit 1230868P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1765 $3,469 $1.97 21d 1 1.42mi
20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    status $210,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  13. 2026-05-11
    price $210,000
  14. 2026-05-08
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  16. 2026-03-27
    listed $229,117 Active
  17. 1993-08-18
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,801 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,801 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,100
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,801
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,168
− Management
−$2,168
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$2,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$490
After-tax cash flow
$4,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $210,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $229,117 NWARMLS
  • 1993-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,801 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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