14 Oxford Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Level up in Bella Vista! Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac on Oxford Ln, this 3BR/2BA home puts you 100 yards from world-class trails and minutes from Tanyard Creek. Experience the ultimate lifestyle: 7 lakes, 7 golf courses, tennis, and the upcoming OZ Bike Park with the nation’s first year-round bike lift. Featuring a level lot with mature hardwoods and a spacious deck, this is your basecamp for adventure. Come see why everyone is falling in love with Bella Vista living!
Key facts
- World-class trails
- Tennis
- Quiet cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is in a cul-de-sac, cleared, level, with hardwood trees; approximately 0.34 acres; public paved/shared road frontage; zoned residential
- HOA & community: Bella Vista POA (monthly fee); Community amenities: clubhouse, dock, fitness center, golf, playground, pool, recreation area, tennis courts, biking, trails/paths, near park, shopping, near fire station
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking for 1 vehicle; Has carport
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system available; Electricity available; Propane available; Cable available; Phone available; Recycling collection
- Home design: Single-story; Residential property; Crawlspace foundation; 25+ years old
- Construction: Rock and wood siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built 25+ years ago
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Porch; Community pool; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker
- Bedrooms: Includes a storage room
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Quartz counters; Walk-in closet(s); Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $210k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.09%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $301,526
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oxford Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-12%) | 13mo | $273,100 | $220 | 67 |
| 56 Elizabeth Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-2%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 6 Iffley Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+3%) | 9mo | $370,000 | $255 | 63 |
| 12 Horatio Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-7%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $217 | 59 |
| 1 Brighstone Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-6%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $214 | 58 |
| 43 Tewkesbury Circle Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (+7%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 6 Tibberton Circle Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,404 (-0%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $182 | 50 |
| 3 Reeves Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+7%) | 14mo | $315,000 | $209 | 45 |
| 7 Rogan Cir | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,477 (+5%) | 12mo | $322,000 | $218 | 44 |
| 58 Elizabeth | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,582 (+12%) | 15mo | $326,000 | $206 | 36 |
| 1 Gidney Cir | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,209 (-14%) | 4mo | $268,000 | $222 | 35 |
| 4 Hanworth Ln | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (+13%) | 10mo | $317,000 | $200 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $36,234
- Equity at exit
- $75,927
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $112,346
- Equity at exit
- $104,262
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,258 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $505 | +0% $445 | +5% $386 | +10% $326 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $267 | -5% $356 | +0% $445 | +5% $534 | +10% $624 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $551 | -0.5pp $499 | base $445 | +0.5pp $391 | +1.0pp $335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Kemble Cir Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $1,900 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $1,850 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9 August Ln Unit 1363327P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1173 | $3,153 | $2.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6 Connie Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,250 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1 Endon Cir Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10 Riordan Rd Unit 1221880P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $4,248 | $4.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4 Sibsey Cir Unit 1230868P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $3,469 | $1.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $210,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-11price $210,000
-
2026-05-08status Active
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-27$229,117 Active
-
1993-08-18soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,801
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,168
- − Management
- −$2,168
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $2,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$490
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,350
- Household income
- $103,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 307.5796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $210,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $229,117 NWARMLS
- 1993-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,801 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…