CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
7089 E Whispering Mesquite Trl
D Composite 42.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$655,000

7089 E Whispering Mesquite Trl · Scottsdale, AZ 85266
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,385 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1996 6,261 sqft lot $473/sqft · 10% below area Est $732k · 10% under $772/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Terravita, a resort oasis in the desert. Gorgeous views, luxurious amenities, and 24 Hour Guard Gated Community. Bright open airy split floor plan is perfect for entertaining. Fireplace, new appliances and oversized tub. Covered private patio in back. Easy drive to downtown Scottsdale.

Key facts

  • 6,261 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $655k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $579k (11.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $536k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $536k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Cave Creek Unified District (4244) (urban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #13 of 249 in AZ (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Black Mountain Elementary School (math 66% / reading 63%, grade B, #104 of 1,109 statewide, top 10%, 495 students, 8% FRL); Sonoran Trails Middle School (math 48% / reading 50%, grade C-, #31 of 218 statewide, top 14%, 761 students, 7% FRL); Cactus Shadows High School (math 49% / reading 46%, grade D, #48 of 381 statewide, top 13%, 1,588 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools at 7% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($152k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($596k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $255k; list at $655k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $535,897 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.82%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$731,720
List price
$655,000
Delta
-10.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7086 E Whispering Mesquite Trl 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,410 (+2%) 14mo $747,000 $530 80
6937 E Purple Shade Cir 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,385 (0%) 8mo $720,000 $520 78
6961 E Purple Shade Cir 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,410 (+2%) 7mo $742,000 $526 78
6918 E Nightingale Star Cir 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,385 (0%) 6mo $682,500 $493 77
7108 E Sleepy Owl Way 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,400 (+1%) 19mo $775,000 $554 75
7131 E Canyon Wren Cir 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,410 (+2%) 15mo $655,000 $465 75
6852 E Whispering Mesquite Trl 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,545 (+12%) 1mo $850,000 $550 60
6824 E Whispering Mesquite Trl 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,409 (+2%) 23mo $695,000 $493 56
6815 E Whispering Mesquite Trl 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,442 (+4%) 20mo $810,000 $562 55
6522 E Night Glow Cir 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,397 (+1%) 9mo $925,000 $662 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-133,428
Equity at exit
$97,663
10-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-150,866
Equity at exit
$56,632

Cash invested: $183,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85266

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,359 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,435
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,218/yr
Insurance
$273
HOA
$772
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,125
Net cashflow
$-431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,905
Max offer price $578,849
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-60 -5% $-246 +0% $-431 +5% $-616 +10% $-802
Rent -10% $-854 -5% $-643 +0% $-431 +5% $-219 +10% $-8
Rate -1.0pp $-101 -0.5pp $-264 base $-431 +0.5pp $-601 +1.0pp $-773

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$163,750
Closing costs
$19,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6892 E Nightingale Star Cir Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 1647 $6,500 $3.95 23d 1 0.33mi
6788 E Nightingale Star Cir Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 3.0 1385 $7,500 $5.42 45d 1 0.41mi
9165 E Sunflower Ct Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1631 $11,500 $7.05 45d 1 0.42mi
6803 E Eagle Feather Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1409 $5,500 $3.90 45d 1 0.63mi
6747 E Eagle Feather Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1409 $5,500 $3.90 45d 1 0.67mi
6584 E Shooting Star Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1673 $5,500 $3.29 45d 1 0.70mi
6578 E Shooting Star Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1385 $4,750 $3.43 45d 1 0.71mi
6522 E Night Glow Cir Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1385 $6,500 $4.69 23d 1 0.73mi
6505 E Night Glow Cir Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1410 $5,300 $3.76 45d 1 0.77mi
33094 N 74th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1734 $5,500 $3.17 45d 1 0.79mi
7394 E Quien Sabe Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1734 $5,500 $3.17 45d 1 0.80mi
7403 E Quien Sabe Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1734 $5,500 $3.17 45d 1 0.83mi
7387 E Quien Sabe Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1734 $3,750 $2.16 20d 1 0.84mi
6925 E Sienna Bouquet Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1409 $4,700 $3.34 45d 1 0.87mi
32811 N 70th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1609 $5,000 $3.11 45d 1 0.90mi
7491 E Quien Sabe Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1520 $2,800 $1.84 26d 1 0.91mi
6939 E Bramble Berry Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1424 $5,500 $3.86 45d 1 0.93mi
32764 N 69th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1670 $5,500 $3.29 45d 1 0.96mi
32748 N 69th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1421 $5,000 $3.52 45d 1 0.98mi
32707 N 70th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1628 $5,500 $3.38 45d 1 1.00mi
7122 E Aloe Vera Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1609 $6,400 $3.98 45d 1 1.00mi
1725 E Staghorn Ln Carefree, AZ 2.0 2.0 1690 $9,500 $5.62 45d 1 1.20mi
7232 E Eclipse Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1856 $3,500 $1.89 45d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$772 · $9,264/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $655,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $655,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $655,000 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $655,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $655,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $655,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $655,000 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $655,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $655,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $655,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $655,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $655,000 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $655,000 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $655,000 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $655,000 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $655,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to Terravita, a resort oasis in the desert. Gorgeous views, luxurious amenities, and 24 Hour Guard Gated Community. Bright open airy split floor plan is perfect for entertaining. Fireplace, new appliances and oversized tub. Covered private patio in back. Easy drive to downtown Scottsdale.

  17. 2026-04-10
    price $675,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to Terravita, a resort oasis in the desert. Gorgeous views, luxurious amenities, and 24 Hour Guard Gated Community. Bright open airy split floor plan is perfect for entertaining. Fireplace, new appliances and oversized tub. Covered private patio in back. Easy drive to downtown Scottsdale.

  18. 2026-03-17
    listed $685,000 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to Terravita, a resort oasis in the desert. Gorgeous views, luxurious amenities, and 24 Hour Guard Gated Community. Bright open airy split floor plan is perfect for entertaining. Fireplace, new appliances and oversized tub. Covered private patio in back. Easy drive to downtown Scottsdale.

  19. 2025-12-04
    historical $2,400
  20. 2025-11-08
    price $2,400
  21. 2025-10-09
    price $2,500
  22. 2025-09-20
    price $2,600
  23. 2025-08-13
    price $2,700
  24. 2025-06-10
    price $2,750
  25. 2025-04-03
    price $2,800
  26. 2025-01-10
    listed $3,000
  27. 2025-01-03
    historical $2,800
  28. 2024-12-31
    listed $2,800
  29. 2004-07-09
    soldstatus $254,900 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    **HOME SHOWS LIKE A MODEL HOME**COMPLETELY REDECORATED**BRIGHT OPEN & AIRY**LOOKS LIKE AN INTERIOR DECORATOR LIVES HERE, SPLIT FLOORING IS PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING & THE LANDSCAPING ACCENTS ARE INCREDIBLE, TOTALY MAINTENANCE FREE.BEST VALUE IN TERRAVITA.YOUR PEOPLE WONT BE DISAPPOINTED. FURNISHINGS SOLD SEPARATELY.MAKE US AN OFFER, CLIENT IS MOTIVATED. LOT APPROVED TO BUILD CASSITA.

  30. 2004-07-09
    soldstatus $254,900
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    **HOME SHOWS LIKE A MODEL HOME**COMPLETELY REDECORATED**BRIGHT OPEN & AIRY**LOOKS LIKE AN INTERIOR DECORATOR LIVES HERE, SPLIT FLOORING IS PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING & THE LANDSCAPING ACCENTS ARE INCREDIBLE, TOTALY MAINTENANCE FREE.BEST VALUE IN TERRAVITA.YOUR PEOPLE WONT BE DISAPPOINTED. FURNISHINGS SOLD SEPARATELY.MAKE US AN OFFER, CLIENT IS MOTIVATED. LOT APPROVED TO BUILD CASSITA.

  31. 2004-04-21
    listed $254,900 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    **HOME SHOWS LIKE A MODEL HOME**COMPLETELY REDECORATED**BRIGHT OPEN & AIRY**LOOKS LIKE AN INTERIOR DECORATOR LIVES HERE, SPLIT FLOORING IS PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING & THE LANDSCAPING ACCENTS ARE INCREDIBLE, TOTALY MAINTENANCE FREE.BEST VALUE IN TERRAVITA.YOUR PEOPLE WONT BE DISAPPOINTED. FURNISHINGS SOLD SEPARATELY.MAKE US AN OFFER, CLIENT IS MOTIVATED. LOT APPROVED TO BUILD CASSITA.

  32. 2004-04-19
    historical
  33. 2004-04-07
    listed $248,500
  34. 2004-04-05
    historical
  35. 2003-10-29
    listed $248,500
  36. 2003-10-24
    historical
  37. 2003-10-02
    listed $267,000
  38. 2001-05-08
    soldstatus $185,000
  39. 2001-03-06
    historical
  40. 2000-11-06
    listed $205,000
  41. 1997-10-07
    soldstatus $172,992

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,218 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,323 · $360/mo
Expected delta
+$2,105/yr (+$175/mo · 94.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$64,308
− Mortgage interest
−$36,690
− Property taxes
−$2,218
− Insurance
−$3,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,145
− Management
−$5,145
− HOA
−$9,264
− Depreciation
−$19,055
Taxable loss
−$16,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,956
After-tax cash flow
$-1,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cave Creek Unified District (4244)
NCES district ID
0400001
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$102,788
Composite
54.46/100
National rank
#1351
State rank
#13 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
12,516
Household income
$151,923
Rent vs Own
2.4% rent · 97.6% own
Severe rent burden
51.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.44%
Current HPI
308.0227
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+278.6% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $655,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $675,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $685,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Rental Removed $2,400 ARMLS
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $2,400 ARMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $2,500 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-20 Price Changed $2,600 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $2,700 ARMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Price Changed $2,750 ARMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Listed for Rent $3,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Rental Removed $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listed for Rent $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2004-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $254,900 Public Records
  • 2004-07-09 Sold (MLS) $254,900 ARMLS
  • 2004-04-21 Listed $254,900 ARMLS
  • 2004-04-19 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2004-04-07 Listed $248,500 ARMLS
  • 2004-04-05 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2003-10-29 Listed $248,500 ARMLS
  • 2003-10-24 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2003-10-02 Listed $267,000 ARMLS
  • 2001-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-06 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2000-11-06 Listed $205,000 ARMLS
  • 1997-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $172,992 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,218 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…