2802 Sparkman Dr · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home located in near shopping, restaurants, and North Memorial Parkway. This home features an expansive primary suite as a cozy retreat with its own wood-burning fire place, creating warmth and comfort year-round.
Key facts
- Primary suite
- 0.26 acre lot
- Listed 77 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $200k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,009
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -16.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3129 Millbrook Dr NW | 0.19mi | 5/3.0 | 2,218 (-6%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $117 | 72 |
| 3124 Millbrook Dr NW | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,034 (-14%) | 15mo | $263,900 | $130 | 50 |
| 2619 Venetian Way NW | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,452 (+4%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $84 | 50 |
| 2506 Greenhill Dr NW | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,200 (-7%) | 10mo | $203,000 | $92 | 48 |
| 3110 Doner Cir NW | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,037 (-14%) | 22mo | $138,000 | $68 | 43 |
| 3706 Mcewen Dr | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 | 2,596 (+10%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $112 | 42 |
| 3459 Darlene Cir NW | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 | 2,076 (-12%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $137 | 42 |
| 2808 Penland Ave NW | 0.46mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,200 (-7%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $107 | 41 |
| 3465 Darlene Cir NW | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,540 (+8%) | 17mo | $253,000 | $100 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-17,962
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,721
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35810
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,912 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $373 | +0% $316 | +5% $260 | +10% $203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $165 | -5% $241 | +0% $316 | +5% $392 | +10% $467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $417 | -0.5pp $367 | base $316 | +0.5pp $264 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2712 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2528 | $1,975 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2712 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2528 | $2,000 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2707 Garvin Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2284 | $1,450 | $0.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3616 Hester Ln NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 743 W Arbor Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2602 Gibson St NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,625 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3904 Battlefield Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $200,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $200,000 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Welcome to this 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home located in near shopping, restaurants, and North Memorial Parkway. This home features an expansive primary suite as a cozy retreat with its own wood-burning fire place, creating warmth and comfort year-round.
-
2026-04-02$209,900 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Welcome to this 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home located in near shopping, restaurants, and North Memorial Parkway. This home features an expansive primary suite as a cozy retreat with its own wood-burning fire place, creating warmth and comfort year-round.
-
2019-10-24soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$72/yr (+$6/mo · 9.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,836
- − Management
- −$1,836
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$121
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,843
- Household income
- $51,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1223.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.00%
- Current HPI
- 198.9629
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.05%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+156.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $200,000 VMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $209,900 VMLS
- 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2024): $748 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…