Triplex
76 Burton St · Waterbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.5/10.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$599,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 76 Burton Street, Waterbury-a rare opportunity to own a fully renovated 3-family property where virtually everything has been rebuilt from the ground up. Each spacious unit offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing a total of 9 bedrooms and 3 full baths across the property. This exceptional investment features extensive improvements including updated framing, new roof, new siding, new insulation, new drywall, new flooring, new plumbing, all-new electrical service, panels and wiring, new HVAC systems, new kitchens, new bathrooms, and newly paved exterior areas. A detached one-car garage adds additional convenience and value. Whether you're an investor seeking strong rental
Key facts
- New drywall
- Fully renovated
- New siding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Domestic hot water
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding; Grey and blue exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 9 total bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat fueled by natural gas
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $599k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($215/yr) — positive. Per door: $6/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $483k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $483k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,831/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.13%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $385,776
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Willard St | 0.36mi | 8/3.0 | 2,552 (+1%) | 2mo | $445,000 | $174 | 81 |
| 72 Burton St | 0.01mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,600 (+2%) | 16mo | $395,000 | $152 | 77 |
| 26 Adams ST EXT | 0.19mi | 8/3.0 | 2,645 (+4%) | 16mo | $440,000 | $166 | 71 |
| 217 Orange St | 0.26mi | 8/3.0 | 2,880 (+14%) | 14mo | $394,999 | $137 | 54 |
| 121 Central Ave | 0.47mi | 8/4.0 | 2,650 (+4%) | 21mo | $390,000 | $147 | 49 |
| 36 Vermont St | 0.55mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,892 (+14%) | 7mo | $510,000 | $176 | 40 |
| 186 Tudor St | 0.66mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,368 (-7%) | 20mo | $405,000 | $171 | 37 |
| 133 Griggs St | 0.54mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,280 (-10%) | 20mo | $315,000 | $138 | 32 |
| 11 Taylor St | 0.73mi | 8/3.0 | 2,820 (+11%) | 23mo | $400,000 | $142 | 28 |
| 65 Benefit St | 0.68mi | 8/4.0 | 2,916 (+15%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $111 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-70,527
- Equity at exit
- $89,313
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $55,703
- Equity at exit
- $51,791
Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06704
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 31.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,141
- Tax from tax record
- −$408 /mo · $4,893/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,015
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $187 | +0% $18 | +5% $-152 | +10% $-321 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-364 | -5% $-173 | +0% $18 | +5% $209 | +10% $400 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $170 | base $18 | +0.5pp $-137 | +1.0pp $-295 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $4,830 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,610 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,610 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,610 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,831 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,750
- Closing costs
- $17,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Coe St Waterbury, CT | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3240 | $1,800 | $0.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $599,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $599,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $599,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $599,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $599,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $599,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$599,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,893 · $408/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,856 · $738/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,963/yr (+$330/mo · 81.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,553
- − Property taxes
- −$4,893
- − Insurance
- −$2,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,638
- − Management
- −$4,638
- − Depreciation
- −$17,425
- Taxable loss
- −$10,170
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,040
- Composite
- 14.85/100
- National rank
- #9380
- State rank
- #148 of 153 in CT
Livability — Waterbury
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #2205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterbury, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 115,012
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,713
- Household income
- $48,718
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1981.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% Black 28% Two or more races 20% White 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.05%
- Current HPI
- 340.0917
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.02%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $599,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2023): $4,893 · +131.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…