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3333 228th St SE #23
B- Composite 66.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,950

3333 228th St SE #23 · Bothell, WA 98021
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · Manufactured public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1992 $146/sqft · 41% above area Est $110k · 36% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Make yours this Canyon Park Remodeled MHP 1992 For 55+ With a Wonderful space to enjoy with 3 Bedrooms & 2 Bathrooms, with Nice Kitchen, Living room. The House has new Roof and Fresh Painting and two Sheds outside of the House, Owner Motivated

Key facts

  • Fresh painting
  • New roof
  • Two sheds

Tags

CANYON PARK REMODELED MHPNEW ROOFFRESH PAINTINGTWO SHEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 1.5% in Bothell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in WA, #962 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
  • Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($184k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $136,454 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
15.17%
Cash-on-cash
31.71%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,445
List price
$149,950
Delta
35.77%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3333 SE 228th St #74 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,040 (+1%) 7mo $110,000 $106 92
3333 228th St SE #125 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+5%) 16mo $115,000 $106 73
3333 228th St SE #115 0.00mi 2/1.0 910 (-11%) 20mo $95,000 $104 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$43,160
Equity at exit
$22,358
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$115,741
Equity at exit
$12,965

Cash invested: $41,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98021

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,545 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $629/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$1,109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $149,950
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,488
Closing costs
$4,498
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23028 27th Ave SE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 880 $2,636 $2.99 1d 16 0.53mi
2207 227th St SE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 846 $2,257 $2.67 1d 8 0.73mi
23940 40th Dr SE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1151 $2,868 $2.49 1d 12 0.92mi
1630 228th St SE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $2,387 $2.54 1d 11 1.05mi
3906 243rd Pl SE Bothell, WA 1.0 1.0 744 $2,299 $3.09 43d 2 1.09mi
12023 NE 204th Pl Unit E-303 Bothell, WA 1.0 1.0 739 $1,750 $2.37 43d 1 1.23mi
20707 31st Dr SE Bothell, WA 2.0 2.0 1334 $2,740 $2.05 17d 1 1.23mi
21623 16th Dr SE Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $2,598 $2.62 2d 11 1.28mi
2129 Maltby Rd Bothell, WA 3.0 2.0 1207 $2,195 $1.82 5d 4 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,950 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,950 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,950 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,950 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,950 Active 99 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,950 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,950 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,950 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,950 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,950 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,950 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,950 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,950 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,950 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    price $149,950
  16. 2026-03-06
    listed $159,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$629 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,470 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$840/yr (+$70/mo · 133.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,543
− Mortgage interest
−$8,400
− Property taxes
−$629
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,443
− Management
−$2,443
− Depreciation
−$4,362
Taxable income
$11,516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,764
After-tax cash flow
$10,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northshore School District
NCES district ID
5305910
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$92,951
Composite
67.41/100
National rank
#826
State rank
#9 of 291 in WA

Livability — Bothell

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#962

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bothell, WA
County
Snohomish County · 786,756 people
City population
141,635
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
35,631
Household income
$183,786
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
413.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Asian 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
29% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Chinese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -903.22%
Current HPI
380.5475
Rent YoY
▲ 1.75%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $159,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $629 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…