3333 228th St SE #23 · Bothell, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Make yours this Canyon Park Remodeled MHP 1992 For 55+ With a Wonderful space to enjoy with 3 Bedrooms & 2 Bathrooms, with Nice Kitchen, Living room. The House has new Roof and Fresh Painting and two Sheds outside of the House, Owner Motivated
Key facts
- Fresh painting
- New roof
- Two sheds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 1.5% in Bothell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in WA, #962 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
- Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($184k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.71%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,445
- List price
- $149,950
- Delta
- 35.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3333 SE 228th St #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+1%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $106 | 92 |
| 3333 228th St SE #125 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $106 | 73 |
| 3333 228th St SE #115 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-11%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $104 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $43,160
- Equity at exit
- $22,358
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $115,741
- Equity at exit
- $12,965
Cash invested: $41,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98021
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,545 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $629/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $1,109
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,488
- Closing costs
- $4,498
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23028 27th Ave SE Bothell, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,636 | $2.99 | 1d | 16 | 0.53mi |
| 2207 227th St SE Bothell, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 846 | $2,257 | $2.67 | 1d | 8 | 0.73mi |
| 23940 40th Dr SE Bothell, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1151 | $2,868 | $2.49 | 1d | 12 | 0.92mi |
| 1630 228th St SE Bothell, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $2,387 | $2.54 | 1d | 11 | 1.05mi |
| 3906 243rd Pl SE Bothell, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $2,299 | $3.09 | 43d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 12023 NE 204th Pl Unit E-303 Bothell, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,750 | $2.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 20707 31st Dr SE Bothell, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $2,740 | $2.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 21623 16th Dr SE Bothell, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $2,598 | $2.62 | 2d | 11 | 1.28mi |
| 2129 Maltby Rd Bothell, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $2,195 | $1.82 | 5d | 4 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,950 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,950 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,950 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,950 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,950 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,950 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,950 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,950 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,950 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,950 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,950 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,950 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,950 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,950 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $149,950
-
2026-03-06$159,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $629 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,470 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$840/yr (+$70/mo · 133.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,400
- − Property taxes
- −$629
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,443
- − Management
- −$2,443
- − Depreciation
- −$4,362
- Taxable income
- $11,516
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,764
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northshore School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305910
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,951
- Composite
- 67.41/100
- National rank
- #826
- State rank
- #9 of 291 in WA
Livability — Bothell
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bothell, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 141,635
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,631
- Household income
- $183,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 413.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Asian 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -903.22%
- Current HPI
- 380.5475
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-6.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $159,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $629 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…