6989 Dahlia Dr · Sharpes, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential of this 0.17 acre vacant lot in Port St. John to build your own brand-new home. The lot is not only cleared, but high and dry (not in a flood zone) and in a neighborhood with No HOA! This plot of land offers convenient public road access with close proximity to downtown Titusville, Cocoa Village, Kennedy Space Center, beaches, Orlando attractions & major highways. It's just waiting for the right person to make it their own. Buyers are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to explore any desired modifications or alterations to the property.
Key facts
- Lots of cabinets
- Island with overhang
- Brand new house
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces east
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Membrane roof; Lot fronts on a city street; Asphalt road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#302 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fairglen Elementary School (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 617 students, 71% FRL); Cocoa High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,551 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 43% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $240k implies a 772% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.42%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-20,801
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,680
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32927
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,483 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4005 Fennec Ln Cocoa, FL | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2136 | $2,345 | $1.10 | 13d | 7 | 0.94mi |
| 100 Canebreakers Dr Cocoa, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1362 | $2,400 | $1.76 | 23d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 100 Canebreakers Dr #108 Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $239,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-03-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-24$249,900 Active
-
2025-08-13soldstatus $27,500
-
2025-08-12status Active 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Discover the potential of this 0.17 acre vacant lot in Port St. John to build your own brand-new home. The lot is not only cleared, but high and dry (not in a flood zone) and in a neighborhood with No HOA! This plot of land offers convenient public road access with close proximity to downtown Titusville, Cocoa Village, Kennedy Space Center, beaches, Orlando attractions & major highways. It's just waiting for the right person to make it their own. Buyers are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to explore any desired modifications or alterations to the property.
-
2025-08-12soldstatus $27,500 Closed 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Discover the potential of this 0.17 acre vacant lot in Port St. John to build your own brand-new home. The lot is not only cleared, but high and dry (not in a flood zone) and in a neighborhood with No HOA! This plot of land offers convenient public road access with close proximity to downtown Titusville, Cocoa Village, Kennedy Space Center, beaches, Orlando attractions & major highways. It's just waiting for the right person to make it their own. Buyers are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to explore any desired modifications or alterations to the property.
-
2025-07-26historical Active Under Contract 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Discover the potential of this 0.17 acre vacant lot in Port St. John to build your own brand-new home. The lot is not only cleared, but high and dry (not in a flood zone) and in a neighborhood with No HOA! This plot of land offers convenient public road access with close proximity to downtown Titusville, Cocoa Village, Kennedy Space Center, beaches, Orlando attractions & major highways. It's just waiting for the right person to make it their own. Buyers are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to explore any desired modifications or alterations to the property.
-
2025-03-31$35,000 Active 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Discover the potential of this 0.17 acre vacant lot in Port St. John to build your own brand-new home. The lot is not only cleared, but high and dry (not in a flood zone) and in a neighborhood with No HOA! This plot of land offers convenient public road access with close proximity to downtown Titusville, Cocoa Village, Kennedy Space Center, beaches, Orlando attractions & major highways. It's just waiting for the right person to make it their own. Buyers are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to explore any desired modifications or alterations to the property.
-
1991-05-30soldstatus $28,000
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1988-08-01soldstatus $26,500
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1975-02-01soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,793
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,383
- − Management
- −$2,383
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$189
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sharpes
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5144
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sharpes, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 11
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,219
- Household income
- $86,075
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 192.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.36%
- Current HPI
- 330.5099
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+3023.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $249,900 SCMLS
- 2025-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 2025-08-12 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2025-08-12 Sold (MLS) $27,500 SCMLS
- 2025-07-26 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2025-03-31 Listed $35,000 SCMLS
- 1991-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1988-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
- 1975-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $228 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…