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5040 Jackson St #7
B+ Composite 77.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

5040 Jackson St #7 · North Highlands, CA 95660
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 1971 $62/sqft · 22% below area Est $64k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming & Affordable 55+ Mobile Home in Lamplighter Sacramento! Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity to own a well-built, structurally sound manufactured home in the friendly and welcoming Lamplighter Sacramento Mobile Home Park! A little updating and a fresh coat of paint will transform this gem into your dream sanctuary. Enjoy the generous outdoor space, perfect for gardening, relaxing, or entertaining. Plus, ample outdoor storage allows for easy organization of tools, seasonal decor, or hobby supplies. Located in a quiet, well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation. Lamplighter is more than just a place to live. It's a lifestyle. Ta

Key facts

  • Outdoor storage
  • Full kitchen
  • Spa

Tags

OUTDOOR SPACEOUTDOOR STORAGEFULL KITCHENSPA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.68%
Cap rate
32.91%
Cash-on-cash
95.05%
DSCR
5.23
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,006
List price
$50,000
Delta
-21.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3650 Ohio Ln #82 0.49mi 2/1.0 784 (-2%) 2mo $80,000 $102 72
5040 Jackson St #18 0.05mi 2/2.0 880 (+10%) 6mo $110,000 $125 72
4215 Ticonderoga Ln 0.36mi 2/1.0 750 (-6%) 10mo $54,900 $73 65
7 4th St 0.48mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 3mo $30,000 $42 59
4127 Chesapeake Ln #122 0.38mi 2/1.0 900 (+12%) 15mo $47,000 $52 49
4211 Ticonderoga 0.34mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 24mo $50,000 $69 47
5050 Roseville Rd Unit F4 0.51mi 2/2.0 840 (+5%) 22mo $30,000 $36 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
99.0%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$67,667
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.30×
Total profit
$172,165
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95660

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,841 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$1,109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,143 -5% $1,126 +0% $1,109 +5% $1,092 +10% $1,074
Rent -10% $963 -5% $1,036 +0% $1,109 +5% $1,182 +10% $1,254
Rate -1.0pp $1,134 -0.5pp $1,122 base $1,109 +0.5pp $1,096 +1.0pp $1,083

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5123 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 912 $1,950 $2.14 2d 1 0.13mi
3800 Madison Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 524 $1,500 $2.86 2d 7 0.22mi
5061 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 2d 1 0.26mi
3731 Scallop Ct North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $2,150 $2.33 44d 1 0.26mi
4008 Tricia Way North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 13d 1 0.33mi
4020 Tricia Way Unit 4688001002 North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 44d 1 0.34mi
5119 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 592 $1,250 $2.11 2d 1 0.35mi
5416 Jackson St North Highlands, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $1,750 $2.43 2d 30 0.36mi
4930 Polk St North Highlands, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $1,795 $1.91 2d 3 0.46mi
5520 Harrison St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 735 $1,478 $2.01 8d 1 0.50mi
3669 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 1.0 1.0 620 $1,245 $2.01 2d 2 0.56mi
3609 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 2d 2 0.59mi
5516 Palmdale Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,250 $2.02 21d 1 0.60mi
3652 McClellan Dr North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,650 $2.20 2d 1 0.65mi
3517 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 3d 1 0.67mi
5625 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 875 $2,150 $2.46 2d 1 0.68mi
4215 Palm Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,660 $2.14 2d 3 0.75mi
4605 Cyclamen Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,695 $1.95 2d 1 0.85mi
4358 Greenholme Dr #9 Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 844 $1,695 $2.01 4d 1 0.85mi
5733 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 925 $2,195 $2.37 2d 1 0.87mi
5001 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1106 $2,400 $2.17 2d 1 0.91mi
4552 Ashcroft Ave Unit 36D Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 2d 1 0.91mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Unit 52 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 2d 1 0.91mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Apt 49 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 888 $1,499 $1.69 2d 1 0.91mi
5800 Hamilton St Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 823 $1,770 $2.15 2d 4 0.93mi
5614 Hillsdale Blvd Unit A Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,450 $1.55 22d 1 0.94mi
5048 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,588 $1.59 44d 1 0.94mi
4909 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $1,750 $2.37 44d 1 0.98mi
5011 Bremner Way #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 2d 1 0.99mi
5011 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 24d 1 0.99mi
4728 Amber Ln Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 730 $1,900 $2.60 20d 1 1.00mi
5008 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 2d 1 1.03mi
5674 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,600 $1.71 2d 1 1.04mi
4549 Greenholme Dr #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 3d 1 1.05mi
6037 N Haven Dr North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 884 $2,150 $2.43 2d 1 1.10mi
5600 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $1,700 $1.84 2d 1 1.10mi
5728 Luce Ave McClellan Park, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0 1058 $2,120 $2.00 2d 3 1.14mi
5415 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 2d 3 1.14mi
4661 Orange Grove Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 24d 2 1.15mi
4815 Mary Kate Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 44d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 52 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,092
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,767
− Management
−$1,767
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$13,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,193
After-tax cash flow
$10,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — North Highlands

Score
61/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#17613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Highlands, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
56,900
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,451
Household income
$68,235
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
1300.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.83%
Current HPI
438.1022
Rent YoY
▲ 5.69%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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