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37622 March Ln
C+ Composite 62.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

37622 March Ln · Zephyrhills West, FL 33541
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1972 5,450 sqft lot Est $78k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

No HOA's! Own your own land! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has it all! This home would be perfect for full time or part time living. Enjoy a partially furnished home with open concept and plenty of storage. Home includes a full length carport, 10x20 screened in porch and 2 storage sheds. New windows within the last five years, new A/C within the last 10 years and metal roof over. This home is definitely a must see!

Key facts

  • 5,450 sq ft lot
  • Built 1972
  • Listed 64 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Street lights in the community; Pets allowed: Cats and dogs permitted

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water (connected/available); Septic tank; Electricity available and connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential single-wide mobile home; One story; Faces west; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.13-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.80%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,952
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37706 March Ln 0.07mi 2/1.5 672 (0%) 9mo $80,000 $119 87
4833 Royal Palm Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 2mo $78,000 $116 77
37418 Hammond Dr 0.41mi 2/2.0 692 (+3%) 13mo $62,000 $90 61
4550 Olive Dr 0.48mi 2/2.0 720 (+7%) 1mo $97,000 $135 61
37437 Ray Dr 0.46mi 2/1.5 680 (+1%) 17mo $74,900 $110 61
4927 Coral St 0.49mi 2/1.5 720 (+7%) 12mo $66,000 $92 53
4632 Coral St 0.31mi 1/1.0 (-1) 588 (-12%) 9mo $82,650 $141 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$8,037
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$26,205
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
856
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,320 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $794
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $441 +0% $415 +5% $390 +10% $364
Rent -10% $311 -5% $363 +0% $415 +5% $467 +10% $520
Rate -1.0pp $461 -0.5pp $438 base $415 +0.5pp $392 +1.0pp $368

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37925 Date Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.5 720 $1,300 $1.81 25d 1 0.29mi
4833 Royal Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 672 $1,090 $1.62 25d 1 0.45mi
4412 Plum St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 624 $1,100 $1.76 25d 1 0.68mi
4410 Plum St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 624 $1,100 $1.76 25d 1 0.68mi
38044 6th Ave Unit 38044 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 494 $950 $1.92 25d 1 0.78mi
4352 6th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 494 $1,100 $2.23 25d 1 0.82mi
5168 Crooked Ln Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,645 $2.74 22d 1 0.96mi
5150 6th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $925 $1.54 25d 1 0.99mi
5208 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.09mi
5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.10mi
5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 17d 1 1.10mi
5206 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.10mi
5611 1st St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 17d 1 1.14mi
5426 8th St #1 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 432 $1,150 $2.66 25d 1 1.23mi
38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 537 $1,195 $2.23 25d 1 1.28mi
38941 C Ave Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 520 $1,050 $2.02 5d 1 1.35mi
5217 17th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 540 $1,050 $1.94 25d 1 1.37mi
4808 20th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 702 $1,295 $1.84 11d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $89,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $95,000
  16. 2026-04-27
    price $99,900
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $120,000 Active
  18. 2022-01-19
    soldstatus $69,900
  19. 2022-01-07
    soldstatus $69,900 Closed 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    No HOA's! Own your own land! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has it all! This home would be perfect for full time or part time living. Enjoy a partially furnished home with open concept and plenty of storage. Home includes a full length carport, 10x20 screened in porch and 2 storage sheds. New windows within the last five years, new A/C within the last 10 years and metal roof over. This home is definitely a must see!

  20. 2021-12-06
    status Pending 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    No HOA's! Own your own land! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has it all! This home would be perfect for full time or part time living. Enjoy a partially furnished home with open concept and plenty of storage. Home includes a full length carport, 10x20 screened in porch and 2 storage sheds. New windows within the last five years, new A/C within the last 10 years and metal roof over. This home is definitely a must see!

  21. 2021-12-01
    listed $69,900 Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    No HOA's! Own your own land! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has it all! This home would be perfect for full time or part time living. Enjoy a partially furnished home with open concept and plenty of storage. Home includes a full length carport, 10x20 screened in porch and 2 storage sheds. New windows within the last five years, new A/C within the last 10 years and metal roof over. This home is definitely a must see!

  22. 2010-04-07
    soldstatus $34,000 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Motivated Seller. You own the land. Very well maintained and a extremely attractive furnished mobile home. No HOA fees or dues. Owner has made numerous improvements including new flooring in the kitchen and bathroom. Nice size lot measuring 51X109. Great screened porch torelax on that measures 10x21. Kitchen appliances include a range, refrigerator, dishwasher, & microwave. Washer & dryer also go with the home, and are inside. New 8 X 10 shed with power. There are hurricane awnings on several windows, a roof over, plus gutters and downspouts were installed. Come and see this home that shows pride of ownership.

  23. 2009-11-23
    listed $37,900 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Motivated Seller. You own the land. Very well maintained and a extremely attractive furnished mobile home. No HOA fees or dues. Owner has made numerous improvements including new flooring in the kitchen and bathroom. Nice size lot measuring 51X109. Great screened porch torelax on that measures 10x21. Kitchen appliances include a range, refrigerator, dishwasher, & microwave. Washer & dryer also go with the home, and are inside. New 8 X 10 shed with power. There are hurricane awnings on several windows, a roof over, plus gutters and downspouts were installed. Come and see this home that shows pride of ownership.

  24. 2007-02-14
    soldstatus $38,750
  25. 2007-01-30
    listed $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,835
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,420
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,267
− Management
−$1,267
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$4,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills West

Score
61/100
State rank
#772
US rank
#17403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zephyrhills West, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.21%
Current HPI
308.0619
Rent YoY
▼ -2.51%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2022-01-07 Sold (MLS) $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-01 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-07 Sold (MLS) $34,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-23 Listed $37,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-02-14 Sold (MLS) $38,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-30 Listed $44,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,420 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…