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1415 J St
C+ Composite 62.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$130,000

1415 J St · Tekamah, NE 68061
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1930 9,600 sqft lot $139/sqft · 12% below area Est $148k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very cute 2 bed /1 bath home with 1 car detached garage in Tekamah. Appliances stay! Beautiful wood floors throughout. Quiet location. Perfect for rental, downsizing, or starter home. This home makes great use of the space and feels bigger than it is. Come take a look before it's gone.

Key facts

  • 9,600 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#138 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tekamah-Herman Community Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #72 of 111 in NE (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Burt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Burt County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $130k implies a 567% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,500 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.11%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,000
List price
$130,000
Delta
-12.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1709 L St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+3%) 4mo $148,000 $154 74
302 N 10th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 900 (-3%) 18mo $155,900 $173 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$60,475
Equity at exit
$97,722
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
5.66×
Total profit
$169,447
Equity at exit
$192,991

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68061

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $812/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$125

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,017
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 S 13th St Unit 3C Tekamah, NE 2.0 2.0 839 $1,175 $1.40 23d 1 0.16mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $130,000 New 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Very cute 2 bed /1 bath home with 1 car detached garage in Tekamah. Appliances stay! Beautiful wood floors throughout. Quiet location. Perfect for rental, downsizing, or starter home. This home makes great use of the space and feels bigger than it is. Come take a look before it's gone.

  16. 2010-09-29
    soldstatus $19,502
  17. 2010-09-01
    historical
  18. 2010-07-20
    historical
  19. 2010-07-19
    listed $23,500
  20. 2010-06-02
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$812 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,249 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$1,437/yr (+$120/mo · 177.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,100
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$812
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$164
After-tax cash flow
$1,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tekamah-Herman Community Schools
NCES district ID
3100071
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$48,922
Composite
40.2/100
National rank
#3784
State rank
#72 of 111 in NE

Livability — Tekamah

Score
73/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#5087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tekamah, NE
Population (ZIP)
2,249

Population outlook (Burt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,136 people
By 2030
5,896 · -3.9%
By 2040
5,446 · -11.2%
By 2050
5,044 · -17.8%
By 2075
4,535 · -26.1%
By 2100
3,973 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burt

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 26.9% · R 72.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.88%
Current HPI
257.6227
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+420.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $130,000 GPRMLS
  • 2010-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $19,502 Public Records
  • 2010-09-01 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2010-07-20 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2010-07-19 Listed $23,500 GPRMLS
  • 2010-06-02 Listed $25,000 GPRMLS

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2020): $812 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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