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2718 Grange Ct
D Composite 41.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$245,000

2718 Grange Ct · Hamilton, NJ 08330
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,105 sqft · Townhouse · 1 Days on market
Built 1998 Est $244k · at est. $493/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is what you have been waiting for! Totally remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath corner condo located in the desirable Timber Glen community. Once inside you will find a bright open layout perfect for everyday living and enjoyment. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space and flows into the main living. The 1st floor main bedroom features generous closet space and a remodeled bath, while the second bedroom has a full bathroom too. conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. This move-in ready condo is looking for a buyer who is ready to go.

Key facts

  • Bright open layout
  • Remodeled bath
  • Conveniently located

Tags

REMODELED CORNER CONDOBRIGHT OPEN LAYOUTPLENTY OF CABINET SPACEGENEROUS CLOSET SPACEREMODELED BATHCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $493; Association amenities include outdoor pool and tennis courts; Association fee covers other items (unspecified)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking space in a parking lot (1 assigned space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Entry level is level with the main floor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and stone exterior; Built (year per assessor); Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Tennis courts; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with size/weight restrictions

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning (natural gas cooling fuel); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Assessor-reported living area; Level entry to main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (17.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $245k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,947 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.20%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$244,205
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2713 Falcon Ct 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,188 (+8%) 11mo $235,000 $198 75
2614 Canyon Ct #2614 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,177 (+6%) 8mo $235,000 $200 72
2705 Canyon Ct 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,177 (+6%) 15mo $259,900 $221 68
2705 Canyon Ct #2705 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,177 (+6%) 15mo $259,900 $221 68
2619 Boulder Ct 0.14mi 2/2.0 955 (-14%) 5mo $235,000 $246 67
2619 Durango Ct #2619 0.09mi 2/1.0 955 (-14%) 4mo $225,000 $236 66
2618 Flagstaff Ct #2001 0.05mi 2/2.0 955 (-14%) 11mo $200,000 $209 66
2618 Flagstaff Ct 0.06mi 2/2.0 955 (-14%) 11mo $200,000 $209 66
2619 Durango Ct 0.14mi 2/1.0 955 (-14%) 4mo $225,000 $236 64
2819 Canyon Ct #1001 0.12mi 2/2.0 955 (-14%) 14mo $211,150 $221 60
2603 Canyon Ct #2603 0.22mi 2/2.0 955 (-14%) 10mo $223,000 $234 59
2603 Canyon Ct 0.22mi 1/1.0 (-1) 955 (-14%) 10mo $223,000 $234 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$114,823
Equity at exit
$220,715
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
6.16×
Total profit
$353,711
Equity at exit
$475,981

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08330

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,391 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$493
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$-298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,767
Max offer price $201,947
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-128 -5% $-213 +0% $-298 +5% $-382 +10% $-467
Rent -10% $-486 -5% $-392 +0% $-298 +5% $-203 +10% $-109
Rate -1.0pp $-174 -0.5pp $-235 base $-298 +0.5pp $-361 +1.0pp $-426

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2605 Flagstaff Ct #2605 Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 23d 1 0.09mi
2000 Timber Glen Dr Mays Landing, NJ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1577 $2,441 $1.55 15d 2 0.22mi
2703 Mimosa Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1268 $2,200 $1.74 15d 1 0.90mi
2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ 1.0 1.0 929 $1,800 $1.94 15d 1 0.92mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 45d 1 1.08mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 15d 1 1.08mi
3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $2,810 $2.36 15d 18 1.14mi
6020 Delilah Rd Egg Harbor Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1009 $2,425 $2.40 15d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$493 · $5,916/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 567-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $245,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,688
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,295
− Management
−$2,295
− HOA
−$5,916
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$7,569
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,817
After-tax cash flow
$-1,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton Township School District
NCES district ID
3406510
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$60,997
Composite
21.34/100
National rank
#8372
State rank
#401 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Hamilton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McKee City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
29,972
Household income
$77,167
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
1003.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.58%
Current HPI
308.5148
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-21 Listed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-20 Listed $245,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $140,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-18 Listed $145,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…