1600 Victory Ter · Northlake, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$544,490
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
Key facts
- Large covered patio
- Game room
- Larger backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $544k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-915 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $412k (24.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $376k (30.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $376k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.8% in Northlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#936 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Argyle ISD (rural): math 71% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #8 of 826 in TX (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1131 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($479k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.20%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $642,032
- List price
- $544,490
- Delta
- -15.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1422 Victory Ter | 0.06mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,596 (0%) | 1mo | $545,432 | $210 | 89 |
| 1608 Victory Ter | 0.02mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,319 (-11%) | 1mo | $499,315 | $215 | 72 |
| 1450 20th St | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,476 (-5%) | 2mo | $549,000 | $222 | 71 |
| 1512 Lavender Ln | 0.58mi | 5/4.0 | 2,632 (+1%) | 2mo | $579,900 | $220 | 69 |
| 2519 Bedford Rd | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,814 (+8%) | 2mo | $564,500 | $201 | 64 |
| 1608 Canary Ln | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,776 (+7%) | 1mo | $490,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 2819 Silver Leaf Dr | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,413 (-7%) | 1mo | $509,900 | $211 | 51 |
| 1600 Chickadee Dr | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,806 (+8%) | 1mo | $575,000 | $205 | 49 |
| 1116 Grassy Ln | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,363 (-9%) | 2mo | $515,000 | $218 | 45 |
| 1605 Moss Trail Ct | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,318 (-11%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $237 | 43 |
| 1428 14th St | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,943 (+13%) | 4mo | $649,999 | $221 | 34 |
| 1821 Waxwing Trl | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,208 (-15%) | 2mo | $419,000 | $190 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-151,558
- Equity at exit
- $81,185
- IRR
- -40.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-227,174
- Equity at exit
- $47,078
Cash invested: $152,457 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76226
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1131
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,762 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,855
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$681 /mo · $8,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$227
- HOA
- −$124
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$790
- Net cashflow
- $-915
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-539 | -5% $-727 | +0% $-915 | +5% $-1,103 | +10% $-1,291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,212 | -5% $-1,063 | +0% $-915 | +5% $-766 | +10% $-618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-641 | -0.5pp $-776 | base $-915 | +0.5pp $-1,056 | +1.0pp $-1,200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $136,122
- Closing costs
- $16,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1450 20th St Northlake, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2476 | $3,850 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1224 20th St Northlake, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3215 | $4,500 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1513 Canary Ln Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2511 | $3,350 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1316 Millerbird Way Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1806 | $2,900 | $1.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1804 Laurel Ln Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2439 | $3,167 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1704 Laurel Ln Argyle, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2116 | $3,633 | $1.72 | 0d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 916 Dove Cv Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2263 | $2,995 | $1.32 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 909 Fenceline Dr Argyle, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3214 | $3,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1813 McGee Ave Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2491 | $2,450 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 824 Trailside Ln Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2453 | $3,250 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 209 Meadows Dr Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2798 | $2,950 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1724 Henderson Dr Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2044 | $2,411 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $124 · $1,488/yr
- Likely covers
- electriclandscapingpoolgym
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $544,490 Pending 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $544,490 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $544,490 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $544,490 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $544,490 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $544,490 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $544,490 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $544,490 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $544,490 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $544,490 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-03-22price $549,490 1279-char remark
Show marketing remark (1279 chars)
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
-
2026-03-20price $549,490 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
What's Special: Larger Backyard - South Facing Lot - 5th Bedroom - Game Room - Large Covered Patio. New Construction - Ready Now! Built by Taylor Morrison, America's Most Trusted Homebuilder. Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room—perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. MLS#21132966
-
2026-02-21price $551,490 1279-char remark
Show marketing remark (1279 chars)
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
-
2026-02-19price $551,490 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
What's Special: Larger Backyard - South Facing Lot - 5th Bedroom - Game Room - Large Covered Patio. New Construction - Ready Now! Built by Taylor Morrison, America's Most Trusted Homebuilder. Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room—perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. MLS#21132966
-
2025-12-27status Active 1279-char remark
Show marketing remark (1279 chars)
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
-
2025-12-24historical 1279-char remark
Show marketing remark (1279 chars)
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
-
2025-12-16$565,990 Active 1279-char remark
Show marketing remark (1279 chars)
Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room-perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. Come home to stunning curb appeal, vacation-style amenities and friendly neighbors. A community bursting with amenities awaits at The Ridge at Northlake 60s. Kids will love it here, thanks to playgrounds, a newly opened adventure park, ninja course and Little Explorer's Club with a mini city inside. Then, take some time for yourself at the glittering, resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, event lawn and more! Plus, you'll be zoned for the top-rated Argyle Independent School District. MLS#21132966
-
2025-12-15$565,990 Active 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
What's Special: Larger Backyard - South Facing Lot - 5th Bedroom - Game Room - Large Covered Patio. New Construction - Ready Now! Built by Taylor Morrison, America's Most Trusted Homebuilder. Welcome to the Saffron plan at 1600 Victory Terrace in Northlake. Discover modern living in this stunning two-story home designed for both comfort and style. The state-of-the-art kitchen flows seamlessly into a relaxed dining area and an inviting great room—perfect for entertaining. Enjoy versatile spaces including a dedicated study for productivity and a game room for endless fun. Cozy up by the fireplace in the great room or unwind in the lifestyle space. The primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a luxurious soaking tub, creating the ultimate escape. Every detail of the Saffron plan is crafted to deliver elegance and convenience at every turn. Additional Highlights Include: bedroom 5 and bath 4, upgraded flooring, upgraded countertops and electrical. MLS#21132966
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,500
- − Property taxes
- −$8,167
- − Insurance
- −$2,722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,611
- − Management
- −$3,611
- − HOA
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$15,840
- Taxable loss
- −$20,797
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,991
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Argyle ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808670
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,516
- Composite
- 64.16/100
- National rank
- #568
- State rank
- #8 of 826 in TX
Livability — Northlake
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #936
- US rank
- #16625
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northlake, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,587
- Household income
- $180,982
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 40.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.81%
- Current HPI
- 253.1948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-2.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $549,490 Zillow
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $549,490 NTREIS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $551,490 Zillow
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $551,490 NTREIS
- 2025-12-27 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-24 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-16 Listed $565,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-15 Listed $565,990 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…