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221 Dorothy Dr
C+ Composite 62.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

221 Dorothy Dr · Churchill, PA 15235
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1955 9,557 sqft lot $101/sqft · 20% below area Est $188k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 221 Dorothy Drive - in the Penn Hill School District. A solid brick home on the perfect lot! A flat entry into the spacious, open Living Room that naturally flows into the open Kitchen allows room for all your entertaining. 2 full updated baths. 2 Bedrooms on the main floor and upstairs. The beautify in this home is the large deck off the kitchen that overlooks a large, beautiful, flat back yard! Pull down the driveway and around back to the one car garage. A fully finished Family Room for more space - laundry area and walk out to the back yard.

Key facts

  • Usable backyard
  • Newer windows
  • Sliding glass door

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSSLIDING GLASS DOORBACK DECKUSABLE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (built-in) with space for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Property listed as resale

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on upper level (15 x 11); Bedroom on upper level (11 x 10); Bedroom on main level (11 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with walk-out access; Game room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in Churchill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#486 in PA, #4,477 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #496 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $150k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.75%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$188,151
List price
$150,000
Delta
-20.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11701 Althea Rd 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,588 (+7%) 4mo $211,000 $133 68
11534 Clematis Blvd 0.54mi 4/2.5 1,461 (-2%) 4mo $260,000 $178 66
107 Cristie Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 1,521 (+2%) 0mo $235,000 $155 65
11505 Clematis Blvd 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (+4%) 6mo $172,000 $111 64
11522 Clematis Blvd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,480 (-0%) 5mo $165,000 $111 63
175 Crescent Hills Rd 0.41mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,596 (+7%) 2mo $165,000 $103 60
332 Highland Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-6%) 3mo $208,000 $149 57
104 Earlwood Rd 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,680 (+13%) 2mo $230,000 $137 52
192 Glenfield Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,550 (+4%) 2mo $256,000 $165 50
121 Betty Jane Ct 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,337 (-10%) 4mo $187,500 $140 49
103 Cristie Dr 0.62mi 4/1.5 1,620 (+9%) 6mo $230,000 $142 49
167 Ritzland Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,705 (+15%) 2mo $212,500 $125 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-890
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$56,386
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15235

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,703 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$260 /mo · $3,125/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,405
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $321 -5% $279 +0% $236 +5% $194 +10% $151
Rent -10% $102 -5% $169 +0% $236 +5% $303 +10% $371
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $274 base $236 +0.5pp $197 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 Jacob Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $2,300 $2.01 2d 1 0.27mi
124 Dauntless Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 24d 1 0.57mi
1526 Edwards St Verona, PA 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,730 $1.33 44d 1 0.72mi
11843 Joan Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 4d 1 0.78mi
10135 Pearl Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1163 $1,450 $1.25 24d 1 0.84mi
1426 Homestead Rd Unit 3 Verona, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 13d 1 0.96mi
261 Universal Rd Unit 261UNIV Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 3d 1 1.00mi
641 Penny Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1199 $1,525 $1.27 15d 1 1.04mi
3005 Laketon Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 15d 1 1.10mi
610 Churchill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 2d 1 1.10mi
127 Stowe Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 948 $1,495 $1.58 21d 1 1.18mi
648 Southern Ave Penn Hills, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 8d 1 1.21mi
154 Collins Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 2d 1 1.31mi
6184 Poketa Rd Verona, PA 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,750 $1.32 3d 1 1.31mi
717 Jefferson Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,295 $1.12 15d 1 1.36mi
150 Marshall Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 923 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 1.41mi
753 Jefferson Rd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 4d 1 1.43mi
209 Briarwood Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 28 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Contingent 27 DOM
  8. 2026-05-09
    historical Contingent 495-char remark
  9. 2026-05-04
    listed $150,000 Active 495-char remark
  10. 2023-09-30
    listed $175,000 Active 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Welcome to 221 Dorothy Drive - in the Penn Hill School District. A solid brick home on the perfect lot! A flat entry into the spacious, open Living Room that naturally flows into the open Kitchen allows room for all your entertaining. 2 full updated baths. 2 Bedrooms on the main floor and upstairs. The beautify in this home is the large deck off the kitchen that overlooks a large, beautiful, flat back yard! Pull down the driveway and around back to the one car garage. A fully finished Family Room for more space - laundry area and walk out to the back yard.

  11. 2022-01-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Charming & Spacious Cape Cod Style Home Situated On A Quiet Street Affording Private Backyard With Large Patio and Limitless Possibilities. This Quaint Home Boasts 4 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! The Main Floor Bedroom and Full Bath Provide The Opportunity For Easy Access One-Level Living. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Solid Wood Cabinetry, Functional Design and Backyard/Porch Access. The Upper Level Bedrooms Are Complete With Loads Of Storage. The Lower Level Doubles The Living Space With possibilities of a Fully Finished Gameroom & Oversized Laundry Room. The Lower Level Also Provides Plenty Of Storage and Closet Space with Walk Out. The Integral Garage Has Plenty Of Room For A Vehicle, Storage and A Workbench. Completing The Home Is The Private Backyard and Garage around back. Conveniently Located, Just Minutes To Rt-22, I-376, Pa Turnpike.

  12. 2022-01-14
    soldstatus $79,800 Closed
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Charming & Spacious Cape Cod Style Home Situated On A Quiet Street Affording Private Backyard With Large Patio and Limitless Possibilities. This Quaint Home Boasts 4 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! The Main Floor Bedroom and Full Bath Provide The Opportunity For Easy Access One-Level Living. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Solid Wood Cabinetry, Functional Design and Backyard/Porch Access. The Upper Level Bedrooms Are Complete With Loads Of Storage. The Lower Level Doubles The Living Space With possibilities of a Fully Finished Gameroom & Oversized Laundry Room. The Lower Level Also Provides Plenty Of Storage and Closet Space with Walk Out. The Integral Garage Has Plenty Of Room For A Vehicle, Storage and A Workbench. Completing The Home Is The Private Backyard and Garage around back. Conveniently Located, Just Minutes To Rt-22, I-376, Pa Turnpike.

  13. 2021-12-29
    historical Contingent
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Charming & Spacious Cape Cod Style Home Situated On A Quiet Street Affording Private Backyard With Large Patio and Limitless Possibilities. This Quaint Home Boasts 4 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! The Main Floor Bedroom and Full Bath Provide The Opportunity For Easy Access One-Level Living. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Solid Wood Cabinetry, Functional Design and Backyard/Porch Access. The Upper Level Bedrooms Are Complete With Loads Of Storage. The Lower Level Doubles The Living Space With possibilities of a Fully Finished Gameroom & Oversized Laundry Room. The Lower Level Also Provides Plenty Of Storage and Closet Space with Walk Out. The Integral Garage Has Plenty Of Room For A Vehicle, Storage and A Workbench. Completing The Home Is The Private Backyard and Garage around back. Conveniently Located, Just Minutes To Rt-22, I-376, Pa Turnpike.

  14. 2021-12-22
    price $102,000
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Charming & Spacious Cape Cod Style Home Situated On A Quiet Street Affording Private Backyard With Large Patio and Limitless Possibilities. This Quaint Home Boasts 4 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! The Main Floor Bedroom and Full Bath Provide The Opportunity For Easy Access One-Level Living. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Solid Wood Cabinetry, Functional Design and Backyard/Porch Access. The Upper Level Bedrooms Are Complete With Loads Of Storage. The Lower Level Doubles The Living Space With possibilities of a Fully Finished Gameroom & Oversized Laundry Room. The Lower Level Also Provides Plenty Of Storage and Closet Space with Walk Out. The Integral Garage Has Plenty Of Room For A Vehicle, Storage and A Workbench. Completing The Home Is The Private Backyard and Garage around back. Conveniently Located, Just Minutes To Rt-22, I-376, Pa Turnpike.

  15. 2021-11-04
    listed $114,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Charming & Spacious Cape Cod Style Home Situated On A Quiet Street Affording Private Backyard With Large Patio and Limitless Possibilities. This Quaint Home Boasts 4 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! The Main Floor Bedroom and Full Bath Provide The Opportunity For Easy Access One-Level Living. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Solid Wood Cabinetry, Functional Design and Backyard/Porch Access. The Upper Level Bedrooms Are Complete With Loads Of Storage. The Lower Level Doubles The Living Space With possibilities of a Fully Finished Gameroom & Oversized Laundry Room. The Lower Level Also Provides Plenty Of Storage and Closet Space with Walk Out. The Integral Garage Has Plenty Of Room For A Vehicle, Storage and A Workbench. Completing The Home Is The Private Backyard and Garage around back. Conveniently Located, Just Minutes To Rt-22, I-376, Pa Turnpike.

  16. 2021-11-03
    price $114,900
  17. 2021-10-19
    listed $50,000 Active
  18. 2019-06-26
    historical Expired
  19. 2018-11-26
    listed $84,900 Active
  20. 1999-12-21
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,125 · $260/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,125 · $260/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,441
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,125
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$127
After-tax cash flow
$2,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Hills SD
NCES district ID
4218590
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,794
Composite
16.42/100
National rank
#9192
State rank
#496 of 539 in PA

Livability — Churchill

Score
74/100
State rank
#486
US rank
#4477

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,951
Household income
$67,240
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
955.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.68%
Current HPI
235.4861
Rent YoY
▲ 7.63%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-09-30 Listed $175,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-01-14 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2022-01-14 Sold (MLS) $79,800 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-12-29 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2021-12-22 Price Changed $102,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-11-04 Listed $114,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-11-03 Price Changed $114,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-10-19 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2019-06-26 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2018-11-26 Listed $84,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1999-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,125 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…