1654 Everett Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two Bedroom One Bath home. In need of updates.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Decorative fireplace
- Double sink
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with paved access; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story house; Block foundation; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms and living areas combined)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating; Hot water heating; Steam heating
- Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Full unfinished basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $110k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.63%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,509
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2510 E Midlothian Blvd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,016 (-1%) | 3mo | $107,500 | $106 | 60 |
| 612 Maplewood Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+3%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $128 | 60 |
| 1562 Medford Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+14%) | 3mo | $129,156 | $110 | 60 |
| 1321 Detroit Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-3%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 2002 Bancroft Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 4mo | $131,500 | $122 | 59 |
| 1645 Chattanooga Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (-8%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $136 | 59 |
| 1654 Thalia Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-4%) | 3mo | $56,250 | $57 | 58 |
| 3332 Sheridan Rd | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 3mo | $56,005 | $61 | 54 |
| 1928 Palo Verde Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,074 (+4%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $121 | 51 |
| 515 Lincoln Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (-4%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $183 | 50 |
| 2020 Medford Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,164 (+13%) | 8mo | $98,000 | $84 | 47 |
| 2014 Country Club Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (+14%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $124 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,170
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $25,406
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44514
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $920/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1803 Pointview Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2002 Brownlee Ave Youngstown, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $875 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 610 Elm St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2523 E Midlothian Blvd Apt 5 Struthers, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 834 E Midlothian Blvd Youngstown, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $750 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $899 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2063 Wolosyn Cir Unit 1 Poland, OH | 1.0 | 1.5 | 705 | $800 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 929 Cook Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $920 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 43.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$920
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,899
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$456
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,917
- Household income
- $79,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 411.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.78%
- Current HPI
- 210.5511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+124.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-10 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-02-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-02-03 Listed $70,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-10-28 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-10-13 Price Changed $66,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-09-08 Price Changed $67,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-08-13 Listed $72,000 MLSNOW
- 2006-05-12 Sold (MLS) $21,600 MLSNOW
- 2006-04-21 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-11-19 Listed $21,600 MLSNOW
- 2002-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $37,200 Public Records
- 2001-09-06 Listed $36,500 MLSNOW
- 2001-08-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-01-15 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
- 2000-11-26 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2000-08-26 Listed $48,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $920 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…