14461 Marine #407 · Montrose, CO 81403

$60,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market

Built 2000 ↓ 14% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Motivated Seller! Bring an offer. Charming 2-Bedroom Mobile Home in a Friendly Community with Parks and Playgrounds! Welcome to your new home! This lovely 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers 896 square feet of comfortable living space. Featuring a smart split floor plan that ensures privacy and convenience, this home is designed to meet your lifestyle needs. Enjoy the spacious living area filled with natural light, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Dining area easily fits a 6 person table. Step outside to the sweet front porch where you can unwind while overlooking your own front yard—a great spot for morning coffee or evening chats. This mobile home community is well vetted

Key facts

• Front porch
• Natural light
• Built 2000

Tags

• FRONT PORCH
• NATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association (Northbrook)

Exterior

• Exterior features: Used as a single-family residential property

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Unfurnished

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
• Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 2.0% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
• Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 34.22%
• DSCR: 2.52
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.24×
• Total profit: $20,773
• Equity at exit: $8,946

10-year hold

• IRR: 36.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.41×
• Total profit: $57,297
• Equity at exit: $5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 38 Tenant-Leaning
• State Colorado: 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 81403

• Active inventory: 213
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,055 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$315
• Tax from tax record: −$14 /mo · $173/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$221
• Net cashflow: $479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448

Max offer price $60,000

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,000
• Closing costs: $1,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-05-30
   days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-05-19
   price $60,000
4. 2026-05-10
   price $67,000
5. 2026-05-05
   listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $173 · $14/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $330 · $28/mo
• Expected delta: +$157/yr (+$13/mo · 91.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,656
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,361
• − Property taxes: −$173
• − Insurance: −$300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,012
• − Management: −$1,012
• − Depreciation: −$1,745
• Taxable income: $5,052
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,212
• After-tax cash flow: $4,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Montrose County School District Re-1J
• NCES district ID: 0805790
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $45,650
• Composite: 24.9/100
• National rank: #7577
• State rank: #55 of 86 in CO

Livability — Montrose

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #109
• US rank: #9310

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 24,228
• Population (ZIP): 11,955

Population outlook (Montrose County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,229 people
• By 2030: 37,791 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 33,829 · -13.8%
• By 2050: 29,530 · -24.7%
• By 2075: 20,559 · -47.6%
• By 2100: 12,144 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 17% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Montrose

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.6% · R 65.2% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -32.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -191.12%
• Current HPI: 349.0781
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.95%
• F500 in state: 14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology Distribution	1	$31B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$18B
▸Packaging	1	$14B
▸Healthcare	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$10B
▸Technology	1	$4B

Price history

-14.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $60,000 cren
• 2026-05-10 Price Changed $67,000 cren
• 2026-05-05 Listed $69,900 cren

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $173 · +134.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.