7425 Church St #126 · Yucca Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Retire in comfort and style in this spacious double-wide mobile home, located in a tranquil senior community in beautiful Yucca Valley. This charming home offers an inviting open floor plan perfect for easy living and entertaining, with plenty of natural light streaming through large windows. With two bedrooms and two baths, this home provides both comfort and convenience. The bright, spacious kitchen has ample storage, and the private covered patio is ideal for relaxing desert evenings. The low-maintenance yard offers space for gardening or simply unwinding. The gated Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and planned activities to keep you engaged and connected. Live just minutes from scenic nature trails, local shopping, and the stunning vistas of Joshua Tree National Park. Here, in the heart of Yucca Valley, you can enjoy the serene desert landscape while staying connected to a friendly, vibrant community.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Low-maintenance yard
- Open floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 51.3% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 51.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 160.81%
- DSCR
- 8.15
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,380
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -27.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7425 Church St #111 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $35 | 96 |
| 7425 Church St #67 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $64,997 | $48 | 95 |
| 7425 Church St #149 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,420 (+6%) | 0mo | $39,997 | $28 | 87 |
| 7425 Church St #28 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 1mo | $63,500 | $45 | 84 |
| 7425 Church St #10 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $33 | 84 |
| 7501 Palm Ave #165 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $37 | 78 |
| 7501 Palm Ave #74 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $30 | 72 |
| 7501 Palm Ave #103 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 6mo | $46,000 | $37 | 69 |
| 7501 Palm Ave #97 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $45 | 64 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #22 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 7mo | $96,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #16 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 8mo | $51,000 | $43 | 48 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #116 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $39 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.18×
- Total profit
- $80,193
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.07×
- Total profit
- $186,864
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92284
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,938 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $239/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $1,313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7397 Village Way Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 7496 Church St Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7448 Del Rio Vis Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1770 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7616 Apache Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,900 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7028 Cholla Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6963 Tamarisk Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 55897 Santa Fe Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 56565 Sunnyslope Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7154 Barberry Ave Unit A Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,049 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 57004 Antelope Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 56594 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $2,250 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7420 Geronimo Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7453 Dumosa Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 56769 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 56615 Bonanza Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 56811 Desert Gold Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 57472 Primrose Dr Unit 3 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 55220 Airlane Dr Unit 14A Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,510 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-14$42,500 Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
Retire in comfort and style in this spacious double-wide mobile home, located in a tranquil senior community in beautiful Yucca Valley. This charming home offers an inviting open floor plan perfect for easy living and entertaining, with plenty of natural light streaming through large windows. With two bedrooms and two baths, this home provides both comfort and convenience. The bright, spacious kitchen has ample storage, and the private covered patio is ideal for relaxing desert evenings. The low-maintenance yard offers space for gardening or simply unwinding. The gated Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and planned activities to keep you engaged and connected. Live just minutes from scenic nature trails, local shopping, and the stunning vistas of Joshua Tree National Park. Here, in the heart of Yucca Valley, you can enjoy the serene desert landscape while staying connected to a friendly, vibrant community.
-
2026-03-01historical
-
2026-01-29status Active
-
2026-01-21status Pending Sale
-
2025-09-04$45,000 Active
-
2021-02-01soldstatus $28,000 Closed Sale
-
2021-01-05Active Under Contract
-
2021-01-04$28,900
-
2010-09-24soldstatus $4,500 Closed
-
2010-09-24price $8,000 Closed
-
2010-09-24soldstatus $4,500 Closed
-
2010-09-16historical
-
2010-06-24price $10,000
-
2010-04-24$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $239 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $266 · $22/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$239
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,861
- − Management
- −$1,861
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $16,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yucca Valley
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #18584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yucca Valley, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 25,415
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,415
- Household income
- $58,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.13%
- Current HPI
- 486.7185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $42,500 CRMLS
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-29 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-01-21 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
- 2021-02-01 Sold (MLS) $28,000 CRMLS
- 2021-01-05 Listed — CRMLS
- 2021-01-04 Listed $28,900 CRMLS
- 2010-09-24 Sold (MLS) $4,500 GPSMLS
- 2010-09-24 Price Changed $8,000 GPSMLS
- 2010-09-24 Sold (MLS) $4,500 GPSMLS
- 2010-09-16 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2010-06-24 Price Changed $10,000 GPSMLS
- 2010-04-24 Listed $20,000 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2025): $239 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…