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402 Millville Rd
D- Composite 35.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$218,000

402 Millville Rd · Bloomsburg, PA 17815
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,292 sqft · Other public records · 175 Days on market
Built 1922 0.34 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Full kitchen
  • Newer furnace

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSNEW METAL ROOFNEWER FURNACEREPLACEMENT WINDOWSHUGE FIRST-FLOOR FAMILY ROOMFULL KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $218k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Bloomsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#147 in PA, #1,183 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Bloomsburg Area SD (urban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #289 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: W W Evans Memorial El Sch (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 220 students, 31% FRL); Bloomsburg Area Ms (math 21% / reading 52%, grade F, #307 of 512 statewide, top 61%, 354 students, 46% FRL); Bloomsburg Area Hs (math 52%, 428 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $161,141 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.36%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-39,835
Equity at exit
$32,505
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-20,383
Equity at exit
$18,849

Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17815

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,143
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$-171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,828
Max offer price $187,792
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-109 +0% $-171 +5% $-233 +10% $-294
Rent -10% $-298 -5% $-235 +0% $-171 +5% $-107 +10% $-44
Rate -1.0pp $-61 -0.5pp $-116 base $-171 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-285

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,500
Closing costs
$6,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 E 4th St Unit 1 Bloomsburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $218,000 Active 175 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $218,000 Active 174 DOM
  3. 2026-04-16
    price $218,000 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!

  4. 2025-12-07
    listed $225,000 Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,520 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,982 · $248/mo
Expected delta
+$462/yr (+$39/mo · 18.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,337
− Mortgage interest
−$12,211
− Property taxes
−$2,520
− Insurance
−$1,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− Depreciation
−$6,342
Taxable loss
−$5,920
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,421
After-tax cash flow
$-631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloomsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4203840
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,973
Composite
37.39/100
National rank
#4428
State rank
#289 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bloomsburg

Score
82/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#1183

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bloomsburg, PA
County
Columbia County · 29,790 people
City population
29,790
Metro
Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,790
Household income
$67,510
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
801.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,170 people
By 2030
64,054 · -1.7%
By 2040
61,131 · -6.2%
By 2050
57,526 · -11.7%
By 2075
50,259 · -22.9%
By 2100
44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.98%
Current HPI
220.8076
Rent YoY
▲ 6.80%
Metro
Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $218,000 CSVBR
  • 2025-12-07 Listed $225,000 CSVBR

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,520 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…