402 Millville Rd · Bloomsburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$218,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Full kitchen
- Newer furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (13.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Bloomsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#147 in PA, #1,183 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Bloomsburg Area SD (urban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #289 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: W W Evans Memorial El Sch (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 220 students, 31% FRL); Bloomsburg Area Ms (math 21% / reading 52%, grade F, #307 of 512 statewide, top 61%, 354 students, 46% FRL); Bloomsburg Area Hs (math 52%, 428 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.36%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-39,835
- Equity at exit
- $32,505
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-20,383
- Equity at exit
- $18,849
Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17815
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-48 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-171 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-298 | -5% $-235 | +0% $-171 | +5% $-107 | +10% $-44 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-171 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,500
- Closing costs
- $6,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 E 4th St Unit 1 Bloomsburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $218,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $218,000 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!
-
2025-12-07$225,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Charming 1920's Bloomsburg 4-BR 2.5-BA beauty loaded with character on a double lot! Addition from 1960. Partial hardwood floors, new metal roof (2019), newer furnace, many replacement windows & fresh paint. Huge first-floor family room with full kitchen, full bath & private entrance - perfect for guests, parents, teens or an epic home office. Large deck, detached workshop, established garden ready for your veggies & flowers, plus direct Bloomsburg Rail-Trail access in back. Quiet edge-of-town, 5 min to Geisinger & downtown. Single-family, first-time-buyer friendly, move-in ready & priced to sell!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,520 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,982 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- +$462/yr (+$39/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,211
- − Property taxes
- −$2,520
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$6,342
- Taxable loss
- −$5,920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,421
- After-tax cash flow
- $-631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203840
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,973
- Composite
- 37.39/100
- National rank
- #4428
- State rank
- #289 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bloomsburg
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #1183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bloomsburg, PA
- County
- Columbia County · 29,790 people
- City population
- 29,790
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,790
- Household income
- $67,510
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 801.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,170 people
- By 2030
- 64,054 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 61,131 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 57,526 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 50,259 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 44,756 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.98%
- Current HPI
- 220.8076
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.80%
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $218,000 CSVBR
- 2025-12-07 Listed $225,000 CSVBR
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,520 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…