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2306 Lancaster Dr #2306
D Composite 40.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.5/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$194,900

2306 Lancaster Dr #2306 · Sun City Center, FL 33573
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · Condo · 212 Days on market
Built 1987 Good condition Garage $130/sqft · 19% below area Est $242k · 19% under $823/mo HOA · 43% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy, resort-style living in the sought-after Kings Point community. This move-in ready Augusta model offers 1,642 sq ft of comfortable living space, including an expanded Florida Room under HVAC—perfect for a cozy den, office, or additional sitting area. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a NEW roof (May 2025), AC (2 years old), new water heater, and hurricane-impact, double-pane energy-efficient windows—giving you true peace of mind from day one. Inside, you’ll find fresh paint, popcorn ceilings removed, and a welcoming marble-floor entry.

Key facts

  • $823 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-675 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (50.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (50.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 3.8% in Sun City Center — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#178 in FL, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cypress Creek Elementary School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 957 students, 63% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 808 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 106d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 9895% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,239 (50.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97% ✗
Cap rate
2.14%
Cash-on-cash
-14.84%
DSCR
0.34
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$241,770
List price
$194,900
Delta
-19.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
751 Mccallister Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,559 (+4%) 0mo $170,000 $109 72
1417 Ingram Dr #79 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,857 (+24%) 0mo $167,000 $90 67
3719 Laughing Dove Ave 1.14mi 2/2.0 1,503 (+0%) 0mo $263,000 $175 64
708 Brannen Cir 1.27mi 2/2.0 1,545 (+3%) 0mo $260,000 $168 59
2069 Sifield Greens Way #102 1.16mi 2/2.0 1,410 (-6%) 0mo $260,000 $184 55
1230 Huntington Greens Dr 1.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,429 (-5%) 0mo $225,000 $157 52
2304 Oakley Green Dr #61 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,668 (+11%) 0mo $306,500 $184 46
1322 Fairway Greens Dr #69 1.22mi 2/2.0 1,322 (-12%) 0mo $199,900 $151 45
1933 Inverness Greens Dr 1.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,339 (-11%) 0mo $250,000 $187 42
1213 Corinth Greens Dr #52 1.08mi 2/2.0 1,862 (+24%) 0mo $267,000 $143 40
1105 Jameson Greens Dr #1105 0.76mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (-14%) 0mo $180,000 $139 37
2109 Sifield Greens Way #70 1.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,746 (+17%) 0mo $355,000 $203 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-44.9%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-74,698
Equity at exit
$29,060
10-year hold
IRR
-82.6%
Equity multiple
-1.22×
Total profit
$-120,932
Equity at exit
$16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
4 active · 13 under contract
Median asking
$184,450 ($145/sqft)
Median days on market
104 d
This list price
75% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+11.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33573

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
808
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,892 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax est. 1.5%
−$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
Insurance
−$81
HOA
−$823
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$-675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,747
Max offer price $97,239
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-540 -5% $-608 +0% $-675 +5% $-742 +10% $-810
Rent -10% $-824 -5% $-750 +0% $-675 +5% $-600 +10% $-525
Rate -1.0pp $-577 -0.5pp $-625 base $-675 +0.5pp $-725 +1.0pp $-777

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2221 Ivan Ct Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1490 $1,975 $1.33 115d 1 0.09mi
1326 Idlewood Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1642 $1,750 $1.07 157d 1 0.10mi
1409 Ingram Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1642 $1,875 $1.14 132d 1 0.14mi
2201 Holkham Pl Unit 114 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,600 $1.63 53d 1 0.19mi
2124 Hailstone Cir Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 10d 1 0.28mi
2011 Hadrian Ct Unit 2011 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 105d 1 0.29mi
645 McDaniel St Unit 645 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1192 $1,850 $1.55 55d 1 0.30mi
2113 Hailstone Cir #363 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1264 $1,950 $1.54 6d 1 0.31mi
2005 Halmrock Pl #174 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 90d 1 0.34mi
713 Manchester Woods Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1556 $2,100 $1.35 120d 1 0.38mi
2006 Hampstead Cir Unit N/A Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1474 $1,800 $1.22 165d 1 0.40mi
2014 Hampstead Cir Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1448 $1,750 $1.21 53d 1 0.43mi
2222 Mayfield Palms Ln #322 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1559 $2,300 $1.48 90d 1 0.46mi
2102 Harringay St #449 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1203 $1,800 $1.50 10d 1 0.47mi
2102 Hereford Dr #513 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 165d 1 0.47mi
2243 Greenwich Dr Unit 67 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1168 $1,775 $1.52 72d 1 0.50mi
2411 Nantucket Glen Pl Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1113 $1,750 $1.57 3d 1 0.53mi
739 Tremont Greens Ln Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1236 $2,300 $1.86 90d 1 0.55mi
822 McCallister Ave Unit 822 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $1,950 $1.25 112d 1 0.56mi
304 Grayston Pl Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1008 $2,100 $2.08 3d 1 0.56mi
2232 Grenadier Dr #25 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,875 $1.91 6d 1 0.61mi
1904 Canterbury Ln #26 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,800 $1.83 53d 1 0.65mi
704 Tremont Greens Ln Unit 107 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,700 $1.75 165d 1 0.65mi
2441 New Haven Cir Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,900 $1.69 75d 1 0.68mi
2345 Glenmore Cir Unit 294 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,500 $1.52 165d 1 0.72mi
1905 Canterbury Ln Unit 9E Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 10d 1 0.73mi
110 Gloucester Blvd Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,950 $1.72 165d 1 0.75mi
110 Gloucester Blvd Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,950 $1.72 139d 1 0.75mi
302 Canton Ct #55 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,700 $1.77 10d 1 0.76mi
1106 Jameson Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $1,950 $1.81 115d 1 0.77mi
323 Knottwood Ct #1 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $1,090 $1.20 145d 1 0.79mi
323 Knottwood Ct Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $1,290 $1.42 165d 1 0.79mi
314 Knottwood Ct #314 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $1,400 $1.54 50d 1 0.82mi
1907 Canterbury Ln Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,475 $1.52 121d 2 0.83mi
1907 Canterbury Ln #14 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,400 $1.42 10d 1 0.83mi
2303 Brookfield Greens Cir #0 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1700 $2,200 $1.29 6d 1 0.87mi
301 Kings Blvd #138 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.5 1020 $1,600 $1.57 107d 1 0.93mi
1161 Jameson Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,900 $1.47 165d 1 0.93mi
2202 Clubhouse Dr #169 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,450 $1.47 145d 1 0.94mi
2202 Clubhouse Dr #185 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,650 $1.68 115d 1 0.94mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Partially furnishedUnit located on first floor
Financial info
Total annual association fees approximately $9,876Lease restrictions apply
HOA & community
Monthly condo fee of $823Association fees include cable TV, internet, pool, maintenance (grounds & structure), pest control, private road, recreational facilities, security, sewer and water, and escrow reservesAssociation approval requiredSenior community with fitness center, golf, tennis, and poolAssociation recreation available for lease; deed restrictions apply

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with 2 spaces
Security
Community security (association-provided)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable availableBB/HS internet availableWater connectedSewer connected
Home design
CondominiumSingle-storyFaces southeastOne-level entry
Construction
Block and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of a larger building (unit number 2306)
Exterior features
Outdoor lightingRain guttersHeated community pool

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRangeRefrigeratorDisposalElectric water heater
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansInterior lighting and ceiling fans included
Laundry & utility
Inside laundry room

HOA detail $823/mo · $9,876/yr condo

Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $194,900 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $194,900 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $194,900 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $194,900 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $194,900 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $194,900 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $194,900 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $194,900 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $194,900 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $194,900 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $194,900 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $194,900 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $194,900 Active 197 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $194,900 Active 196 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $194,900 Active 195 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $194,900 Active 194 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $194,900 Active 193 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $194,900 Active 192 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $194,900 Active 191 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $194,900 Active 190 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $194,900 Active 189 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $194,900 Active 188 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $194,900 Active 187 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $194,900 Active 186 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $194,900 Active 185 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $194,900 Active 184 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $194,900 Active 183 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $194,900 Active 182 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $194,900 Active 181 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 180 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $194,900 Active 179 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $194,900 Active 178 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $194,900 Active 177 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $194,900 Active 176 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $194,900 Active 175 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 174 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $194,900 Active 173 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $194,900 Active 172 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $194,900 Active 171 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $194,900 Active 170 DOM
  43. 2026-09-25
    days on market $194,900 Active 168 DOM
  44. 2026-09-24
    days on market $194,900 Active 167 DOM
  45. 2026-09-23
    days on market $194,900 Active 166 DOM
  46. 2026-09-22
    days on market $194,900 Active 165 DOM
  47. 2026-09-21
    days on market $194,900 Active 164 DOM
  48. 2026-09-20
    days on market $194,900 Active 163 DOM
  49. 2026-09-19
    days on market $194,900 Active 162 DOM
  50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $194,900 Active 161 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,709
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$2,924
− Insurance
−$974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,817
− Management
−$1,817
− HOA
−$9,876
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$11,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,709
After-tax cash flow
$-5,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,490–$22,470 screening

This move-in ready condo in Kings Point community offers 1,642 sq ft of comfortable living space with fresh updates and a new roof. Minor exterior painting and flooring upgrades would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain ↑
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 35/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cypress Creek Elementary School F FL #1,491/2,144 Nat'l #19,354/41,679 Middle Shields Middle School F FL #486/571 Nat'l #9,545/14,009 High Lennard High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Sun City Center

Score
78/100
State rank
#178
US rank
#2736

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sun City Center, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
35,362
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,362
Household income
$72,834
Rent vs Own
17.3% rent · 82.7% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-99.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Rental Removed $1,950 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed for Rent $1,950 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $194,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…