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9736 Lanier Dr
A- Composite 80.96
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$85,000

9736 Lanier Dr · Moline Acres, MO 63136
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 6,507 sqft lot Est $100k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attentions investors, landlords. Here's a nice property to add to your portfolio. OR for family wanting to buy their first home with payments less than many rental homes. Home was occupied just 3 months ago. Property is in EXCELLENT shape compared to many homes being sold as-is. .. seller will not order inspections nor make any repairs. -- This 3br, 1 bath ranch is clean throughout. Attractive updated laminate flooring. See the updated fixtures in the hall bath. The roof looks newer as well as the water heater with expansion tank. The 100amp breaker box has been updated. The one car garage is oversized (for storage) with access from the laundry room that adjoins the kitchen. Small dining ar

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Newer water heater
  • 100amp breaker box

Tags

UPDATED FIXTURESOVERSIZED GARAGENEWER ROOFNEWER WATER HEATER100AMP BREAKER BOX

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,014 (source: public records)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No security features specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, phone connected; water available; sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; One story; Private ownership
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Level lot; Concrete road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Flooring not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows, storm windows, tilt-in windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Meadows Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 333 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $85k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.73%
Cash-on-cash
22.98%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,386
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9742 Wendell Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,014 (0%) 2mo $69,900 $69 93
9828 Omega Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 988 (-3%) 0mo $100,000 $101 86
9939 Duke Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+3%) 3mo $102,000 $98 82
9850 Monarch Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,014 (0%) 2mo $99,900 $99 79
2225 Kerwin Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,135 (+12%) 2mo $135,900 $120 74
9984 Duke Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 960 (-5%) 1mo $54,000 $56 72
2442 Gardner Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,054 (+4%) 2mo $59,900 $57 70
10127 Monarch Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,015 (+0%) 1mo $155,000 $153 64
1232 Forest Home Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 975 (-4%) 3mo $114,900 $118 59
2014 Kappel Dr 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 989 (-2%) 2mo $19,000 $19 56
10117 Royal Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 864 (-15%) 1mo $35,000 $41 46
10139 Edgefield Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+12%) 0mo $119,900 $105 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$45,610
Equity at exit
$42,057
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$121,700
Equity at exit
$67,971

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,338 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 43d 1 0.04mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 7d 1 0.16mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 23d 1 0.29mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 23d 1 0.41mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 43d 1 0.41mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.45mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 19d 1 0.52mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 770 $1,325 $1.72 43d 1 0.61mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 0.61mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 43d 1 0.62mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 43d 1 0.66mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 858 $1,175 $1.37 23d 1 0.72mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 23d 1 0.92mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 23d 1 0.92mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 10d 1 0.93mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $900 $1.14 43d 1 0.94mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 23d 1 0.94mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,275 $1.24 43d 1 0.94mi
9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 7d 1 0.94mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 21d 1 0.97mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 14d 1 0.97mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 43d 1 0.98mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 1d 1 0.98mi
1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 944 $1,400 $1.48 3d 1 1.00mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 7d 1 1.01mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,100 $1.43 3d 1 1.01mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 23d 1 1.02mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 43d 1 1.02mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 21d 1 1.02mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 23d 1 1.03mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 23d 1 1.06mi
10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,400 $1.77 2d 1 1.10mi
10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,380 $1.00 43d 1 1.11mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 43d 1 1.14mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 1.16mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 14d 1 1.17mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 23d 1 1.23mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 16d 1 1.23mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 17d 1 1.26mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 17d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,055
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,440
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,387
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,053
After-tax cash flow
$4,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Moline Acres

Score
60/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#18899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moline Acres, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1996-01-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-08-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,440 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…