9736 Lanier Dr · Moline Acres, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attentions investors, landlords. Here's a nice property to add to your portfolio. OR for family wanting to buy their first home with payments less than many rental homes. Home was occupied just 3 months ago. Property is in EXCELLENT shape compared to many homes being sold as-is. .. seller will not order inspections nor make any repairs. -- This 3br, 1 bath ranch is clean throughout. Attractive updated laminate flooring. See the updated fixtures in the hall bath. The roof looks newer as well as the water heater with expansion tank. The 100amp breaker box has been updated. The one car garage is oversized (for storage) with access from the laundry room that adjoins the kitchen. Small dining ar
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Newer water heater
- 100amp breaker box
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,014 (source: public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No security features specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, phone connected; water available; sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; No basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Level lot; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Flooring not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows, storm windows, tilt-in windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meadows Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 333 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $85k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.98%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,386
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9742 Wendell Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (0%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $69 | 93 |
| 9828 Omega Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-3%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $101 | 86 |
| 9939 Duke Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+3%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $98 | 82 |
| 9850 Monarch Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (0%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $99 | 79 |
| 2225 Kerwin Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (+12%) | 2mo | $135,900 | $120 | 74 |
| 9984 Duke Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $56 | 72 |
| 2442 Gardner Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,054 (+4%) | 2mo | $59,900 | $57 | 70 |
| 10127 Monarch Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,015 (+0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 1232 Forest Home Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-4%) | 3mo | $114,900 | $118 | 59 |
| 2014 Kappel Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 989 (-2%) | 2mo | $19,000 | $19 | 56 |
| 10117 Royal Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-15%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $41 | 46 |
| 10139 Edgefield Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+12%) | 0mo | $119,900 | $105 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $45,610
- Equity at exit
- $42,057
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.11×
- Total profit
- $121,700
- Equity at exit
- $67,971
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,338 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 7d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1030 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,325 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,728 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,275 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 7d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,075 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,380 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,090 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,295 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,440 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,440 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,440
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,284
- − Management
- −$1,284
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,387
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Moline Acres
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #18899
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moline Acres, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+82.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1996-01-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2022): $1,440 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…