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745 S Ogden St Multi-family
B+ Composite 78.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0

$59,900

745 S Ogden St · Buffalo, NY 14206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,946 sqft · MultiFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1900 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Tax records indicate a duplex; however, the property is currently being used as a single-family home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Bring your tool belt and vision to restore this property to its full potential — there’s plenty of sweat equity to be found here. Please note: * The property is being sold as-is, and all contents remaining from the previous owner will stay with the home. * The exterior photo has been virtually enhanced to highlight its potential with cleaning and maintenance.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Assessments and tax amounts were excluded
  • Financial info: Property is a 2-unit building; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: other (see remarks); Rent includes: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story building; Existing (previously built) property
  • Construction: Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot (30 x 100)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (per unit info)
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Space heater(s)
  • Interior features: Resale condition; Space heaters for heating (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric and gas water heaters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
21.49%
Cash-on-cash
54.27%
DSCR
3.41
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,518
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33 Schiller St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,922 (-1%) 5mo $60,000 $31 72
30 N Ogden St 0.28mi 4/4.0 (+1) 1,775 (-9%) 3mo $157,000 $88 53
187 Goethe St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,890 (-3%) 12mo $77,000 $41 48
293 Ludington St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,688 (-13%) 10mo $205,000 $121 48
34 Schiller St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,670 (-14%) 8mo $95,000 $57 47
100 Shanley St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,112 (+8%) 7mo $190,000 $90 47
238 Schiller St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,894 (-3%) 12mo $145,000 $77 46
19 Ideal St 0.41mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,824 (-6%) 17mo $200,000 $110 43
127 Hedley St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,779 (-9%) 7mo $180,000 $101 37
1068 E Lovejoy St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,661 (-15%) 7mo $135,000 $81 34
319 Barnard St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,658 (-15%) 6mo $120,000 $72 33
35 Ludington St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,121 (+9%) 15mo $175,000 $83 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.0%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$73,230
Equity at exit
$45,746
10-year hold
IRR
60.3%
Equity multiple
11.53×
Total profit
$176,632
Equity at exit
$91,033

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14206

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$758

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $800 -5% $779 +0% $758 +5% $738 +10% $717
Rent -10% $641 -5% $700 +0% $758 +5% $817 +10% $876
Rate -1.0pp $789 -0.5pp $774 base $758 +0.5pp $743 +1.0pp $727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1368 Harlem Rd Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1776 $1,300 $0.73 24d 1 0.82mi
1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 44d 1 1.13mi
14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1430 $2,200 $1.54 11d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,809
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,425
− Management
−$1,425
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$8,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,079
After-tax cash flow
$7,023/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant repairs and updates to reach a fair condition. Investors can expect a moderate rehab level with high ROI potential in both resale and rental markets.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and potential water damage
  • Major roof — No visible damage, but potential for wear
  • Major flooring — No visible flooring, but potential for wear
  • Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior, but potential for wear
  • Major bathrooms — No visible bathrooms, but potential for wear
  • Major kitchen — No visible kitchen, but potential for wear
  • Major systems — No visible systems, but potential for wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Prevents water damage and extends home life
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both paint interior — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both update bathrooms — Improves functionality and value
  • Both update kitchen — Improves functionality and value
  • Both repair systems — Ensures home is safe and functional

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No visible flooring, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No visible interior, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
bathrooms · No visible bathrooms, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen · No visible kitchen, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
systems · No visible systems, but potential for wear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair roof — Prevents water damage and extends home life
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both paint interior — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both update bathrooms — Improves functionality and value
  • Both update kitchen — Improves functionality and value
  • Both repair systems — Ensures home is safe and functional

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$50,450
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
841.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.06%
Current HPI
457.3935
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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