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3088 State Highway 206
A- Composite 81.72
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,099

3088 State Highway 206 · Cross Plains, TX 76828
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 720 Days on market
0.33 ac lot $22/sqft · 26% below area Est $39k · 26% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

Key facts

  • Investment potential
  • Generous lot size
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

GENEROUS LOT SIZEBLANK CANVAS FOR RENOVATIONINVESTMENT POTENTIALCONVENIENT HIGHWAY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#486 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Coleman ISD (town): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #439 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Coleman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($201 loan paydown + $873 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coleman County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 720 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $25,607 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 720 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.96%
Cap rate
36.67%
Cash-on-cash
108.49%
DSCR
5.83
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,174
List price
$29,099
Delta
-25.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.19×
Total profit
$50,420
Equity at exit
$13,084
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.96×
Total profit
$113,749
Equity at exit
$20,164

Cash invested: $8,148 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76828

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$153
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $116/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$737

Break-even live

Break-even rent $221
Max offer price $29,099
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $753 -5% $745 +0% $737 +5% $728 +10% $720
Rent -10% $645 -5% $691 +0% $737 +5% $782 +10% $828
Rate -1.0pp $751 -0.5pp $744 base $737 +0.5pp $729 +1.0pp $721

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,275
Closing costs
$873
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,099 Active 720 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,099 Active 718 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,099 Active 717 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,099 Active 716 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,099 Active 715 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,099 Active 713 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,099 Active 712 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,099 Active 709 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,099 Active 708 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,099 Active 707 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,099 Active 706 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,099 Active 703 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,099 Active 702 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,099 Active 701 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,099 Active 700 DOM
  16. 2026-03-25
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  17. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  18. 2025-12-09
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  19. 2025-10-30
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  20. 2025-05-01
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  21. 2025-03-28
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  22. 2024-09-09
    price $29,099 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  23. 2024-04-02
    listed $29,999 Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.

  24. 2009-05-19
    soldstatus
  25. 2004-10-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$116 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$533 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$417/yr (+$35/mo · 360.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,837
− Mortgage interest
−$1,630
− Property taxes
−$116
− Insurance
−$145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,107
− Management
−$1,107
− Depreciation
−$847
Taxable income
$8,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,133
After-tax cash flow
$6,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coleman ISD
NCES district ID
4814550
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$31,765
Composite
33.18/100
National rank
#5540
State rank
#439 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cross Plains

Score
68/100
State rank
#486
US rank
#9666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
196

Population outlook (Coleman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,321 people
By 2030
6,834 · -6.7%
By 2040
5,968 · -18.5%
By 2050
5,283 · -27.8%
By 2075
4,205 · -42.6%
By 2100
3,405 · -53.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 72% Lithuanian 55% Slovak 10%
Foreign-born
5% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coleman

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.0) · D 10.3% · R 89.3%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -64.0pp · 2024: -79.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.0 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+76.8 2012: R+73.7 2008: R+64.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $29,099 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Listed $29,999 HARMLS
  • 2009-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-10-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $116 · -87.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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