3088 State Highway 206 · Cross Plains, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,099
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
Key facts
- Investment potential
- Generous lot size
- 0.33 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#486 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Coleman ISD (town): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #439 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Coleman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($201 loan paydown + $873 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Coleman County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 720 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 720 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 108.49%
- DSCR
- 5.83
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,174
- List price
- $29,099
- Delta
- -25.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.19×
- Total profit
- $50,420
- Equity at exit
- $13,084
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.96×
- Total profit
- $113,749
- Equity at exit
- $20,164
Cash invested: $8,148 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76828
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$153
- Tax from tax record
- −$10 /mo · $116/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $753 | -5% $745 | +0% $737 | +5% $728 | +10% $720 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $645 | -5% $691 | +0% $737 | +5% $782 | +10% $828 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $751 | -0.5pp $744 | base $737 | +0.5pp $729 | +1.0pp $721 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,275
- Closing costs
- $873
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $29,099 Active 720 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,099 Active 718 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,099 Active 717 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,099 Active 716 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $29,099 Active 715 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $29,099 Active 713 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $29,099 Active 712 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $29,099 Active 709 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,099 Active 708 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,099 Active 707 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $29,099 Active 706 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $29,099 Active 703 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $29,099 Active 702 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $29,099 Active 701 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,099 Active 700 DOM
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2026-03-25status Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2026-03-10status Pending 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2025-12-09status Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2025-10-30status Pending 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2025-05-01status Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2025-03-28status Pending 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2024-09-09price $29,099 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
-
2024-04-02$29,999 Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Discover this manufactured home nestled on a generous 14,593 sq ft lot in Burkett, TX. With ample space for customization and improvement, this property presents a blank canvas for your renovation dreams. While it requires some TLC, this home offers great investment potential and plenty of room for enhancements. From updating the interiors to beautifying the outdoor spaces, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of easy highway access, allowing for seamless travel to nearby cities like Arlington and Waco in under 3 hours. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create your ideal living space.
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2009-05-19soldstatus
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2004-10-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $116 · $10/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$417/yr (+$35/mo · 360.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,630
- − Property taxes
- −$116
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$847
- Taxable income
- $8,886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coleman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814550
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,765
- Composite
- 33.18/100
- National rank
- #5540
- State rank
- #439 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cross Plains
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #486
- US rank
- #9666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 196
Population outlook (Coleman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,321 people
- By 2030
- 6,834 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 5,968 · -18.5%
- By 2050
- 5,283 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 4,205 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 3,405 · -53.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 72% Lithuanian 55% Slovak 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coleman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.0) · D 10.3% · R 89.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -64.0pp · 2024: -79.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.0 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+76.8 2012: R+73.7 2008: R+64.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-3.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-10-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-05-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-03-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed $29,099 HARMLS
- 2024-04-02 Listed $29,999 HARMLS
- 2009-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $116 · -87.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…