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4530 Greenwood Dr
C Composite 55.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$123,000

4530 Greenwood Dr · Portsmouth, VA 23701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 946 sqft · Condo public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1977 $306/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very clean unit that is move in ready with new Kitchen appliances, new carpet and paint. Fenced in back yard near 264, rivers casino, and ship yard.

Key facts

  • $306 HOA
  • Built 1977
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: City view
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Charlestowne Condominiums); Monthly POA/HOA fee of $306; Amenities include clubhouse, ground maintenance, trash pickup and water; Association managed by Association Management Advisors Group

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned/reserved parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories (2 living levels); Simple ownership
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding; Wood fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Elec Range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor; Total of 4 rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet, ceramic and laminate flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hodges Manor Elementary (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 499 students, 100% FRL); I.C. Norcom High (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #301 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 1,043 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 60% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,310 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.85%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,669
Equity at exit
$18,340
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$47,239
Equity at exit
$10,635

Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23701

Rents YoY
11.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,557 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$645
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$306
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,381
Max offer price $123,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,750
Closing costs
$3,690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4642 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 946 $1,550 $1.64 43d 1 0.06mi
840 Lancer Dr Unit 615 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1002 $1,288 $1.29 23d 1 0.55mi
940 Chumley Rd Portsmouth, VA 1.0 1.0 760 $1,165 $1.53 43d 1 0.61mi
200 Chowan Dr Portsmouth, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 737 $1,600 $2.17 2d 8 0.74mi
902 Liston Ln Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1039 $1,785 $1.72 23d 1 0.99mi
1008 Cherokee Rd Portsmouth, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 835 $1,345 $1.61 43d 1 1.05mi
26 Byers Ave Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,575 $1.56 43d 1 1.28mi
804 City Park Ave Portsmouth, VA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,350 $2.08 23d 1 1.35mi
816 Martin Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,195 $2.00 3d 1 1.35mi
6 Harrower Ct Portsmouth, VA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,550 $1.94 43d 1 1.47mi
13 Hedge Ln Unit I Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 816 $1,275 $1.56 7d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$306 · $3,672/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $123,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $123,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $123,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $123,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $123,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    status $123,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $123,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $123,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $123,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-05-08
    status Under Contract
  11. 2026-04-15
    historical Active Under Contract
  12. 2026-04-06
    listed $130,000 Active
  13. 2025-09-09
    soldstatus $105,000
  14. 2025-09-08
    soldstatus $105,000 Sold 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Very clean unit that is move in ready with new Kitchen appliances, new carpet and paint. Fenced in back yard near 264, rivers casino, and ship yard.

  15. 2025-09-04
    status Under Contract 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Very clean unit that is move in ready with new Kitchen appliances, new carpet and paint. Fenced in back yard near 264, rivers casino, and ship yard.

  16. 2025-08-26
    historical Active Under Contract 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Very clean unit that is move in ready with new Kitchen appliances, new carpet and paint. Fenced in back yard near 264, rivers casino, and ship yard.

  17. 2025-08-21
    listed $105,000 Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Very clean unit that is move in ready with new Kitchen appliances, new carpet and paint. Fenced in back yard near 264, rivers casino, and ship yard.

  18. 2025-06-10
    historical
  19. 2025-05-19
    status Active
  20. 2025-05-14
    historical
  21. 2025-05-08
    listed $95,000 Active
  22. 2015-09-09
    soldstatus $27,600 Sold
  23. 2015-08-20
    status Under Contract
  24. 2015-08-11
    historical
  25. 2015-07-23
    status Active
  26. 2015-06-17
    status Under Contract
  27. 2015-06-10
    historical
  28. 2015-05-13
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,686
− Mortgage interest
−$6,890
− Property taxes
−$1,065
− Insurance
−$615
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− HOA
−$3,672
− Depreciation
−$3,578
Taxable loss
−$124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$30
After-tax cash flow
$1,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
24,298
Household income
$62,349
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.96%
Current HPI
310.8218
Rent YoY
▲ 11.92%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+333.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $130,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2025-09-08 Sold (MLS) $105,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Pending REINMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $105,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Listed $95,000 REINMLS
  • 2015-09-09 Sold (MLS) $27,600 REINMLS
  • 2015-08-20 Pending REINMLS
  • 2015-08-11 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2015-07-23 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2015-06-17 Pending REINMLS
  • 2015-06-10 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2015-05-13 Listed $30,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,065 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…