21401 Santa Clara · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You'll enjoy this house it has 4 bedrooms a very spacious basement. House have a wood burning fireplace nice size kitchen carpet thought out the home that's less then 3 yrs old at best. Hardwood flooring under. Roof is maybe 2-3years old. also have a new furnace heating & cooling units Pexs plumbing throughout home. Just had house appraised at $135,000. Need a little cosmetic work.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 93 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $128k implies a 8158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.10%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,124
- List price
- $128,000
- Delta
- 42.03%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17216 Chapel St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,367 (-7%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $124 | 73 |
| 20821 Santa Clara | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,414 (-4%) | 7mo | $203,000 | $144 | 69 |
| 16753 Burgess | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 | 1,434 (-2%) | 8mo | $172,500 | $120 | 66 |
| 16775 Blackstone St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+4%) | 10mo | $79,900 | $53 | 59 |
| 18498 Fielding St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-1%) | 5mo | $61,000 | $42 | 57 |
| 18425 Burgess | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,339 (-9%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $87 | 51 |
| 16710 Trinity St | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,532 (+4%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $157 | 50 |
| 17601 Patton St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (+12%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $133 | 50 |
| 16216 Westbrook St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,378 (-6%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $53 | 49 |
| 17580 Northrop St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,294 (-12%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $104 | 48 |
| 16145 Trinity St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,480 (+1%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $139 | 48 |
| 16544 Trinity St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+10%) | 8mo | $139,900 | $86 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $12,081
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $78,614
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $856/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,364 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 17624 Patton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16565 Blackstone St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1592 | $1,575 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1528 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1528 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15829 Minock St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,495 | $1.70 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 16131 Dale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,475 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1377 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 20079 Patton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $128,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $128,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $128,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $128,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $128,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $128,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $128,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $128,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $128,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $128,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $128,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$128,000 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
You'll enjoy this house it has 4 bedrooms a very spacious basement. House have a wood burning fireplace nice size kitchen carpet thought out the home that's less then 3 yrs old at best. Hardwood flooring under. Roof is maybe 2-3years old. also have a new furnace heating & cooling units Pexs plumbing throughout home. Just had house appraised at $135,000. Need a little cosmetic work.
-
2010-06-22soldstatus $1,550 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
FIX ME UP AND BRING ME BACK TO LIFE. GREAT DEAL!!!! 3 BEDROOM RANCH THAT FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. AS IS SALE.
-
2010-05-20$1,550 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
FIX ME UP AND BRING ME BACK TO LIFE. GREAT DEAL!!!! 3 BEDROOM RANCH THAT FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. AS IS SALE.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $856 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,414 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$557/yr (+$46/mo · 65.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,032
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$856
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $2,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$662
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,032/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+8158.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $128,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2010-06-22 Sold (MLS) $1,550 REALCOMP
- 2010-05-20 Listed $1,550 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $856 · -54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…