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21401 Santa Clara
C Composite 56.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,000

21401 Santa Clara · Detroit, MI 48219
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,467 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1949 6,970 sqft lot $87/sqft · 42% above area Est $90k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You'll enjoy this house it has 4 bedrooms a very spacious basement. House have a wood burning fireplace nice size kitchen carpet thought out the home that's less then 3 yrs old at best. Hardwood flooring under. Roof is maybe 2-3years old. also have a new furnace heating & cooling units Pexs plumbing throughout home. Just had house appraised at $135,000. Need a little cosmetic work.

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Built 1949
  • Listed 93 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $128k implies a 8158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,480 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.10%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,124
List price
$128,000
Delta
42.03%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17216 Chapel St 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,367 (-7%) 5mo $170,000 $124 73
20821 Santa Clara 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,414 (-4%) 7mo $203,000 $144 69
16753 Burgess 0.47mi 4/1.5 1,434 (-2%) 8mo $172,500 $120 66
16775 Blackstone St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,518 (+4%) 10mo $79,900 $53 59
18498 Fielding St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,450 (-1%) 5mo $61,000 $42 57
18425 Burgess 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,339 (-9%) 6mo $116,000 $87 51
16710 Trinity St 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,532 (+4%) 7mo $240,000 $157 50
17601 Patton St 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,650 (+12%) 7mo $220,000 $133 50
16216 Westbrook St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,378 (-6%) 4mo $72,500 $53 49
17580 Northrop St 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,294 (-12%) 6mo $135,000 $104 48
16145 Trinity St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,480 (+1%) 8mo $205,000 $139 48
16544 Trinity St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,620 (+10%) 8mo $139,900 $86 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$12,081
Equity at exit
$19,085
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$78,614
Equity at exit
$11,067

Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,503 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $856/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,008
Max offer price $128,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,000
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 17d 1 0.08mi
17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 11d 1 0.16mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 17d 1 0.17mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 0.22mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 0.43mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 44d 1 0.44mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.54mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 0.58mi
16565 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1592 $1,575 $0.99 44d 1 0.61mi
17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 0.61mi
17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 0.62mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 17d 1 0.74mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 3d 1 0.79mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 17d 1 1.00mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 15d 1 1.00mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 5d 1 1.03mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 1.06mi
15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 44d 1 1.16mi
17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.17mi
19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,395 $1.15 44d 1 1.20mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 17d 1 1.22mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 17d 1 1.23mi
15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,400 $1.09 15d 1 1.24mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 1.26mi
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 5d 1 1.28mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.29mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.29mi
15829 Minock St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 24d 1 1.30mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 1.31mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 44d 1 1.33mi
15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,396 $1.55 17d 1 1.34mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 5d 1 1.36mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 17d 1 1.37mi
16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 18d 1 1.38mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 18d 1 1.39mi
15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 44d 1 1.39mi
18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,475 $1.41 44d 1 1.40mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 18d 1 1.43mi
17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1377 $1,350 $0.98 17d 1 1.46mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $128,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $128,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $128,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $128,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $128,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $128,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $128,000 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $128,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $128,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $128,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $128,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-03-17
    listed $128,000 Active 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    You'll enjoy this house it has 4 bedrooms a very spacious basement. House have a wood burning fireplace nice size kitchen carpet thought out the home that's less then 3 yrs old at best. Hardwood flooring under. Roof is maybe 2-3years old. also have a new furnace heating & cooling units Pexs plumbing throughout home. Just had house appraised at $135,000. Need a little cosmetic work.

  14. 2010-06-22
    soldstatus $1,550 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    FIX ME UP AND BRING ME BACK TO LIFE. GREAT DEAL!!!! 3 BEDROOM RANCH THAT FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. AS IS SALE.

  15. 2010-05-20
    listed $1,550 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    FIX ME UP AND BRING ME BACK TO LIFE. GREAT DEAL!!!! 3 BEDROOM RANCH THAT FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. AS IS SALE.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$856 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,414 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$557/yr (+$46/mo · 65.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,032
− Mortgage interest
−$7,170
− Property taxes
−$856
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,443
− Management
−$1,443
− Depreciation
−$3,724
Taxable income
$2,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$662
After-tax cash flow
$4,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8158.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $128,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2010-06-22 Sold (MLS) $1,550 REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-20 Listed $1,550 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $856 · -54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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