437-439 7Th Ave #4 · Newark, NJ 07107-1602

$899,000

12 bd · 4.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 131 Days on market

Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity! This four units renovated building is excellent for owner occupied or to expand an investor portfolio. Three of the four units rented and there is a basement full of potential with two separate entrance. The 2nd Fl left and right are duplex apartmens with 4 bedrooms each. Located close to East Orange border, near parks, houses of worship, school and public transportation. Separate units and a 4 car garage. Rent roll is current, except for Unit #4 which it is vacant, but it is similar to Unit #2 and the rent is estimated at $3,228.

Key facts

• Renovated building
• 4 car garage
• 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

• RENOVATED BUILDING
• BASEMENT FULL OF POTENTIAL
• 4 CAR GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 6-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-600/yr) — negative. Per door: $-25/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $892k (0.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $780k (13.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $780k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: schools D+, housing D+, crime F.
• Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $33k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($791k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $780,100 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
5. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.23%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.24%
• DSCR: 0.99
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
437 7th Ave	0.01mi	12/4.0	—	1mo	$935,000	—	86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.42×
• Total profit: $105,231
• Equity at exit: $404,229

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $379,377
• Equity at exit: $622,966

Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New Jersey: 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Newark: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+59

Rent control + strict just-cause.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 07107-1602

• Active inventory: 1
• Price-to-rent: 19.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $7,801 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,714
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$1,124 /mo · $13,485/yr
• Insurance: −$375
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,638
• Net cashflow: $-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,864

Max offer price $891,765

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $571	-5% $261	+0% $-50	+5% $-361	+10% $-671
Rent	-10% $-666	-5% $-358	+0% $-50	+5% $258	+10% $566
Rate	-1.0pp $403	-0.5pp $179	base $-50	+0.5pp $-283	+1.0pp $-520

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	6	—	$7,802
Total (2 units)			$7,801

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $224,750
• Closing costs: $26,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-21
   soldstatus $935,000 Sold
2. 2026-03-18
   status Under Contract
3. 2026-02-18
   price $899,000
4. 2025-11-06
   listed $989,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $93,612
• − Mortgage interest: −$50,358
• − Property taxes: −$13,485
• − Insurance: −$4,495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,489
• − Management: −$7,489
• − Depreciation: −$26,153
• Taxable loss: −$15,857
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,806
• After-tax cash flow: $3,206/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Newark Public School District
• NCES district ID: 3411340
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $33,891
• Composite: 14.24/100
• National rank: #9449
• State rank: #452 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Newark

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #343
• US rank: #11138

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D- Housing D+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newark, NJ

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 825,042 people
• By 2030: 834,010 · +1.1%
• By 2040: 846,221 · +2.6%
• By 2050: 850,047 · +3.0%
• By 2075: 837,009 · +1.5%
• By 2100: 784,345 · -4.9%

Not yet ingested

• Political lean: —
• Race & ethnicity: —
• Common origin: —
• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	3	$31B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$153B
▸Technology	2	$21B
▸Insurance	2	$20B
▸Healthcare	2	$19B
▸Financial Services	1	$70B

Price history

-5.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Sold (MLS) $935,000 GSMLS
• 2026-03-18 Pending — GSMLS
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $899,000 GSMLS
• 2025-11-06 Listed $989,000 GSMLS