4404 Gail Blvd · West Melbourne, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
Key facts
- Carport
- Large laundry room
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; North-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot features: Other
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $111k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $111k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#73 in FL, #1,214 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D+, amenities F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meadowlane Primary Elementary School (650 students, 47% FRL); Central Middle School (math 50% / reading 48%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 1,127 students, 53% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $111k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.72%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $25,393
- Equity at exit
- $16,550
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $63,418
- Equity at exit
- $9,597
Cash invested: $31,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32904
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,936 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$582
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $770
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $833 | -5% $801 | +0% $770 | +5% $738 | +10% $707 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $617 | -5% $693 | +0% $770 | +5% $846 | +10% $923 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $826 | -0.5pp $798 | base $770 | +0.5pp $741 | +1.0pp $712 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,750
- Closing costs
- $3,330
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4850 Sutton Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 760 John Adams Ln Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3020 Mary St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $2,095 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 49 Piney Branch Way Unit A Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 135 NW Shannon Ave West Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4850 Heritage Lakes BLVD West Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $2,070 | $2.03 | 14d | 119 | 0.95mi |
| 101 San Paulo Cir Unit 14-101 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 223 San Paulo Cir Unit 8-223 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 193 Dayton Blvd Melbourne Village, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 195 Dayton Blvd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 197 Dayton Blvd Melbourne Village, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1361 Tamango Dr Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2824 Coleman Ct Melbourne Village, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2916 Rollins St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $2,190 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2114 Nebula Way West Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,031 | $2.07 | 14d | 15 | 1.33mi |
| 122 Laurel Oak St West Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 300 Amherst Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $2,050 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 212 Dubber Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1152 Bainbury Ln Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2900 Vassar St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,925 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 309 Rutgers Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $111,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $111,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $111,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $111,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $111,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $111,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $111,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $111,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $111,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $111,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $111,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $111,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $111,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $111,000
-
2026-03-27$122,000 Active
-
2026-01-10historical 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2026-01-08price $112,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2026-01-01price $118,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-12-26price $119,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-11-15price $129,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-08-05price $144,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-07-18price $153,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-07-10status Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2025-05-30historical 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-11-30status Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-11-15historical 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-10-08price $163,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-07-18price $169,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-06-05price $179,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
-
2024-05-15$189,000 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.
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1990-07-01soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,574 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,574 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,218
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$555
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − Depreciation
- −$3,229
- Taxable income
- $7,937
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,905
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Melbourne
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #1214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Melbourne, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,241
- Household income
- $90,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.98%
- Current HPI
- 304.2546
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+94.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $111,000 SCMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $122,000 SCMLS
- 2026-01-10 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $112,000 SCMLS
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $118,000 SCMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $119,000 SCMLS
- 2025-11-15 Price Changed $129,000 SCMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $144,000 SCMLS
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $153,000 SCMLS
- 2025-07-10 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2025-05-30 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2024-11-30 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2024-10-08 Price Changed $163,000 SCMLS
- 2024-07-18 Price Changed $169,000 SCMLS
- 2024-06-05 Price Changed $179,000 SCMLS
- 2024-05-15 Listed $189,000 SCMLS
- 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,574 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…