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4404 Gail Blvd
B Composite 71.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$111,000

4404 Gail Blvd · West Melbourne, FL 32904
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · Manufactured public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1980 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Large laundry room
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

NEW ROOFENCLOSED PORCHCARPORTLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; North-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $111k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $111k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#73 in FL, #1,214 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D+, amenities F.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Meadowlane Primary Elementary School (650 students, 47% FRL); Central Middle School (math 50% / reading 48%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 1,127 students, 53% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $111k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,340 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.61%
Cash-on-cash
29.72%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$25,393
Equity at exit
$16,550
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$63,418
Equity at exit
$9,597

Cash invested: $31,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32904

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
304
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,936 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$582
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$770

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $111,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $833 -5% $801 +0% $770 +5% $738 +10% $707
Rent -10% $617 -5% $693 +0% $770 +5% $846 +10% $923
Rate -1.0pp $826 -0.5pp $798 base $770 +0.5pp $741 +1.0pp $712

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,750
Closing costs
$3,330
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4850 Sutton Ave Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1166 $1,850 $1.59 15d 1 0.32mi
760 John Adams Ln Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,950 $1.51 24d 1 0.49mi
3020 Mary St Melbourne, FL 3.0 1.0 1072 $2,095 $1.95 24d 1 0.66mi
49 Piney Branch Way Unit A Melbourne, FL 2.0 2.5 1288 $1,600 $1.24 15d 1 0.74mi
135 NW Shannon Ave West Melbourne, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 19d 1 0.86mi
4850 Heritage Lakes BLVD West Melbourne, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1018 $2,070 $2.03 14d 119 0.95mi
101 San Paulo Cir Unit 14-101 Melbourne, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $1,500 $1.23 15d 1 1.10mi
223 San Paulo Cir Unit 8-223 Melbourne, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 24d 1 1.15mi
193 Dayton Blvd Melbourne Village, FL 3.0 2.5 1656 $2,500 $1.51 24d 1 1.29mi
195 Dayton Blvd Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.5 1656 $2,500 $1.51 24d 1 1.29mi
197 Dayton Blvd Melbourne Village, FL 3.0 2.5 1656 $2,500 $1.51 24d 1 1.30mi
1361 Tamango Dr Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $2,350 $1.29 24d 1 1.30mi
2824 Coleman Ct Melbourne Village, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 24d 1 1.32mi
2916 Rollins St Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,190 $1.34 24d 1 1.32mi
2114 Nebula Way West Melbourne, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 982 $2,031 $2.07 14d 15 1.33mi
122 Laurel Oak St West Melbourne, FL 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 24d 1 1.36mi
300 Amherst Ave Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1353 $2,050 $1.52 15d 1 1.41mi
212 Dubber Rd Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $2,000 $1.63 24d 1 1.42mi
1152 Bainbury Ln Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1297 $2,000 $1.54 24d 1 1.43mi
2900 Vassar St Melbourne, FL 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,925 $1.46 15d 1 1.44mi
309 Rutgers Ave Melbourne, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,700 $1.86 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $111,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $111,000 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $111,000 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $111,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $111,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $111,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $111,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $111,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $111,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $111,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $111,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $111,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $111,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $111,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $111,000
  16. 2026-03-27
    listed $122,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-10
    historical 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  18. 2026-01-08
    price $112,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  19. 2026-01-01
    price $118,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  20. 2025-12-26
    price $119,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  21. 2025-11-15
    price $129,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  22. 2025-08-05
    price $144,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  23. 2025-07-18
    price $153,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  24. 2025-07-10
    status Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  25. 2025-05-30
    historical 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  26. 2024-11-30
    status Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  27. 2024-11-15
    historical 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  28. 2024-10-08
    price $163,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  29. 2024-07-18
    price $169,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  30. 2024-06-05
    price $179,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  31. 2024-05-15
    listed $189,000 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Spacious 2 bedroom 2 bathroom mobile home in Hollywood Estates with a new roof 2023. It has carpet and vinyl flooring. It has an enclosed porch and Carport. Large laundry room / storage room. Conveniently located near the Melbourne Square Mall.

  32. 1990-07-01
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,574 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,574 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,229
− Mortgage interest
−$6,218
− Property taxes
−$1,574
− Insurance
−$555
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,858
− Management
−$1,858
− Depreciation
−$3,229
Taxable income
$7,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,905
After-tax cash flow
$7,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Melbourne

Score
82/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#1214

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living B Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Melbourne, FL
County
Brevard County · 602,871 people
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,241
Household income
$90,673
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
597.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.98%
Current HPI
304.2546
Rent YoY
▼ -0.32%
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $111,000 SCMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $122,000 SCMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $112,000 SCMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $118,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Price Changed $119,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Price Changed $129,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $144,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $153,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Relisted SCMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2024-11-30 Relisted SCMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2024-10-08 Price Changed $163,000 SCMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Price Changed $169,000 SCMLS
  • 2024-06-05 Price Changed $179,000 SCMLS
  • 2024-05-15 Listed $189,000 SCMLS
  • 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,574 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…