14404 Tokay Ave · Maple Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this bright and versatile two-story residence with fresh paint and plenty of space to grow. The spacious living room features a large picture window and neutral finishes, offering the perfect backdrop for your personal style. A welcoming kitchen includes butcher block countertops, a classic subway tile backsplash, and refinished cabinetry—an ideal setting for preparing your favorite seasonal meals. With bedrooms located on both the main level and upstairs, you’ll enjoy fantastic flexibility for rest, work, or guest accommodations. A finished basement family room provides even more space for living and entertaining, whether you're creating a game room, home theate
Key facts
- 5,079 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Construction: Built as recorded in public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Front yard; Back yard; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; See remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 7.7% in Maple Heights — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#470 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
- Maple Heights City (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #630 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln School (479 students, 0% FRL); Milkovich Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #614 of 654 statewide, top 94%, 733 students, 0% FRL); Maple Heights High School (math 7% / reading 39%, grade F, #669 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,017 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 78% district-wide (78 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.45%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,504
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13601 Maple Leaf Dr | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 | 1,485 (+1%) | 12mo | $208,000 | $140 | 65 |
| 13616 Maple Leaf Dr | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,485 (+1%) | 21mo | $142,000 | $96 | 59 |
| 13600 Woodward Blvd | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,497 (+1%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $100 | 59 |
| 13109 Oakview Blvd | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,556 (+5%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 13203 Woodward Blvd | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,631 (+10%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $104 | 45 |
| 12801 Eastwood Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,485 (+1%) | 15mo | $131,600 | $89 | 45 |
| 13416 Grannis Rd | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 | 1,279 (-13%) | 15mo | $137,000 | $107 | 41 |
| 12611 Orme Rd | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,571 (+6%) | 9mo | $153,000 | $97 | 40 |
| 13303 Grannis Rd | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,284 (-13%) | 15mo | $117,000 | $91 | 39 |
| 12716 Oakview Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,386 (-6%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $112 | 36 |
| 15701 Ramage Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,287 (-13%) | 19mo | $170,000 | $132 | 22 |
| 6139 Turney Rd | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+14%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $104 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $13,334
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $90,937
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,894 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,579/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $486 | -5% $446 | +0% $406 | +5% $367 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $257 | -5% $332 | +0% $406 | +5% $481 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $477 | -0.5pp $442 | base $406 | +0.5pp $370 | +1.0pp $333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14205 Corridon Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 13776 Shady Oak Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12918 Eastwood Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 12211 Woodward Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5223 Paine Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5164 E 128th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-15$139,900 Active
-
2026-03-11historical
-
2025-12-28historical Contingent
-
2025-12-11$139,900 Active
-
2025-12-09historical
-
2025-12-09$139,900 Active
-
2018-06-22soldstatus $72,000
-
2018-03-29soldstatus $27,000 Sold
-
2018-02-06status Pending
-
2018-02-01status Active
-
2018-01-25status Pending
-
2018-01-05price $45,000
-
2017-12-06price $46,900
-
2017-12-04status Active
-
2017-12-01status Pending
-
2017-11-30status Active
-
2017-11-27status Pending
-
2017-10-11$51,900 Active
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $75,000
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $75,000
-
1999-03-30historical
-
1999-01-02$75,000
-
1998-12-10historical
-
1998-08-30$84,900
-
1998-08-16historical
-
1998-07-16$84,900
-
1987-10-30soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,579 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,579 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,579
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $2,912
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$699
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maple Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904430
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,856
- Composite
- 16.39/100
- National rank
- #9197
- State rank
- #630 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maple Heights
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #7818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 23,285
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,285
- Household income
- $53,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 164.4326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.82%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+159.1% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-15 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-11 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-12-28 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-12-11 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-09 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2018-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-29 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MLSNOW
- 2018-02-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2018-02-01 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2018-01-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2018-01-05 Price Changed $45,000 MLSNOW
- 2017-12-06 Price Changed $46,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-12-04 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2017-12-01 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-11-30 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2017-11-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-10-11 Listed $51,900 MLSNOW
- 1999-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSNOW
- 1999-03-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1999-01-02 Listed $75,000 MLSNOW
- 1998-12-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1998-08-30 Listed $84,900 MLSNOW
- 1998-08-16 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1998-07-16 Listed $84,900 MLSNOW
- 1987-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,579 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…