7355 W Highway 72 · Ironton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity just outside of Ironton on Missouri Route 72! This property sits in a highly visible, easily accessible location with strong potential for value-add. Home is in poor condition and being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors or renovation projects. Property features three wells, including a new well pump installed on one, and a recently added 200-amp electrical service, providing a solid opportunity for future improvements.
Key facts
- 0.8 acre lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 50 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected (single-phase)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Built above grade (living area reported from public records)
- Exterior features: Front yard; Native plants and natural foliage
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#398 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Arcadia Valley R-II (rural): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 324 in MO (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Arcadia Valley Elem. (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 397 students, 99% FRL); Arcadia Valley High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #69 of 521 statewide, top 15%, 343 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 55% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 109.31%
- DSCR
- 5.86
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,796
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -89.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
9.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.65×
- Total profit
- $64,087
- Equity at exit
- $26,111
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.96×
- Total profit
- $150,347
- Equity at exit
- $55,453
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63650
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $210/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $763
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $29,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-29$35,000 Active 451-char remark
-
2026-04-28historical $35,000 451-char remark
-
2025-12-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $210 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $290 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- +$80/yr (+$7/mo · 38.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$210
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $9,210
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,941/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Arcadia Valley R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2903150
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,573
- Composite
- 36.32/100
- National rank
- #4693
- State rank
- #115 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ironton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #398
- US rank
- #17111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,688
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,688
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,728 people
- By 2030
- 12,838 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 12,913 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 12,744 · +0.1%
- By 2075
- 12,073 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 10,940 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.9) · D 17.1% · R 82.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -64.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.9 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+58.2 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.62%
- Current HPI
- 219.3664
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-14.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $35,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $35,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $210 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…