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Lancia's Wingate I Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$197,900

Lancia's Wingate I Plan · Fort Wayne, IN 46845
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,203 sqft · SingleFamily · 303 Days on market
Excellent condition $50/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. This quaint ranch is tailored for easy, comfortable living at an affordable price. The wingate I has an open plan, with the Great Room facing the Nook and Kitchen. 3rd Bedroom can be transformed into an Office or Bonus Room. Kitchen has island with breakfast bar and Pantry. Elevation "A" has a cathedral ceiling in Great Room, Nook and Kitchen. Elevation "B" is a modern elevation with hip roof, Great Room has cathedral ceiling and Nook to Kitchen has 8' flat ceiling. A full or partial basement is available with additional base price cost due to staircase placement. Elevation B is at an additional cost to base price. * Base price does not include land

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Listed 303 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $197,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $253,134.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $198k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Oak View Elementary School (math 66% / reading 55%, grade B-, #122 of 994 statewide, top 12%, 453 students, 14% FRL); Maple Creek Middle School (math 41% / reading 60%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 957 students, 14% FRL); Carroll High School (math 59% / reading 86%, grade B+, #10 of 369 statewide, top 3%, 2,554 students, 21% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $174,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.24%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,134
List price
$197,900
Delta
-21.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
417 Rampart Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+5%) 4mo $255,000 $201 70
1718 Monet Cv 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,227 (+2%) 1mo $265,000 $216 65
11724 Coldwater Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 10mo $265,000 $197 65
12412 Stoneboro Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+9%) 1mo $266,000 $203 61
12511 Falcatta Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,154 (-4%) 11mo $245,000 $212 59
1809 Monet Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,265 (+5%) 3mo $266,100 $210 54
434 Rampart Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+13%) 12mo $246,400 $182 52
109 Kittridge Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,309 (+9%) 10mo $242,500 $185 51
214 Rampart Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,329 (+10%) 13mo $260,000 $196 49
12625 Stoneboro Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,366 (+14%) 4mo $257,500 $189 45
11521 Gongwer Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+14%) 22mo $193,900 $141 43
12523 Falcatta Drive Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,344 (+12%) 17mo $263,000 $196 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-46,533
Equity at exit
$37,743
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-13,631
Equity at exit
$21,886

Cash invested: $70,878 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46845

Home prices YoY
-34.6%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,961 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,327
Tax est. 1.5%
$316 /mo · $3,797/yr
Insurance
$105
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,278
Max offer price $216,925
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-75 -5% $-163 +0% $-250 +5% $-338 +10% $-425
Rent -10% $-405 -5% $-328 +0% $-250 +5% $-173 +10% $-95
Rate -1.0pp $-123 -0.5pp $-186 base $-250 +0.5pp $-316 +1.0pp $-383

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,284
Closing costs
$7,594
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10617 Wood Flower Ct Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 1240 $1,695 $1.37 45d 1 1.32mi
401 Augusta Way Fort Wayne, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1198 $1,765 $1.47 15d 14 1.35mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $197,900 Active 303 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $197,900 Active 300 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $197,900 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $197,900 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $197,900 Active 297 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $197,900 Active 295 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $197,900 Active 294 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $197,900 Active 292 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $197,900 Active 291 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $197,900 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $197,900 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $197,900 Active 285 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $197,900 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $193,900 Active 283 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $193,900 Active 282 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $193,900 Active 281 DOM
  17. 2026-02-09
    price $193,900 730-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. This quaint ranch is tailored for easy, comfortable living at an affordable price. The wingate I has an open plan, with the Great Room facing the Nook and Kitchen. 3rd Bedroom can be transformed into an Office or Bonus Room. Kitchen has island with breakfast bar and Pantry. Elevation "A" has a cathedral ceiling in Great Room, Nook and Kitchen. Elevation "B" is a modern elevation with hip roof, Great Room has cathedral ceiling and Nook to Kitchen has 8' flat ceiling. A full or partial basement is available with additional base price cost due to staircase placement. Elevation B is at an additional cost to base price. * Base price does not include land

  18. 2025-08-22
    listed $192,000 Active 730-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. This quaint ranch is tailored for easy, comfortable living at an affordable price. The wingate I has an open plan, with the Great Room facing the Nook and Kitchen. 3rd Bedroom can be transformed into an Office or Bonus Room. Kitchen has island with breakfast bar and Pantry. Elevation "A" has a cathedral ceiling in Great Room, Nook and Kitchen. Elevation "B" is a modern elevation with hip roof, Great Room has cathedral ceiling and Nook to Kitchen has 8' flat ceiling. A full or partial basement is available with additional base price cost due to staircase placement. Elevation B is at an additional cost to base price. * Base price does not include land

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,531
− Mortgage interest
−$14,179
− Property taxes
−$3,797
− Insurance
−$1,266
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,882
− Management
−$1,882
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$7,364
Taxable loss
−$7,440
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,786
After-tax cash flow
$-1,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for a potential buyer or investor looking for a move-in-ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Fort Wayne

Score
84/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#676

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen County · 326,813 people
City population
326,813
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,583
Household income
$112,676
Rent vs Own
16.0% rent · 84.0% own
Severe rent burden
467.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.27%
Current HPI
212.3516
Rent YoY
▲ 10.47%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $193,900 Zillow
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $192,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…