5027 N Utica Pl · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful, well-kept, partial brick home. Quiet block, seconds from Berry Park. Fully equipped kitchen and open dining area with fireplace. Fenced backyard for plenty of entertaining! Home is being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Partial brick home
- Open dining area
- Quiet block
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and concrete construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; No additional exterior features listed; Lot approximately 0.179 acres; Faces west
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Aluminum window frames; Gas range/oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.89%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,120
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4908 N Xanthus Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,125 (+4%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $84 | 79 |
| 5132 N Utica Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,094 (+1%) | 15mo | $143,000 | $131 | 77 |
| 1908 E 50th Pl N | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,053 (-2%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $104 | 76 |
| 1712 E 54th St N | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (+2%) | 8mo | $57,000 | $52 | 76 |
| 1504 E 51st St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,051 (-3%) | 10mo | $87,000 | $83 | 74 |
| 1568 E 52nd St N | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (+6%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $65 | 67 |
| 1544 E 53rd St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-7%) | 23mo | $90,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 1045 E 51st Pl N | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 984 (-9%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $81 | 52 |
| 1386 E 48th St N | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+10%) | 8mo | $154,000 | $130 | 52 |
| 861 E 53rd St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,048 (-3%) | 20mo | $162,000 | $155 | 38 |
| 854 E 51st Pl | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,235 (+14%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $138 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,465
- Equity at exit
- $19,506
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,171
- Equity at exit
- $13,168
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74130
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,144 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $717/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5135 N Utica Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2014 E 49th St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1530 E 52nd St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1553 E 53rd St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5510 N Johnstown Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $995 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4908 N Hartford Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 636 E 49th Pl N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5519 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5618 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5731 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $925 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 209-char remark
-
2026-06-05$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $717 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 50.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$717
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,098
- − Management
- −$1,098
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $4
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- City population
- 389,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,217
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.80)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 27% White 26% Black 25% Two or more races 19% Native American 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Arabic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.70%
- Current HPI
- 226.7769
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $717 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…