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322 Hillside Ave
D Composite 41.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$289,900

322 Hillside Ave · Hartford, CT 06106
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,321 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1927 6,534 sqft lot $219/sqft · 7% below area Est $312k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained and thoughtfully cared-for home, proudly owned by the same owners for over 30 years. Recent updates include a boiler conversion to natural gas, offering improved efficiency and convenience, as well as a newer asphalt roof less than two years old. The home features generously sized rooms throughout and a clean, dry basement with excellent potential to be finished for additional living space.

Key facts

  • Newer asphalt roof
  • Clean dry basement
  • 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWER ASPHALT ROOFCLEAN DRY BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Private paved asphalt driveway; Off-street parking; Driveway parking; 2 total parking spaces; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service; Storm windows; Thermopane windows
  • Home design: Single-family home; Frame construction; Beige exterior; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Construction: Concrete foundation; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Garden area; Open lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water/radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Cable available; Full basement with interior access and concrete floor; Attic accessible via hatch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,235/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 3400% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $290k implies a 314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,542 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.38%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$311,670
List price
$289,900
Delta
-6.98%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-5,140
Equity at exit
$104,670
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$32,353
Equity at exit
$143,619

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06106

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,235 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,239/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$-228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,524
Max offer price $249,565
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-64 -5% $-146 +0% $-228 +5% $-310 +10% $-392
Rent -10% $-405 -5% $-317 +0% $-228 +5% $-140 +10% $-52
Rate -1.0pp $-82 -0.5pp $-155 base $-228 +0.5pp $-303 +1.0pp $-380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
452 Hillside Ave Hartford, CT 4.0 1.0 1233 $2,700 $2.19 24d 1 0.32mi
3 Goshen St Hartford, CT 3.0 1.0 1168 $2,100 $1.80 2d 1 1.01mi
109 Caya Ave West Hartford, CT 2.0 1.5 1078 $2,600 $2.41 4d 1 1.22mi
100 Kane St Unit D11 West Hartford, CT 2.0 2.0 1182 $2,100 $1.78 44d 1 1.27mi
167 Seymour St Hartford, CT 3.0–4.0 1.0 1000 $2,025 $2.02 24d 3 1.29mi
158 Seymour St Hartford, CT 3.0 1.0 1114 $2,025 $1.82 24d 2 1.30mi
106 Kane St West Hartford, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,300 $2.38 4d 18 1.31mi
140 Kane St Unit C1 West Hartford, CT 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,900 $1.79 4d 1 1.31mi
1 Park Rd West Hartford, CT 2.0 1.0–2.0 913 $3,647 $3.99 4d 18 1.32mi
21 Gillette St West Hartford, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 4d 1 1.40mi
57 Park St Hartford, CT 3.0 1.0 915 $1,900 $2.08 2d 2 1.46mi
29 Crosby St West Hartford, CT 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 44d 1 1.49mi
19 Thomas St Unit 23 West Hartford, CT 2.0 1.0 1252 $2,100 $1.68 12d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $289,900 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $289,900 409-char remark
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $299,900 Active 409-char remark
  18. 1993-09-01
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,221 · $435/mo
Expected delta
+$982/yr (+$82/mo · 23.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,825
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$4,239
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,146
− Management
−$2,146
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$7,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,879
After-tax cash flow
$-861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0901920
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,521
Composite
13.54/100
National rank
#9514
State rank
#150 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hartford

Score
76/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#3553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
121,162
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
36,322
Household income
$46,304
Rent vs Own
76.7% rent · 23.3% own
Severe rent burden
3400.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 25% Black 18% White 15% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 42% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Russian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
314.0899
Rent YoY
▲ 2.37%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+314.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-30 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $289,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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