750 NE 154th Ter · Williston Highlands, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GET AWAY FROM HUSTLE & BUSTLE * * Lovely 3 Bedroom Home in the Country offers everything you need. 25x12 Screened Porch in Front and 2 Level Screen Porch in back * * Storage Sheds and a big Workshop * Fenced & Gated Yard * Sprinkler System * Spring Fed Well - Great Drinking Water -No Filtration System needed * * Laundry off Kitchen * Appliances 2 yrs old * New Shower in Master Bath * Laminate Floors * A/C & Roof under Warranty * So come and Enjoy the Peace and Quiet of Country Living *
Key facts
- Upgraded landscaping
- New well pump
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (manufactured home); Lot approximately 0.23 acres (80 x 125); Building area total reported; Homestead exempt; Irrigation equipment and generator included; Single well and single septic on property; Zoning: ARR
- HOA & community: No association fees or approval required; Development: Williston Highlands; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Sprinkler meter
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Home faces east
- Construction: Metal frame with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Rear porch; Exterior lighting; Storage; Shed(s), workshop and additional storage; Wire and wood fencing; Cleared, private lot in county; Dirt and gravel road access (private maintained road); Trees and landscaped vegetation; Pole barn
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Range hood; Microwave; Ice maker; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $217k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($576/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#851 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Williston Elementary School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 71% FRL); Williston Middle High School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,119 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.95%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,400
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15671 NE 5th St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+2%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 20 NE 156th Ct | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-6%) | 13mo | $138,000 | $136 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-32,122
- Equity at exit
- $32,355
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-24,102
- Equity at exit
- $18,762
Cash invested: $60,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32696
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,867 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,138
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,250
- Closing costs
- $6,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 685-char remark
-
2026-06-19$217,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,155
- − Property taxes
- −$2,378
- − Insurance
- −$1,085
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − Depreciation
- −$6,313
- Taxable loss
- −$3,116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$748
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Williston Highlands
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #851
- US rank
- #21745
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williston Highlands, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,532
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.99%
- Current HPI
- 335.7751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+41.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $217,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $152,429 Public Records
- 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $152,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-18 Price Changed $152,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-18 Listed $152,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+44.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,378 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…