212 E G St · Casper, WY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.63%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Call Phil 3 0 7.2 6 7.4 7 1 1 for your tour! Cute, cozy, clean & roomy! This four bedroom home is in excellent shape & ready for you! It has two small bedrooms up with a large common room, then a living room with tidy kitchen, full bath & good sized laundry room. The basement has a half bath, a den/family room & two larger bedrooms with a shared walk in closet/egress. Brand new roof. Newer windows, furnace, hot water heater & appliances. Has a neat shop/shed in the back & plenty of off street/RV parking.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Rv parking
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Masonite exterior
- Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator, Range, Oven; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($272/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Casper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in WY, #2,629 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
- Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.46%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,015
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 E G St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $179 | 74 |
| 1039 N Lincoln St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (+0%) | 15mo | $210,000 | $163 | 57 |
| 1043 Saint Mary St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,167 (-9%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $189 | 46 |
| 823 N Washington St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,450 (+13%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $166 | 44 |
| 910 N Lincoln St | 0.41mi | 3/1.8 (-1) | 1,109 (-14%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $189 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-24,072
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $19,693
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82601
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,628 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $142 | -5% $82 | +0% $23 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-106 | -5% $-42 | +0% $23 | +5% $87 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $128 | -0.5pp $76 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-28$210,000 Active
-
2022-01-04soldstatus
-
2022-01-03soldstatus 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Call Phil 3 0 7.2 6 7.4 7 1 1 for your tour! Cute, cozy, clean & roomy! This four bedroom home is in excellent shape & ready for you! It has two small bedrooms up with a large common room, then a living room with tidy kitchen, full bath & good sized laundry room. The basement has a half bath, a den/family room & two larger bedrooms with a shared walk in closet/egress. Brand new roof. Newer windows, furnace, hot water heater & appliances. Has a neat shop/shed in the back & plenty of off street/RV parking.
-
2021-10-29$159,900 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Call Phil 3 0 7.2 6 7.4 7 1 1 for your tour! Cute, cozy, clean & roomy! This four bedroom home is in excellent shape & ready for you! It has two small bedrooms up with a large common room, then a living room with tidy kitchen, full bath & good sized laundry room. The basement has a half bath, a den/family room & two larger bedrooms with a shared walk in closet/egress. Brand new roof. Newer windows, furnace, hot water heater & appliances. Has a neat shop/shed in the back & plenty of off street/RV parking.
-
2021-10-07$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$382/yr (+$32/mo · 42.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 63% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,563
- − Management
- −$1,563
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,408
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$818
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Natrona County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5604510
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,217
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3437
- State rank
- #32 of 41 in WY
Livability — Casper
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2629
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casper, WY
- County
- Natrona County · 72,922 people
- City population
- 72,922
- Metro
- Casper, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,721
- Household income
- $67,642
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 749.0
Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,530 people
- By 2030
- 107,084 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 124,838 · +26.7%
- By 2050
- 143,617 · +45.8%
- By 2075
- 192,378 · +95.2%
- By 2100
- 228,435 · +131.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Natrona
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.42%
- Current HPI
- 181.2192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.97%
- Metro
- Casper, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+31.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — WMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $210,000 WMLS
- 2022-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-01-03 Sold (MLS) — WMLS
- 2021-10-29 Listed $159,900 WMLS
- 2021-10-07 Listed $159,900 WMLS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · -20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…