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8972 Edna St
B Composite 73.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

8972 Edna St · St. Louis, MO 63147
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1923 3,811 sqft lot Est $71k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 3,811 sq ft lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
  • Exterior features: Front yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms; 1 upper-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main/upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-out unfinished concrete basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Buder Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 403 students, 99% FRL); Beaumont Cte High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,130 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
19.42%
Cash-on-cash
46.89%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
905 Hornsby Ave 0.26mi 2/1.5 (-1) 961 (-5%) 3mo $115,000 $120 70
9240 Hathaway Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 982 (-3%) 2mo $130,000 $132 65
9456 Bagley Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 982 (-3%) 2mo $55,000 $56 64
8930 Sides Ct 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-1%) 1mo $65,000 $64 62
1719 Veronica Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-3%) 2mo $94,500 $96 60
1545 Sells Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (+6%) 2mo $75,000 $70 59
819 Portland Ter 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-8%) 1mo $60,000 $64 59
9426 Westchester Dr 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 982 (-3%) 1mo $68,900 $70 58
8845 Portland Ter 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (+10%) 2mo $33,000 $30 56
8622 Partridge Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,075 (+6%) 1mo $149,900 $139 56
8926 Hillview Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-9%) 3mo $38,700 $42 52
2074 Wedgewood Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-13%) 3mo $36,900 $42 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$31,008
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
50.2%
Equity multiple
5.86×
Total profit
$79,004
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63147

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $303/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8530 Lowell St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 918 $1,100 $1.20 43d 1 0.48mi
605 Fremont Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 43d 1 0.56mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 23d 1 0.64mi
8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,420 $1.28 43d 1 0.69mi
960 Raford Ct St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 23d 1 0.71mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 23d 1 0.75mi
1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 944 $1,400 $1.48 3d 1 0.77mi
956 Fontaine Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1192 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.80mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.99mi
5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,050 $1.02 3d 1 1.01mi
5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,373 $1.27 20d 1 1.03mi
2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,593 $1.35 14d 1 1.05mi
5730 Park Ln Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1174 $1,600 $1.36 20d 1 1.11mi
8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,075 $0.99 23d 1 1.12mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 976 $1,295 $1.33 43d 1 1.14mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,175 $1.10 23d 1 1.16mi
5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $995 $0.92 43d 1 1.21mi
5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 1.25mi
5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,120 $1.09 23d 1 1.28mi
5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 968 $325 $0.34 22d 1 1.34mi
5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 12d 1 1.34mi
8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,150 $1.14 23d 1 1.38mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 17d 1 1.39mi
5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 850 $1,273 $1.50 20d 1 1.39mi
9517 West Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 1.41mi
5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $1,200 $1.36 43d 1 1.42mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 990 $1,450 $1.46 23d 1 1.45mi
3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 704 $1,000 $1.42 16d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $58,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $66,500 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $66,500 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $66,500 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,500 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $66,500 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $66,500 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $66,500 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $66,500 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $66,500 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $66,500 Active
  16. 2004-01-08
    soldstatus
  17. 1998-07-10
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$303 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$563 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$260/yr (+$22/mo · 85.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,009
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$303
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$7,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,699
After-tax cash flow
$5,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
8,173
Household income
$41,182
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
418.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.51%
Current HPI
84.224
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $66,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $303 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…