8972 Edna St · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,811 sq ft lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Front yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms; 1 upper-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main/upper levels)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-out unfinished concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Buder Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 403 students, 99% FRL); Beaumont Cte High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.89%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 Hornsby Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 961 (-5%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $120 | 70 |
| 9240 Hathaway Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (-3%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 9456 Bagley Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 982 (-3%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $56 | 64 |
| 8930 Sides Ct | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-1%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $64 | 62 |
| 1719 Veronica Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-3%) | 2mo | $94,500 | $96 | 60 |
| 1545 Sells Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,075 (+6%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $70 | 59 |
| 819 Portland Ter | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-8%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $64 | 59 |
| 9426 Westchester Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (-3%) | 1mo | $68,900 | $70 | 58 |
| 8845 Portland Ter | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (+10%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $30 | 56 |
| 8622 Partridge Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+6%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $139 | 56 |
| 8926 Hillview Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-9%) | 3mo | $38,700 | $42 | 52 |
| 2074 Wedgewood Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (-13%) | 3mo | $36,900 | $42 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $31,008
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $79,004
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63147
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $635
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8530 Lowell St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 605 Fremont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 960 Raford Ct St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 956 Fontaine Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,593 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5730 Park Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9517 West Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $58,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $58,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $58,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $58,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $66,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $66,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $66,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $66,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $66,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $66,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $66,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $66,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $66,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $66,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$66,500 Active
-
2004-01-08soldstatus
-
1998-07-10soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $563 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$260/yr (+$22/mo · 85.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $7,079
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,699
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,173
- Household income
- $41,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 418.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.51%
- Current HPI
- 84.224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+7.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $66,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2024): $303 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…