1304 Majesty Loop · Foley, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$277,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,569 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Heather Terrace community. This home features an open layout with a spacious kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Improvements include: new paint throughout, new floors, and new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms. The primary suite includes two walk-in closets, a large garden tub, and a separate walk-in shower, providing a relaxing retreat. Step outside to a large fenced backyard with a covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or enjoying quiet evenings. Conveniently located near downtown Foley with easy access to the Beach Express, short drive to the beach, shopping, and dining. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Walk-in closets
- Large garden tub
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-551/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (2.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (25.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Foley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#241 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 875 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.71%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,064
- List price
- $277,500
- Delta
- -0.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1553 Majesty Loop | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-5%) | 2mo | $254,000 | $170 | 88 |
| 129 Pennbrooke Loop | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (+6%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $162 | 74 |
| 949 Ashville Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-0%) | 2mo | $324,789 | $208 | 72 |
| 1752 Breckinridge Pl | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-0%) | 3mo | $322,822 | $207 | 71 |
| 1375 Surrey Loop | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (+11%) | 3mo | $318,000 | $182 | 68 |
| 1500 N Cedar St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+7%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 1464 Surrey Loop | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (+12%) | 2mo | $262,500 | $149 | 62 |
| 957 Ashville Cir | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+6%) | 2mo | $322,265 | $194 | 62 |
| 1234 Surrey Loop | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,787 (+14%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $151 | 61 |
| 117 Pennbrooke Loop | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+12%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 421 Cedar Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,337 (-15%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 825 Sumter Loop | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,779 (+13%) | 3mo | $343,767 | $193 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-50,445
- Equity at exit
- $41,376
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-57,930
- Equity at exit
- $23,993
Cash invested: $77,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36535
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 875
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,455
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $867/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,375
- Closing costs
- $8,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1487 Majesty Loop Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1481 Majesty Loop Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 931 Gibson Ct Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1701 Woodbridge Cir E Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 825 Ginger Lee St Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,995 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1924 N Pine St Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 527 W Rose Ave Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 525 W Rose Ave Unit Na Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 216 W Rose Ave Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 106 S Beech St Foley, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 116 S Elm St Unit 116 Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1802 Cashew Cir Foley, AL | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1702 | $2,084 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 503 S Cedar St Foley, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $277,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $277,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $277,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $277,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $277,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $277,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $277,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $277,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $277,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $277,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $277,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $282,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $282,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $282,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $282,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $282,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $282,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-29$282,500 Active 831-char remark
Show marketing remark (831 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,569 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable Heather Terrace community. This home features an open layout with a spacious kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Improvements include: new paint throughout, new floors, and new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms. The primary suite includes two walk-in closets, a large garden tub, and a separate walk-in shower, providing a relaxing retreat. Step outside to a large fenced backyard with a covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or enjoying quiet evenings. Conveniently located near downtown Foley with easy access to the Beach Express, short drive to the beach, shopping, and dining. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2022-05-11soldstatus $260,000
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2022-05-09soldstatus $260,000 Closed 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
0% DOWN, USDA ELIGIBLE AREA!!! 3 bed, 2 bath cottage ready for its new owners! Stained and scored concrete floors in the main living area and primary bedroom! Beautiful home in highly sought after Heather Terrace subdivision! Contact your favorite agent today for your private tour! Professional photography uploaded 4/19/2022.
-
2022-04-16status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
0% DOWN, USDA ELIGIBLE AREA!!! 3 bed, 2 bath cottage ready for its new owners! Stained and scored concrete floors in the main living area and primary bedroom! Beautiful home in highly sought after Heather Terrace subdivision! Contact your favorite agent today for your private tour! Professional photography uploaded 4/19/2022.
-
2022-04-15$259,900 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
0% DOWN, USDA ELIGIBLE AREA!!! 3 bed, 2 bath cottage ready for its new owners! Stained and scored concrete floors in the main living area and primary bedroom! Beautiful home in highly sought after Heather Terrace subdivision! Contact your favorite agent today for your private tour! Professional photography uploaded 4/19/2022.
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2014-07-30soldstatus $143,500
-
2013-11-12$143,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 31.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,672
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,544
- − Property taxes
- −$867
- − Insurance
- −$1,388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$8,073
- Taxable loss
- −$5,471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Foley
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #241
- US rank
- #17616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Foley, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 40,628
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,628
- Household income
- $66,714
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 803.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.82%
- Current HPI
- 262.2796
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+96.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Listed $282,500 BCAR
- 2022-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-09 Sold (MLS) $260,000 BCAR
- 2022-04-16 Pending — BCAR
- 2022-04-15 Listed $259,900 BCAR
- 2014-07-30 Sold (MLS) $143,500 BCAR
- 2013-11-12 Listed $143,500 BCAR
Property tax history
+34.2%/yrLatest (2025): $867 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…