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53 Blue Jay Ln
B- Composite 68.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

53 Blue Jay Ln · Moundsville, WV 26041
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 450 sqft · SingleFamily · 132 Days on market
Built 1998 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.

Key facts

  • Modern comfort
  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring

Tags

MODERN COMFORTFRESH PAINTNEW FLOORINGNEW INSULATIONUPDATED PLUMBINGNEW TANKLESS WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family ranch; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s); Private maintained road

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement; 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($764 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.7% in Moundsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#105 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #21 of 55 in WV (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marshall County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $50k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.22%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$8,403
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$28,582
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26041

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$764 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$160
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $49,900 Pending 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-05-12
    price $49,900
  7. 2026-04-07
    price $54,900
  8. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  9. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  10. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-20
    status Pending
  12. 2026-01-10
    status Active
  13. 2025-11-16
    status Pending
  14. 2025-10-29
    price $59,900
  15. 2025-10-08
    listed $65,000 Active
  16. 2018-06-23
    soldstatus $24,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.

  17. 2018-02-19
    listed $29,900 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,168
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$733
− Management
−$733
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$2,456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$590
After-tax cash flow
$2,515/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County Schools
NCES district ID
5400750
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,289
Composite
26.91/100
National rank
#7086
State rank
#21 of 55 in WV

Livability — Moundsville

Score
66/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#11553

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marshall · 16,750 people
Metro
Wheeling, WV-OH
Population (ZIP)
15,706
Household income
$55,545
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
7.4

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,387 people
By 2030
29,242 · -3.8%
By 2040
26,806 · -11.8%
By 2050
24,627 · -19.0%
By 2075
19,846 · -34.7%
By 2100
15,169 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+49.6 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+12.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.71%
Current HPI
153.9522
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+66.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $49,900 WBOR
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $54,900 WBOR
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted WBOR
  • 2026-03-17 Pending WBOR
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted WBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Pending WBOR
  • 2026-01-10 Relisted WBOR
  • 2025-11-16 Pending WBOR
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $59,900 WBOR
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $65,000 WBOR
  • 2018-06-23 Sold (MLS) $24,000 WBOR
  • 2018-02-19 Listed $29,900 WBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…