53 Blue Jay Ln · Moundsville, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.
Key facts
- Modern comfort
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family ranch; 1 story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s); Private maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement; 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($764 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.7% in Moundsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#105 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #21 of 55 in WV (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $50k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.22%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $8,403
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $28,582
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26041
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$160
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $49,900 Pending 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $49,900
-
2026-04-07price $54,900
-
2026-03-27status Active
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2026-01-20status Pending
-
2026-01-10status Active
-
2025-11-16status Pending
-
2025-10-29price $59,900
-
2025-10-08$65,000 Active
-
2018-06-23soldstatus $24,000 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.
-
2018-02-19$29,900 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
Tiny house living! This 1998 home is perfect addition for a rental, downsizing, starter home, or just a weekend getaway!! If you always wanted to own a smaller home this is perfect for you! This 1 bedroom is updated and move in ready! Call today for your showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$733
- − Management
- −$733
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $2,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400750
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,289
- Composite
- 26.91/100
- National rank
- #7086
- State rank
- #21 of 55 in WV
Livability — Moundsville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #11553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marshall · 16,750 people
- Metro
- Wheeling, WV-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,706
- Household income
- $55,545
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.4
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,387 people
- By 2030
- 29,242 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 26,806 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 24,627 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,846 · -34.7%
- By 2100
- 15,169 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -12.6pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+49.6 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+12.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.71%
- Current HPI
- 153.9522
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+66.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $49,900 WBOR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $54,900 WBOR
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — WBOR
- 2026-03-17 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — WBOR
- 2026-01-20 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-01-10 Relisted — WBOR
- 2025-11-16 Pending — WBOR
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $59,900 WBOR
- 2025-10-08 Listed $65,000 WBOR
- 2018-06-23 Sold (MLS) $24,000 WBOR
- 2018-02-19 Listed $29,900 WBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…