1620 Locust St · Quincy, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1620 Locust. Spacious one level living with main floor laundry and heated enclosed back porch. Alley access and off-street parking. Great Investment opportunity or put your own personal touch on it and live in it yourself. Selling As-Is
Key facts
- Alley access
- Main floor laundry
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage (alley access)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1940; 990 total building area
- Construction: Shingle roof; Has crawl space and partial basement
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Alley access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level; bedroom approx. 15' x 12', carpet, egress window)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedroom and family room; Vinyl in kitchen and bathroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($787 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
- Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.65%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1815 N 18th St | 0.26mi | 1/1.0 | 972 (-2%) | 4mo | $86,500 | $89 | 82 |
| 1424 N 20th St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 975 (-2%) | 6mo | $129,000 | $132 | 74 |
| 1633 Spruce St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 902 (-9%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $152 | 68 |
| 1620 Chestnut St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $137 | 67 |
| 1821 Maple St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 932 (-6%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 1821 Maple St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 932 (-6%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 2016 Sycamore St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 958 (-3%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 1700 Sycamore | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-13%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 903 N 12th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 952 (-4%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 1407 Cherry St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 858 (-13%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $128 | 45 |
| 1029 N 11th St | 0.64mi | 1/1.0 | 847 (-14%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 1212 Lind St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+11%) | 3mo | $89,500 | $82 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-199
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $27,740
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62301
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$165
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 N 8th St Unit 1/2-5 Quincy, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $475 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,500 Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,500 Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,500 Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Under Contract 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30statusdays on market $69,500 Under Contract 3 DOM
-
2026-05-25$69,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,446 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,512 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$5/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$1,446
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$756
- − Management
- −$756
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $226
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quincy SD 172
- NCES district ID
- 1733000
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,132
- Composite
- 21.91/100
- National rank
- #8229
- State rank
- #328 of 620 in IL
Livability — Quincy
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #506
- US rank
- #10458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quincy, IL
- County
- Adams County · 30,746 people
- City population
- 30,746
- Metro
- Quincy, IL-MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,746
- Household income
- $52,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1238.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,795 people
- By 2030
- 64,436 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 61,007 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 56,851 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 46,424 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 34,305 · -47.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.6% · R 73.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.0pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+35.2 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.44%
- Current HPI
- 131.7344
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.78%
- Metro
- Quincy, IL-MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $69,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2023): $1,446 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…