1115 S Rustin St · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is HUD owned and is to be sold As-Is, without repairs or warranties.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Finished attic
- Walk-out basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached concrete 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding construction; 668 sq ft finished area below grade
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Spalding Park Elementary (math 59% / reading 55%, grade C+, #436 of 616 statewide, top 74%, 652 students, 69% FRL); East Middle School (math 60% / reading 67%, grade B+, #169 of 246 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 65% FRL); East High School (math 53% / reading 63%, grade C, #275 of 336 statewide, top 83%, 1,495 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $190k implies a 272% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.36%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,715
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 Linn St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+2%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $99 | 71 |
| 1611 Linden Way | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 | 1,682 (-1%) | 7mo | $190,500 | $113 | 69 |
| 514 S Cecelia St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-0%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $124 | 64 |
| 701 S Paxton | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 | 1,557 (-9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 706 S Westcott St | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,835 (+8%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $117 | 59 |
| 1805 S Helen St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,739 (+2%) | 6mo | $178,000 | $102 | 58 |
| 1219 S Cornelia St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,552 (-9%) | 7mo | $191,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 3251 Garretson Ave | 0.58mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,899 (+11%) | 1mo | $225,500 | $119 | 44 |
| 905 S Saint Marys St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (+10%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $146 | 43 |
| 704 S Glass St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,453 (-15%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $148 | 40 |
| 924 S Saint Marys St | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 1,901 (+12%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $158 | 39 |
| 3031 Leech Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,463 (-14%) | 8mo | $177,500 | $121 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-9,896
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $18,570
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51106
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,232 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2622 Ridge Ave Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2219 | $2,600 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2807 Lincoln Way Sioux City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 4 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $189,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $194,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $194,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $204,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$214,900 Active
-
2007-10-24soldstatus $51,000 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Property is HUD owned and is to be sold As-Is, without repairs or warranties.
-
2007-09-07$56,000 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Property is HUD owned and is to be sold As-Is, without repairs or warranties.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,348 · $362/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,348 · $362/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$4,348
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,143
- − Management
- −$2,143
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $1,040
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$250
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- County
- Woodbury County · 51,789 people
- City population
- 51,789
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,592
- Household income
- $78,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 891.0
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.61%
- Current HPI
- 229.6733
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+283.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $214,900 NWIA
- 2007-10-24 Sold (MLS) $51,000 DMMLS
- 2007-09-07 Listed $56,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,348 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…