Duplex
1417 Marion St · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 1417 Marion Street! This duplex sits on a rare double lot, offering incredible flexibility for investors, owner-occupants, or those looking to create generational living. The home has solid bones and is ready for your vision. While it could benefit from cosmetic updates, it provides the perfect chance to add value and truly make it your own. Whether you’re looking for an income-producing property, a multi-generational setup, or a smart long-term investment, this property delivers both space and potential.
Key facts
- Double lot
- Long term investment
- 0.32 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Designed as residential income property with 2 units (one 1-bedroom unit and one 2-bedroom unit); Each unit roughly the same size
- Financial info: Rental license on file; Property is not owner-occupied
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking only
- Utilities: City water (in street); City sewer (in street); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential income duplex (up-and-down); Two-story; Entry level on main level
- Construction: Block and stone foundation; Foundation area approximately 690; Foundation dimensions 17 x 42; Building total area 2,147; Above-ground living area 1,361; Below-ground area 690; Main level finished area 721; Built as a duplex with two separate units
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.319 acres; Lot dimensions 81 x 174 x 80 x 175; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances (in one unit); Range (second unit)
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 bedrooms (building total)
- Bathrooms: Total of 2 full bathrooms (building total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Window cooling in units; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (included in one unit); Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $512/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,984/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1588% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $185k implies a 517% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.71%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $37,087
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $124,065
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55117
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$627
- Net cashflow
- $1,023
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,984 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,492 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,492 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,984 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166 McCarrons Blvd N Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,247 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 166 N McCarrons Blvd Unit 166-01 Roseville, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,144 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 185 N McCarrons Blvd Roseville, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,625 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 185 N McCarrons Blvd Roseville, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,325 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-30historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-16$185,000 Active
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2026-03-20price $200,000
-
2026-03-07price $215,000
-
2026-02-28$225,000 Active
-
2026-02-25historical
-
1994-08-10soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,442 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,442 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$3,442
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,865
- − Management
- −$2,865
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $9,967
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,392
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,697
- Household income
- $70,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1588.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Asian 24% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Philippines, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -308.56%
- Current HPI
- 267.4216
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+516.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $200,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $215,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listed $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Coming Soon — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,442 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…