CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1417 Marion St Duplex
B- Composite 68.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1417 Marion St · St. Paul, MN 55117
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,361 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1890 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 1417 Marion Street! This duplex sits on a rare double lot, offering incredible flexibility for investors, owner-occupants, or those looking to create generational living. The home has solid bones and is ready for your vision. While it could benefit from cosmetic updates, it provides the perfect chance to add value and truly make it your own. Whether you’re looking for an income-producing property, a multi-generational setup, or a smart long-term investment, this property delivers both space and potential.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Long term investment
  • 0.32 acre lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOTINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYMULTI GENERATIONAL SETUPLONG TERM INVESTMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Designed as residential income property with 2 units (one 1-bedroom unit and one 2-bedroom unit); Each unit roughly the same size
  • Financial info: Rental license on file; Property is not owner-occupied

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking only
  • Utilities: City water (in street); City sewer (in street); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential income duplex (up-and-down); Two-story; Entry level on main level
  • Construction: Block and stone foundation; Foundation area approximately 690; Foundation dimensions 17 x 42; Building total area 2,147; Above-ground living area 1,361; Below-ground area 690; Main level finished area 721; Built as a duplex with two separate units
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.319 acres; Lot dimensions 81 x 174 x 80 x 175; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances (in one unit); Range (second unit)
  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 bedrooms (building total)
  • Bathrooms: Total of 2 full bathrooms (building total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Window cooling in units; Two levels
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (included in one unit); Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $512/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,984/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1588% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $185k implies a 517% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.71%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$37,087
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$124,065
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55117

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,442/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$627
Net cashflow
$1,023

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,689
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 61%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,984

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
166 McCarrons Blvd N Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,247 $1.39 44d 1 1.13mi
166 N McCarrons Blvd Unit 166-01 Roseville, MN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,144 $1.27 24d 1 1.13mi
185 N McCarrons Blvd Roseville, MN 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,625 $1.30 24d 1 1.17mi
185 N McCarrons Blvd Roseville, MN 1.0 1.0 915 $1,325 $1.45 12d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $185,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-16
    historical
  5. 2026-03-20
    price $200,000
  6. 2026-03-07
    price $215,000
  7. 2026-02-28
    listed $225,000 Active
  8. 2026-02-25
    historical
  9. 1994-08-10
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,442 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,442 · $287/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,808
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$3,442
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,865
− Management
−$2,865
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$9,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,392
After-tax cash flow
$9,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
44,697
Household income
$70,771
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1588.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Asian 24% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Philippines, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -308.56%
Current HPI
267.4216
Rent YoY
▲ 3.60%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+516.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $200,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $215,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Coming Soon NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,442 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…