30 Suanee Dr · Cherokee Village, AR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- Community pool
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($458/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 12036% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $170k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.64%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,290
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54K Cherokee Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (-7%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $140 | 69 |
| 84 Powhatan Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-7%) | 1mo | $178,900 | $110 | 60 |
| 35 Cherokee Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,914 (+10%) | 4mo | $117,500 | $61 | 60 |
| 88 Wabash Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,672 (-4%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $77 | 58 |
| 14 S Walla Walla Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-13%) | 12mo | $89,000 | $59 | 56 |
| 12 Saratoga Dr | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,706 (-2%) | 14mo | $30,000 | $18 | 56 |
| 1 Minentonka Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-14%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 2 Nokomis Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,544 (-11%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $111 | 41 |
| 33 Kere Trce | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,554 (-11%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 52a Cherokee Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (-12%) | 20mo | $180,000 | $118 | 36 |
| 101 Hebron Dr | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 | 1,940 (+12%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $93 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-25,120
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-18,827
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72529
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 688
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $922/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Cherokee Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,500 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2024-10-19status Under Contract
-
2024-10-17historical $1,400
-
2024-10-05$1,400
-
2024-09-20historical $1,400
-
2024-09-12$169,900 New Listing
-
2024-06-26soldstatus $95,000
-
2024-06-26$1,400
-
2017-10-11soldstatus $50,000
-
2017-10-10soldstatus $50,000 Sold 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.
-
2017-08-29status Under Contract 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.
-
2017-07-20$56,900 New Listing 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.
-
2012-06-11soldstatus $54,000
-
2006-08-28soldstatus $86,000
-
2003-06-13soldstatus $50,000
-
1999-09-21soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $922 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,087 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$165/yr (+$14/mo · 17.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$922
- − Insurance
- −$1,647
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,442
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$586
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cherokee Village
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #17211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cherokee Village, AR
- City population
- 5,090
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,090
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 182.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-96.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2024-10-19 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,400 CARMLS
- 2024-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,400 CARMLS
- 2024-09-20 Rental Removed $1,400 CARMLS
- 2024-09-12 Listed $169,900 CARMLS
- 2024-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $1,400 CARMLS
- 2017-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CARMLS
- 2017-08-29 Pending — CARMLS
- 2017-07-20 Listed $56,900 CARMLS
- 2012-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2003-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $922 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…