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D+ Composite 49.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

30 Suanee Dr · Cherokee Village, AR 72529
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,739 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
0.35 ac lot Est $191k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • Community pool
  • Listed 37 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($458/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 12036% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $170k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,714 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.64%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,290
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54K Cherokee Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-7%) 10mo $225,000 $140 69
84 Powhatan Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,625 (-7%) 1mo $178,900 $110 60
35 Cherokee Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,914 (+10%) 4mo $117,500 $61 60
88 Wabash Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,672 (-4%) 1mo $128,000 $77 58
14 S Walla Walla Dr 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-13%) 12mo $89,000 $59 56
12 Saratoga Dr 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,706 (-2%) 14mo $30,000 $18 56
1 Minentonka Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-14%) 4mo $215,000 $144 54
2 Nokomis Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,544 (-11%) 6mo $172,000 $111 41
33 Kere Trce 0.59mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,554 (-11%) 12mo $195,000 $125 40
52a Cherokee Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,527 (-12%) 20mo $180,000 $118 36
101 Hebron Dr 0.71mi 3/3.0 1,940 (+12%) 15mo $180,000 $93 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-25,120
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-18,827
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72529

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Active inventory
688
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $922/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Cherokee Rd Cherokee Village, AR 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,500 $0.79 43d 1 0.19mi
16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,100 $0.73 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2024-10-19
    status Under Contract
  2. 2024-10-17
    historical $1,400
  3. 2024-10-05
    listed $1,400
  4. 2024-09-20
    historical $1,400
  5. 2024-09-12
    listed $169,900 New Listing
  6. 2024-06-26
    soldstatus $95,000
  7. 2024-06-26
    listed $1,400
  8. 2017-10-11
    soldstatus $50,000
  9. 2017-10-10
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.

  10. 2017-08-29
    status Under Contract 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.

  11. 2017-07-20
    listed $56,900 New Listing 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Cart to the North Golf Course! 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with bonus room and approx. 1739 sq ft on a large corner lot that borders a seasonal creek in the backyard. Open kitchen, living and dining room with native stone, wood burning fireplace.

  12. 2012-06-11
    soldstatus $54,000
  13. 2006-08-28
    soldstatus $86,000
  14. 2003-06-13
    soldstatus $50,000
  15. 1999-09-21
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$922 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,087 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$165/yr (+$14/mo · 17.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,366
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$922
− Insurance
−$1,647
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$586
After-tax cash flow
$1,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland School District
NCES district ID
0507770
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,066
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5400
State rank
#66 of 238 in AR

Livability — Cherokee Village

Score
62/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#17211

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cherokee Village, AR
City population
5,090
Population (ZIP)
5,090

Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,170 people
By 2030
15,711 · -2.8%
By 2040
14,974 · -7.4%
By 2050
14,420 · -10.8%
By 2075
13,235 · -18.2%
By 2100
11,492 · -28.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sharp

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.53%
Current HPI
182.4438
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-19 Pending CARMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,400 CARMLS
  • 2024-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,400 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Rental Removed $1,400 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-12 Listed $169,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $1,400 CARMLS
  • 2017-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CARMLS
  • 2017-08-29 Pending CARMLS
  • 2017-07-20 Listed $56,900 CARMLS
  • 2012-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2003-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $922 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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