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20591 Eastern Valley Rd
D+ Composite 47.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$18,000

20591 Eastern Valley Rd · Woodstock, AL 35188
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1900 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this two bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Property may be subject to right of redemption.

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Built in 1900; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; One-story; Built in 1900
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot nearly half an acre (0.48 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
  • Cap rate 54.3% vs local median 4.2% in Woodstock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#320 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Bibb County (rural): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #105 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39 of equity ($124 loan paydown + $-85 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $18,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.85%
Cap rate
54.34%
Cash-on-cash
171.61%
DSCR
8.64
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,144
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 Horn Cir 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,216 (+3%) 11mo $145,000 $119 74
174 Worthington Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,257 (+6%) 19mo $165,000 $131 61
17152 Crescent Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+1%) 23mo $238,500 $199 60
21792 Eastern Valley Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+1%) 4mo $75,000 $63 57
12258 Richard St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+6%) 6mo $257,500 $204 53
1935 Grey Hill Rd 0.38mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,048 (-12%) 24mo $199,900 $191 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.93×
Total profit
$44,993
Equity at exit
$4,807
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.89×
Total profit
$100,248
Equity at exit
$5,453

Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35188

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$94
Tax from tax record
$9 /mo · $111/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$721

Break-even live

Break-even rent $141
Max offer price $18,000
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,500
Closing costs
$540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $18,000 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $18,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $18,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    remarks 359-char remark
  7. 2026-06-03
    listed $18,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$111 · $9/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$111 · $9/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,637
− Mortgage interest
−$1,008
− Property taxes
−$111
− Insurance
−$90
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$524
Taxable income
$8,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,132
After-tax cash flow
$6,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
0100360
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,196
Composite
18.14/100
National rank
#8964
State rank
#105 of 129 in AL

Livability — Woodstock

Score
59/100
State rank
#320
US rank
#19763

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,659

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,965 people
By 2030
21,437 · -2.4%
By 2040
20,248 · -7.8%
By 2050
19,023 · -13.4%
By 2075
16,513 · -24.8%
By 2100
14,871 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.6pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.47%
Current HPI
156.5471
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-70.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $18,000 VMLS
  • 2004-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $111 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…