14918 Wabash Ave · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Well-kept yard
- Brick exterior
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Built 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 5676
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (Main) — 10 x 13
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 12 x 14; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 10 x 13; Bedroom 3 (Main) — 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Main) — 8 x 10
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,480/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $135k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.14%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,118
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14844 Wabash Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,277 (0%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $98 | 94 |
| 14828 Wabash Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+2%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $86 | 92 |
| 14914 Edbrooke Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,287 (+1%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $78 | 91 |
| 14817 S Wentworth Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-0%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $142 | 78 |
| 14525 S Michigan Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $158 | 66 |
| 14636 Clark St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (+9%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $75 | 65 |
| 14727 Riverside Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-6%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $177 | 62 |
| 523 E 149th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,143 (-10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $70 | 61 |
| 15061 Wabash Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (-13%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 15444 State St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,254 (-2%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $165 | 56 |
| 14633 Wabash Ave | 0.34mi | 3/7.0 | 1,150 (-10%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $83 | 47 |
| 302 W 145th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,087 (-15%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $230 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $37,884
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $153,328
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,480 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$466 /mo · $5,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $729
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-05-22price $135,000
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2026-04-24price $139,000
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2026-03-27price $142,000
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2026-02-27price $145,000
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2026-02-06price $148,000
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2026-01-16price $153,000
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2025-12-19price $158,000
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2025-11-21price $163,000
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2025-11-05$168,000 Active
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2025-11-05historical
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2025-10-17price
-
2025-09-26price
-
2025-09-11Active
-
2013-08-30soldstatus $31,500 Closed Sale 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2013-01-31status Pending 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2013-01-16$22,000 New 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2007-12-14soldstatus $130,000
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2007-10-30historical
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2007-09-22
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1996-07-17soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,593 · $466/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,593 · $466/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$5,593
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,381
- − Management
- −$2,381
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $7,243
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,738
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+125.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $142,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $153,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $158,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $163,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Listed $168,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-30 Sold (MLS) $31,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-31 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-16 Listed $22,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-22 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,593 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…