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826 Prairie Ave
B- Composite 67.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

826 Prairie Ave · Kewanee, IL 61443
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,201 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1907 8,410 sqft lot Est $80k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a real fixer upper, look no further! This home needs lots of work but has great potential. There is a 1- car-detached garage & inside features: living room w/ bay window, the dining room is open to the kitchen, main floor bath, main floor bedroom & mudroom. The 3 additional bedrooms are located on the 2nd floor. This home is being sold " AS IS ".

Key facts

  • 8,410 sq ft lot
  • Built 1907
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area source: Assessor; Directions: From West Prospect St turn right to 5th Avenue then turn left onto Prairie Avenue.
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking information not provided
  • Security: Security information not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Property more than 100 years old; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 58 x 145

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (15 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (9 x 12); Three additional bedrooms on second level (12 x 11; 12 x 10; 10 x 11)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room; Ceramic tile in kitchen, family room, and dining room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Separate dining room; Unfinished partial basement; Bay window(s) in living room; Wood burning stove in family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 8.6% in Kewanee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $80k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.35%
Cash-on-cash
21.64%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,467
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1202 W Prospect St 0.24mi 4/1.0 1,083 (-10%) 6mo $56,540 $52 67
216 N Boss St St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,255 (+4%) 5mo $103,000 $82 66
422 Ross St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-0%) 1mo $64,900 $54 66
213 Elliott St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-3%) 8mo $55,000 $47 62
110 N Park St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,088 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $97 57
410 Ross St 0.56mi 4/1.0 1,114 (-7%) 8mo $33,000 $30 56
517 W 1st St 0.37mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,263 (+5%) 7mo $119,000 $94 55
323 S Chestnut St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,098 (-9%) 8mo $67,500 $61 53
216 Hillcrest Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,252 (+4%) 7mo $84,000 $67 52
216 Hillcrest Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,252 (+4%) 7mo $84,000 $67 52
622 S Tremont St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,124 (-6%) 8mo $46,000 $41 45
136 W Mill St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,039 (-14%) 1mo $107,000 $103 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$12,771
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$44,293
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61443

Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $703
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $449 -5% $426 +0% $403 +5% $381 +10% $358
Rent -10% $308 -5% $356 +0% $403 +5% $451 +10% $499
Rate -1.0pp $444 -0.5pp $424 base $403 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $79,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 284-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$288/yr (+$24/mo · 23.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,567
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,238
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,798
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$912
After-tax cash flow
$3,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kewanee CUSD 229
NCES district ID
1721000
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,294
Composite
11.77/100
National rank
#9682
State rank
#540 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kewanee

Score
69/100
State rank
#409
US rank
#8423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kewanee, IL
Population (ZIP)
13,529

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.32%
Current HPI
121.8672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $79,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-02 Listed $20,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-02 Listed $20,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-24 Listed $28,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-24 Listed $28,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,238 · +18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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