13918 Whitcomb · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Ranch style single-family home; One story
- Construction: Built in 1920; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lot of about 0.11 acres; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: 2 total rooms; Basement: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $50k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.87%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,901
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -41.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13316 Freeland St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 766 (+5%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $65 | 51 |
| 12656 Mettetal St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (+10%) | 2mo | $72,872 | $91 | 49 |
| 13409 Hubbell St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 795 (+9%) | 20mo | $92,597 | $116 | 46 |
| 14345 Ardmore St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (-5%) | 23mo | $28,750 | $42 | 39 |
| 12690 Asbury Park | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 826 (+14%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $103 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $20,428
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $62,476
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $921/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14835 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629203 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $995 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629104 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 14881 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $782 | $1.48 | 2d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9601 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $725 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 05 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $595 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $645 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$75,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$75,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$50,000 Active
-
2006-11-15soldstatus $8,000
-
2006-11-14soldstatus $8,000
-
2006-10-19$12,500
-
2006-09-26$12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $921 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $921 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$921
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$932
- − Management
- −$932
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,356
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-11-15 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-11-14 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-19 Listed $12,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-09-26 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $921 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…