102 Friars Ln · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOW MAINT. WELL KEPT RANCH ON WIDE LOT W/MATURE TREES + SPLIT RAIL FENCE. ATTACHED GARAGE HAS DBL-WIDE PAVED DRIVE. SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN HAS UPDATED RAISED PANEL OAK CAB. W/AMPLE COUNTERTOP SPACE.SIX PANEL DOORS THROUGHOUT. HURRY THIS ONE HAS NICE CURB APPEAL & WON'T LAST!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Ranch-style home
- 8,200 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Playground in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Accessible parking; 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Electricity available (circuit breakers); Natural gas available and connected; Public water; Public sewer; Internet available
- Home design: Single-family house; Detached; One level / single story; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single family residence
- Exterior features: Private yard; Rear patio; Split rail fencing; Corner lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on the main level (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 on the main level (11 x 8)
- Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry located on the main level; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-173/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Springfield Local (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #404 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dorr Street Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #942 of 1,584 statewide, top 61%, 393 students, 60% FRL); Springfield Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #435 of 654 statewide, top 67%, 744 students, 81% FRL); Springfield High School (math 40% / reading 60%, grade D+, #384 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 922 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $117k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.41%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,339
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Hilton Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (-2%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $132 | 67 |
| 116 Lancaster Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-1%) | 17mo | $93,800 | $72 | 61 |
| 6348 Hill Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,288 (-2%) | 15mo | $168,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 6239 Reo St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+3%) | 13mo | $217,500 | $161 | 55 |
| 224 Leander Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+6%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $86 | 48 |
| 250 Bonaparte Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-12%) | 4mo | $172,900 | $150 | 47 |
| 6268 Timberside Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+5%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $166 | 44 |
| 34 Hilton Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (-10%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $149 | 43 |
| 6155 White Oak Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-7%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $204 | 41 |
| 6317 Verna Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-14%) | 18mo | $163,000 | $145 | 35 |
| 6265 Timberside Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (+12%) | 14mo | $231,000 | $158 | 33 |
| 251 Rochelle Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (-12%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $117 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-25,729
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-25,643
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43615
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$243 /mo · $2,919/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6535 Dorr St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1210 Country View Pl Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,130 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1009 N Holland Sylvania Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $1,759 | $1.56 | 14d | 21 | 1.32mi |
| 1800 N McCord Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $900 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5702 Angola Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,249 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 328-char remark
-
2026-06-18price $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-21historical $175,000
-
2025-10-14price $117,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
LOW MAINT. WELL KEPT RANCH ON WIDE LOT W/MATURE TREES + SPLIT RAIL FENCE. ATTACHED GARAGE HAS DBL-WIDE PAVED DRIVE. SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN HAS UPDATED RAISED PANEL OAK CAB. W/AMPLE COUNTERTOP SPACE.SIX PANEL DOORS THROUGHOUT. HURRY THIS ONE HAS NICE CURB APPEAL & WON'T LAST!
-
2004-07-06soldstatus $117,000
-
2004-06-30soldstatus $117,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
LOW MAINT. WELL KEPT RANCH ON WIDE LOT W/MATURE TREES + SPLIT RAIL FENCE. ATTACHED GARAGE HAS DBL-WIDE PAVED DRIVE. SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN HAS UPDATED RAISED PANEL OAK CAB. W/AMPLE COUNTERTOP SPACE.SIX PANEL DOORS THROUGHOUT. HURRY THIS ONE HAS NICE CURB APPEAL & WON'T LAST!
-
2004-05-20$117,900 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
LOW MAINT. WELL KEPT RANCH ON WIDE LOT W/MATURE TREES + SPLIT RAIL FENCE. ATTACHED GARAGE HAS DBL-WIDE PAVED DRIVE. SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN HAS UPDATED RAISED PANEL OAK CAB. W/AMPLE COUNTERTOP SPACE.SIX PANEL DOORS THROUGHOUT. HURRY THIS ONE HAS NICE CURB APPEAL & WON'T LAST!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,919 · $243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,919 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,919
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,310
- − Management
- −$1,310
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,681
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$643
- After-tax cash flow
- $471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904822
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,807
- Composite
- 44.87/100
- National rank
- #2719
- State rank
- #404 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,146
- Household income
- $57,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1683.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.44%
- Current HPI
- 205.95
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+48.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $175,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $117,000 NORIS
- 2004-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-30 Sold (MLS) $117,000 NORIS
- 2004-05-20 Listed $117,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,919 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…