5379 US Hwy 19 · Perry, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,750
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
With a little TLC, this 1937 vintage 3 BR/2 Bath cottage can be a great homestead or business location. The outbuilding, nestled under Grandaddy Oaks, is a perfect retreat for an office, studio, or entrepreneurial opportunity. Easy highway access and a one-plus-acre lot are prime for any business endeavor. Call for your private showing. All offers must be in writing and accompanied by Proof of Funds.
Key facts
- Outbuilding
- Grandaddy oaks
- Vintage cottage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on US 19 just south of the Beach Rd flashing light; not in a subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Home design: Residential single-family detached home
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Level and wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Vinyl flooring; Crawl space foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.6% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#420 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Taylor (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #59 of 73 in FL (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $558 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $81k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.21%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,275
- List price
- $80,750
- Delta
- -42.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $15,943
- Equity at exit
- $12,040
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $51,201
- Equity at exit
- $6,982
Cash invested: $22,610 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32348
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$423
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $432/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,188
- Closing costs
- $2,422
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,750 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,750 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,750 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,750 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,750 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 403-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $80,750 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-15$85,000 Active 390-char remark
-
2006-12-22soldstatus $47,000
-
1992-05-01soldstatus $23,927
-
1989-10-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $432 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$238/yr (+$20/mo · 55.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,523
- − Property taxes
- −$432
- − Insurance
- −$404
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,153
- − Management
- −$1,153
- − Depreciation
- −$2,349
- Taxable income
- $4,403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,057
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylor
- NCES district ID
- 1201860
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,539
- Composite
- 35.71/100
- National rank
- #4862
- State rank
- #59 of 73 in FL
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #7497
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,498
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,562 people
- By 2030
- 20,985 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 19,823 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 18,628 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 15,609 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 11,338 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.9% · R 79.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.0pp · 2024: -59.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.6 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.85%
- Current HPI
- 159.8178
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+303.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $80,750 DGLMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $85,000 DGLMLS
- 2006-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,927 Public Records
- 1989-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $432 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…