628 N 7th · Sequim, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
Key facts
- Ample closets
- Built-in workspace
- Open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $215k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.10%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,864
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- 1.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 N 7th | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (+0%) | 1mo | $249,950 | $155 | 96 |
| 610 N 7th Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-0%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $128 | 91 |
| 629 N 7th Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (+2%) | 9mo | $261,700 | $161 | 88 |
| 508 N 7th Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-6%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $160 | 75 |
| 507 N 7th Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-6%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $156 | 73 |
| 747 W Heritage Loop | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (-9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $171 | 72 |
| 891 N Portside Way | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,642 (+2%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 734 Heritage Loop | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (-9%) | 9mo | $335,000 | $230 | 66 |
| 420 W Cove Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (+10%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $181 | 57 |
| 51 Juniper Mobile Ests | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,442 (-10%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 325 N Fifth Ave #34 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-14%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 626 N Priest Rd | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+8%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $289 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,534
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $39,496
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,522 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $507
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,300 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 246 W Maple St Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $215,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $215,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $215,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $215,000 Pending 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $215,000 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2026-03-02price $229,000 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2026-01-22$239,000 Active 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2016-11-01soldstatus $95,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Neat & clean double wide home located in Hendrickson mobile home park a 55 or older park. This 1604 sqft home is in a great in-town location with easy access to shopping, medical facilities and all down town. The roof was replaced 6 years ago and the exterior was painted last year.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,421
- − Management
- −$2,421
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $2,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sequim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #7845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sequim, WA
- County
- Clallam County · 31,052 people
- City population
- 31,052
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+126.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $215,000 OLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $229,000 OLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $239,000 OLS
- 2016-11-01 Sold (MLS) $95,000 OLS
Property tax history
-13.6%/yrLatest (2026): $119 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…